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USD/JPY Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Atualizado: March 12, 2026 at 18:14 UTC
▲ +0.79%TA Neutro · Focus Macro + técnico

Resumo da Previsão

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PeríodoPreço PrevistoPassadoHistóricoComentário
Amanhã158.0934 ▼ -0.80%Ontem158.1140 ▲ +0.79%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Semana156.3907 ▼ -1.87%Semana Passada156.9830 ▲ +1.52%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mês154.8366 ▼ -2.84%Mês Passado156.1320 ▲ +2.07%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Ano153.8560 ▼ -3.46%Ano Passado148.0420 ▲ +7.65%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Anos153.6759 ▼ -3.57%Há 5 Anos108.5550 ▲ +46.81%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Amanhã158.0934▼ -0.80%
Ontem158.1140▲ +0.79%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Semana156.3907▼ -1.87%
Semana Passada156.9830▲ +1.52%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mês154.8366▼ -2.84%
Mês Passado156.1320▲ +2.07%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Ano153.8560▼ -3.46%
Ano Passado148.0420▲ +7.65%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Anos153.6759▼ -3.57%
Há 5 Anos108.5550▲ +46.81%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Gráfico de Preço

HistóricoPrevisãoAltistaBaixista
159.9905158.5651157.1397155.7142154.28881W AgoNow7D F

Análise Técnica

VenderNeutroComprar
Bullish
4
Altista
1
Neutro
0
Baixista

Indicadores Chave

IndicadorValorSinal
RSI 1487.0 Bullish
MACD-0.02 Neutral
SMA 50157.2973 Above
SMA 200150.7236 Above
EMA 20148.3933 Above

Dados Históricos

Open158.1140
Start Date1996-11-01
Day Range158.5620 – 159.3760
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range152.7790 – 159.3660
24h Volumen/a
90D Range152.4530 – 159.3660
Circulatingn/a
52W Range140.8760 – 159.3660
Max Supplyn/a
Open158.1140Start Date1996-11-01
Day Range158.5620 – 159.3760Market Capn/a
Monthly Range152.7790 – 159.366024h Volumen/a
90D Range152.4530 – 159.3660Circulatingn/a
52W Range140.8760 – 159.3660Max Supplyn/a

Níveis de Suporte e Resistência

161.4700R3 — major ceiling
160.8388R2 — swing resistance
160.2076R1 — near-term resistance
159.3660Preço AtualUSD
152.7010S1 — near-term supportSupport
152.2780S2 — structure support
146.6090S3 — deep support
↑
Nearest resistance sits near 160.2076; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
↓
Nearest support is around 152.7010; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
⚖
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.55% daily realized volatility.

Marcos de Preço

Níveis-chave e contexto histórico
Recent159.3660Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High159.3760Local High+0.01%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low158.5620Local Low-0.50%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target154.8366Model 1M-2.84%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target153.8560Model 1Y-3.46%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario153.6759Model 5Y-3.57%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Precisão da Previsão

Como nosso modelo se saiu
83%
Direcional
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.55% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Nosso algoritmo é recalibrado semanalmente usando a última ação do preço, o regime de volatilidade e sinais de indicadores. A precisão varia por período — o impulso de curto prazo é mais confiável que as projeções de longo prazo.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Cenários de Investimento

Se você investir $1,000 em USD hoje
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Preço Alvo178.4899
CenárioBreakout continuation
Probabilidade32%
Base Case
$971.58
-2.84% from current
Preço Alvo154.8366
CenárioTrend-following baseline
Probabilidade40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Preço Alvo146.6167
CenárioVolatility drawdown
Probabilidade28%
Base: Scenario engine blends live drift (-2.84% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.55% daily).

Matriz de Correlação

30 dias · como USD se move com outros ativos
USDUSDTRYUSDARSSGDJPYUSDPKRUSDIDR
USD1.000.990.990.980.980.98
USDTRY0.991.001.000.981.000.98
USDARS0.991.001.000.981.000.98
SGDJPY0.980.980.981.000.971.00
USDPKR0.981.001.000.971.000.98
USDIDR0.980.980.981.000.981.00

Fatores da Previsão

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 42/100
24H drift-0.80%
7D drift-1.87%
30D drift-2.84%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI87.1 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 44/100
1M outlook-2.84%
1Y outlook-3.46%
5Y outlook-3.57%

Perguntas Frequentes

Q What is the USD forecast for tomorrow?
USD is projected near 158.0934 versus the latest reference around 159.3660. That implies a modeled move of -0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD?
The weekly model points to 156.3907, which maps to an expected drift of -1.87% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 154.8366 (-2.84%), while the 1-year target is 153.8560 (-3.46%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 153.6759 with a modeled change of -3.57%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 160.2076, while nearest support is around 152.7010. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 158.5620 to 159.3760. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.