» 모두 » 외환 예측 » EUR/USD 예측

EUR/USD 예측: 내일, 주, 월, 5년

업데이트됨: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -0.01%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

예측 요약

기간예상 가격과거역사적인통찰력
내일1.1919 +0.55%어제1.1854 -0.14%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.36%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.36%).
1.2031 +1.50%지난주1.1902 +0.73%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
1.2279 +3.60%전달1.1579 -1.53%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도1.2201 +2.94%작년1.1327 +1.82%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년1.2398 +4.60%5년 전1.1125 -1.79%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
내일1.1919 +0.55%
어제1.1854 -0.14%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.36%).
1.2031 +1.50%
지난주1.1902 +0.73%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
1.2279 +3.60%
전달1.1579 -1.53%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도1.2201 +2.94%
작년1.1327 +1.82%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년1.2398 +4.60%
5년 전1.1125 -1.79%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세
1.21931.20891.19841.18801.17761W AgoNow7D F

기술적 분석

팔다중립적구입하다
Bullish
4
강세
1
중립적
0
약세

주요 지표

지시자신호
RSI 1457.6 Bullish
MACD0.01 Neutral
SMA 501.1772 Above
SMA 2001.1686 Above
EMA 201.1071 Above

과거 데이터

Open1.1854
Start Date
Day Range1.1853 – 1.1856
Market Cap
Monthly Range1.1644 – 1.1977
24h Volume
90D Range1.1513 – 1.1977
Circulating
52W Range1.1096 – 1.1977
Max Supply
Open1.1854Start Date
Day Range1.1853 – 1.1856Market Cap
Monthly Range1.1644 – 1.197724h Volume
90D Range1.1513 – 1.1977Circulating
52W Range1.1096 – 1.1977Max Supply

지지 및 저항 수준

1.2102R3 — upper range
1.2007R2 — swing high
1.1936R1 — near-term cap
1.1853현재 가격EUR
1.1770S1 — short-term supportSupport
1.1699S2 — trend support
1.1604S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 1.1936; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 1.1770; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.36%.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락
Recent1.1853Current
Current reference level.
90D High1.1977Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low1.1513Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능
74%
방향성
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 EUR에 $1,000를 투자한다면
Bullish Case
$1,214.63
+21.46% from current
목표가격1.4397
대본Breakout continuation
개연성25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
목표가격1.2327
대본Trend-following baseline
개연성50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
목표가격1.0431
대본Volatility drawdown
개연성25%
기초: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.08% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.36% daily).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · EUR가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법
EUR
EUR1.00

예측 요인

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 57/100
24H drift+0.55%
7D drift+1.50%
30D drift+3.60%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI57.5 · Neutral
MACD0.00 · Bullish
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 54/100
1M outlook+3.60%
1Y outlook+2.94%
5Y outlook+4.60%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the EUR/USD forecast for tomorrow?
EUR/USD is projected near 1.1919 versus the latest reference around 1.1853. That implies a modeled move of +0.55% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for EUR/USD?
The weekly model points to 1.2031, which maps to an expected drift of +1.50% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 1.2279 (+3.60%), while the 1-year target is 1.2201 (+2.94%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 1.2398 with a modeled change of +4.60%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 1.1936, while nearest support is around 1.1770. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.