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USD/CAD 예측: 내일, 주, 월, 5년

업데이트됨: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +0.01%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

예측 요약

기간예상 가격과거역사적인통찰력
내일1.3610 -0.20%어제1.3635 +0.13%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.33%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.33%).
1.3558 -0.58%지난주1.3544 -0.78%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
1.3378 -1.90%전달1.3913 +1.21%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도1.3316 -2.35%작년1.3775 -0.33%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년1.3127 -3.74%5년 전1.3822 +0.34%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
내일1.3610 -0.20%
어제1.3635 +0.13%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.33%).
1.3558 -0.58%
지난주1.3544 -0.78%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
1.3378 -1.90%
전달1.3913 +1.21%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도1.3316 -2.35%
작년1.3775 -0.33%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년1.3127 -3.74%
5년 전1.3822 +0.34%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세
1.37731.36741.35741.34751.33761W AgoNow7D F

기술적 분석

팔다중립적구입하다
Bearish
0
강세
2
중립적
3
약세

주요 지표

지시자신호
RSI 1447.4 Neutral
MACD-0.00 Neutral
SMA 501.3725 Below
SMA 2001.3831 Below
EMA 201.3911 Below

과거 데이터

Open1.3635
Start Date
Day Range1.3634 – 1.3637
Market Cap
Monthly Range1.3497 – 1.3869
24h Volume
90D Range1.3497 – 1.4108
Circulating
52W Range1.3497 – 1.4113
Max Supply
Open1.3635Start Date
Day Range1.3634 – 1.3637Market Cap
Monthly Range1.3497 – 1.386924h Volume
90D Range1.3497 – 1.4108Circulating
52W Range1.3497 – 1.4113Max Supply

지지 및 저항 수준

1.3923R3 — upper range
1.3814R2 — swing high
1.3732R1 — near-term cap
1.3637현재 가격USD
1.3541S1 — short-term supportSupport
1.3459S2 — trend support
1.3350S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 1.3732; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 1.3541; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 0.33%.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락
Recent1.3637Current
Current reference level.
90D High1.4108Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low1.3497Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능
74%
방향성
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 USD에 $1,000를 투자한다면
Bullish Case
$1,152.24
+15.22% from current
목표가격1.5713
대본Breakout continuation
개연성25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
목표가격1.4182
대본Trend-following baseline
개연성50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
목표가격1.2000
대본Volatility drawdown
개연성25%
기초: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.07% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.33% daily).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · USD가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법
USD
USD1.00

예측 요인

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 47/100
24H drift-0.20%
7D drift-0.58%
30D drift-1.90%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 23/100
RSI47.4 · Neutral
MACD-0.00 · Bearish
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 46/100
1M outlook-1.90%
1Y outlook-2.35%
5Y outlook-3.74%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the USD/CAD forecast for tomorrow?
USD/CAD is projected near 1.3610 versus the latest reference around 1.3637. That implies a modeled move of -0.20% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/CAD?
The weekly model points to 1.3558, which maps to an expected drift of -0.58% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 1.3378 (-1.90%), while the 1-year target is 1.3316 (-2.35%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 1.3127 with a modeled change of -3.74%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 1.3732, while nearest support is around 1.3541. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.