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USD/NOK 예측: 내일, 주, 월, 5년

업데이트됨: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +13.23%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

예측 요약

기간예상 가격과거역사적인통찰력
내일9.5489 +0.55%어제9.5314 +0.52%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.69%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.69%).
9.6401 +1.51%지난주9.6689 -1.05%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
9.8325 +3.54%전달10.0546 -1.14%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도9.3249 -1.81%작년11.0933 +4.98%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년9.2029 -3.09%5년 전8.5033 -23.35%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
내일9.5489 +0.55%
어제9.5314 +0.52%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.69%).
9.6401 +1.51%
지난주9.6689 -1.05%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
9.8325 +3.54%
전달10.0546 -1.14%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도9.3249 -1.81%
작년11.0933 +4.98%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년9.2029 -3.09%
5년 전8.5033 -23.35%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세
9.79409.69879.60349.50819.41281W AgoNow7D F

기술적 분석

팔다중립적구입하다
Bearish
1
강세
1
중립적
3
약세

주요 지표

지시자신호
RSI 1437.0 Bearish
MACD0.00 Neutral
SMA 509.9269 Below
SMA 20010.0578 Below
EMA 208.4750 Above

과거 데이터

Open9.4740
Start Date
Day Range9.4740 – 9.5242
Market Cap
Monthly Range9.4819 – 10.1069
24h Volume
90D Range9.4819 – 10.2385
Circulating
52W Range9.4819 – 11.2452
Max Supply
Open9.4740Start Date
Day Range9.4740 – 9.5242Market Cap
Monthly Range9.4819 – 10.106924h Volume
90D Range9.4819 – 10.2385Circulating
52W Range9.4819 – 11.2452Max Supply

지지 및 저항 수준

9.7987R3 — upper range
9.6836R2 — swing high
9.5972R1 — near-term cap
9.4965현재 가격USD
9.3958S1 — short-term supportSupport
9.3094S2 — trend support
9.1943S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 9.5972; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 9.3958; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 0.69%.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락
Recent9.4965Current
Current reference level.
90D High10.2385Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low9.4819Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능
75%
방향성
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.
Tomorrow
79%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
76%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
73%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
68%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 USD에 $1,000를 투자한다면
Bullish Case
$1,158.67
+15.87% from current
목표가격11.0034
대본Breakout continuation
개연성25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
목표가격9.8764
대본Trend-following baseline
개연성50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
목표가격8.3569
대본Volatility drawdown
개연성25%
기초: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.19% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.69% daily).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · USD가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법
USD
USD1.00

예측 요인

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 57/100
24H drift+0.55%
7D drift+1.51%
30D drift+3.54%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 16/100
RSI36.9 · Bearish
MACD-0.01 · Bearish
MA stack1/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 50/100
1M outlook+3.54%
1Y outlook-1.81%
5Y outlook-3.09%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the USD/NOK forecast for tomorrow?
USD/NOK is projected near 9.5489 versus the latest reference around 9.4965. That implies a modeled move of +0.55% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/NOK?
The weekly model points to 9.6401, which maps to an expected drift of +1.51% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 9.8325 (+3.54%), while the 1-year target is 9.3249 (-1.81%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 9.2029 with a modeled change of -3.09%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 9.5972, while nearest support is around 9.3958. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.