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내일, 주, 월 및 5년에 대한 USD/HKD 예측

업데이트됨: 2026년 4월 20일 12:59 UTC
▲ +0.00%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

예측 요약

기간예상 가격과거역사적인통찰력
내일7.8202 -0.14%어제7.8308 +0.00%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.03%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.03%).
7.8291 -0.03%지난주7.8323 -0.02%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7.8514 +0.26%전달7.8336 -0.03%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도7.8505 +0.25%작년7.7618 +0.89%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년7.8706 +0.50%5년 전7.7614 +0.90%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
내일7.8202 -0.14%
어제7.8308 +0.00%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.03%).
7.8291 -0.03%
지난주7.8323 -0.02%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7.8514 +0.26%
전달7.8336 -0.03%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도7.8505 +0.25%
작년7.7618 +0.89%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년7.8706 +0.50%
5년 전7.7614 +0.90%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세
7.93437.88177.82917.77657.72391W AgoNow7D F

기술적 분석

팔다중립적구입하다
Bullish
1
강세
4
중립적
0
약세

주요 지표

지시자신호
RSI 1482.0 Bullish
MACD-0.00 Neutral
SMA 507.8325 Mid
SMA 2007.8168 Mid
EMA 207.8190 Mid

과거 데이터

Opening Price7.8308
Start Date2001-07-31
Day Range7.8287 – 7.8341
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range7.8181 – 7.8384
24h Volumen/a
90D Range7.7709 – 7.8384
Circulatingn/a
52W Range7.7504 – 7.8499
Max Supplyn/a
Opening Price7.8308Start Date2001-07-31
Day Range7.8287 – 7.8341Market Capn/a
Monthly Range7.8181 – 7.838424h Volumen/a
90D Range7.7709 – 7.8384Circulatingn/a
52W Range7.7504 – 7.8499Max Supplyn/a

지지 및 저항 수준

7.9094R3 — major ceiling
7.8859R2 — swing resistance
7.8624R1 — near-term resistance
7.8311현재 가격USD
7.8127S1 — near-term supportSupport
7.7968S2 — structure support
7.7670S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near 7.8624; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around 7.8127; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.20% daily realized volatility.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락
Recent7.8311Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High7.8341Local High+0.04%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low7.8287Local Low-0.03%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target7.8514Model 1M+0.26%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target7.8505Model 1Y+0.25%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario7.8706Model 5Y+0.50%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능
84%
방향성
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.20% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.
Tomorrow
87%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
85%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
82%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
77%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Signal
Recent
Directional signal ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 USD에 $1,000를 투자한다면
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
목표가격8.7708
대본Breakout continuation
개연성32%
Base Case
$1002.59
+0.26% from current
목표가격7.8514
대본Trend-following baseline
개연성40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
목표가격7.2046
대본Volatility drawdown
개연성28%
기초: Scenario model combines current 30-day drift (+0.26%) and realized daily volatility (0.20%).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · USD가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법
USD
USD1.00

예측 요인

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 50/100
24H drift-0.14%
7D drift-0.03%
30D drift+0.26%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 65/100
RSI82.0 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 50/100
1M outlook+0.26%
1Y outlook+0.25%
5Y outlook+0.50%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the USD/HKD forecast for tomorrow?
USD/HKD is projected near 7.8202 versus the latest reference around 7.8311. That implies a modeled move of -0.14% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/HKD?
The weekly model points to 7.8291, which maps to an expected drift of -0.03% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 7.8514 (+0.26%), while the 1-year target is 7.8505 (+0.25%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 7.8706 with a modeled change of +0.50%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 7.8624, while nearest support is around 7.8127. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 7.8287 to 7.8341. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.