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USD/JPY Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

업데이트됨: March 15, 2026 at 17:33 UTC
▲ +0.32%TA 중립적 · Focus 매크로 + 기술

예측 요약

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기간예상 가격과거역사적인통찰력
내일158.4424 ▼ -0.80%어제159.2060 ▲ +0.32%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
주156.6968 ▼ -1.89%지난주157.5340 ▲ +1.39%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
월154.9537 ▼ -2.98%전달152.8210 ▲ +4.51%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도153.8993 ▼ -3.64%작년147.9490 ▲ +7.96%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년153.6875 ▼ -3.78%5년 전109.1340 ▲ +46.35%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
내일158.4424▼ -0.80%
어제159.2060▲ +0.32%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
주156.6968▼ -1.89%
지난주157.5340▲ +1.39%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
월154.9537▼ -2.98%
전달152.8210▲ +4.51%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도153.8993▼ -3.64%
작년147.9490▲ +7.96%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년153.6875▼ -3.78%
5년 전109.1340▲ +46.35%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세
160.3437158.9055157.4673156.0290154.59081W AgoNow7D F

기술적 분석

팔다중립적구입하다
Bullish
4
강세
1
중립적
0
약세

주요 지표

지시자값신호
RSI 1486.3 Bullish
MACD-0.02 Neutral
SMA 50157.7588 Above
SMA 200150.7174 Above
EMA 20148.5918 Above

과거 데이터

Open159.2060
Start Date1996-11-01
Day Range159.7200 – 159.7200
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range152.7790 – 159.7200
24h Volumen/a
90D Range152.4530 – 159.7200
Circulatingn/a
52W Range140.8760 – 159.7200
Max Supplyn/a
Open159.2060Start Date1996-11-01
Day Range159.7200 – 159.7200Market Capn/a
Monthly Range152.7790 – 159.720024h Volumen/a
90D Range152.4530 – 159.7200Circulatingn/a
52W Range140.8760 – 159.7200Max Supplyn/a

지지 및 저항 수준

161.6194R3 — major ceiling
161.0496R2 — swing resistance
160.4798R1 — near-term resistance
159.7200현재 가격USD
152.7010S1 — near-term supportSupport
152.2780S2 — structure support
146.6090S3 — deep support
↑
Nearest resistance sits near 160.4798; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
↓
Nearest support is around 152.7010; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
⚖
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.50% daily realized volatility.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락
Recent159.7200Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High159.7200Local High0.00%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low159.7200Local Low0.00%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target154.9537Model 1M-2.98%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target153.8993Model 1Y-3.64%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario153.6875Model 5Y-3.78%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능
83%
방향성
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.50% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 USD에 $1,000를 투자한다면
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
목표가격178.8864
대본Breakout continuation
개연성32%
Base Case
$970.16
-2.98% from current
목표가격154.9537
대본Trend-following baseline
개연성40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
목표가격146.9424
대본Volatility drawdown
개연성28%
기초: Scenario engine blends live drift (-2.98% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.50% daily).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · USD가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법
USDUSDTRYUSDARSUSDPKREURCHFUSDKRW
USD1.000.990.990.98-0.980.97
USDTRY0.991.001.001.00-0.990.98
USDARS0.991.001.001.00-0.990.98
USDPKR0.981.001.001.00-0.990.99
EURCHF-0.98-0.99-0.99-0.991.00-0.99
USDKRW0.970.980.980.99-0.991.00

예측 요인

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 42/100
24H drift-0.80%
7D drift-1.89%
30D drift-2.98%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI86.4 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 44/100
1M outlook-2.98%
1Y outlook-3.64%
5Y outlook-3.78%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the USD forecast for tomorrow?
USD is projected near 158.4424 versus the latest reference around 159.7200. That implies a modeled move of -0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD?
The weekly model points to 156.6968, which maps to an expected drift of -1.89% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 154.9537 (-2.98%), while the 1-year target is 153.8993 (-3.64%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 153.6875 with a modeled change of -3.78%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 160.4798, while nearest support is around 152.7010. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 159.7200 to 159.7200. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.