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USD/PEN Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Atualizado: March 12, 2026 at 19:37 UTC
▲ +0.47%TA Grosseiro · Focus Macro + técnico

Resumo da Previsão

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PeríodoPreço PrevistoPassadoHistóricoComentário
Amanhã3.4204 -0.80%Ontem3.4320 +0.47%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.39%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.39%).
Semana3.3808 -1.95%Semana Passada3.4009 +1.38%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mês3.2992 -4.32%Mês Passado3.3570 +2.71%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Ano3.2784 -4.92%Ano Passado3.5967 -4.14%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Anos3.2243 -6.49%Há 5 Anos3.6910 -6.58%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Amanhã3.4204 -0.80%
Ontem3.4320 +0.47%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.39%).
Semana3.3808 -1.95%
Semana Passada3.4009 +1.38%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mês3.2992 -4.32%
Mês Passado3.3570 +2.71%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Ano3.2784 -4.92%
Ano Passado3.5967 -4.14%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Anos3.2243 -6.49%
Há 5 Anos3.6910 -6.58%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Gráfico de Preço

HistóricoPrevisãoAltistaBaixista
3.47383.43583.39773.35973.32171W AgoNow7D F

Análise Técnica

VenderNeutroComprar
Neutral
1
Altista
3
Neutro
1
Baixista

Indicadores Chave

IndicadorValorSinal
RSI 1423.8 Bearish
MACD-0.02 Neutral
SMA 503.3969 Above
SMA 2003.4473 Mid
EMA 203.4418 Mid

Dados Históricos

Open3.4320
Start Date2001-05-31
Day Range3.4168 – 3.4588
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range3.2746 – 3.4870
24h Volumen/a
90D Range3.2614 – 3.4870
Circulatingn/a
52W Range3.2614 – 3.8040
Max Supplyn/a
Open3.4320Start Date2001-05-31
Day Range3.4168 – 3.4588Market Capn/a
Monthly Range3.2746 – 3.487024h Volumen/a
90D Range3.2614 – 3.4870Circulatingn/a
52W Range3.2614 – 3.8040Max Supplyn/a

Níveis de Suporte e Resistência

3.5914R3 — major ceiling
3.5484R2 — swing resistance
3.5054R1 — near-term resistance
3.4480Preço AtualUSD
3.3790S1 — near-term supportSupport
3.2756S2 — structure support
3.1722S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near 3.5054; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around 3.3790; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 1.73% daily realized volatility.

Marcos de Preço

Níveis-chave e contexto histórico
Recent3.4480Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High3.4588Local High+0.31%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low3.4168Local Low-0.90%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target3.2992Model 1M-4.32%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target3.2784Model 1Y-4.92%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario3.2243Model 5Y-6.49%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Precisão da Previsão

Como nosso modelo se saiu
82%
Direcional
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (1.73% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Nosso algoritmo é recalibrado semanalmente usando a última ação do preço, o regime de volatilidade e sinais de indicadores. A precisão varia por período — o impulso de curto prazo é mais confiável que as projeções de longo prazo.
Tomorrow
85%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
83%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
80%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
75%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.9%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Cenários de Investimento

Se você investir $1,000 em USD hoje
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Preço Alvo3.8618
CenárioBreakout continuation
Probabilidade32%
Base Case
$956.84
-4.32% from current
Preço Alvo3.2992
CenárioTrend-following baseline
Probabilidade40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Preço Alvo3.1722
CenárioVolatility drawdown
Probabilidade28%
Base: Scenario engine blends live drift (-4.32% / 30D) and realized volatility (1.73% daily).

Matriz de Correlação

30 dias · como USD se move com outros ativos
USDEURNZDEURAUDUSDPENEURCADAUDNZD
USD1.00-0.90-0.850.84-0.83-0.80
EURNZD-0.901.000.96-0.630.710.84
EURAUD-0.850.961.00-0.580.700.67
USDPEN0.84-0.63-0.581.00-0.96-0.60
EURCAD-0.830.710.70-0.961.000.60
AUDNZD-0.800.840.67-0.600.601.00

Fatores da Previsão

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 41/100
24H drift-0.80%
7D drift-1.95%
30D drift-4.32%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 40/100
RSI23.9 · Bearish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack1/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 41/100
1M outlook-4.32%
1Y outlook-4.92%
5Y outlook-6.49%

Perguntas Frequentes

Q What is the USD forecast for tomorrow?
USD is projected near 3.4204 versus the latest reference around 3.4480. That implies a modeled move of -0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD?
The weekly model points to 3.3808, which maps to an expected drift of -1.95% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 3.2992 (-4.32%), while the 1-year target is 3.2784 (-4.92%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 3.2243 with a modeled change of -6.49%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 3.5054, while nearest support is around 3.3790. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 3.4168 to 3.4588. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.