Home » All » Bond Forecast » US 10Y Treasury Yield Forecast

US 10Y Treasury Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: May 19, 2026 at 03:03 UTC
▼ -2.15%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Rates + macro

Forecast Summary

TimeframePredicted PricePastHistoricalInsight
Tomorrow4.546% -1.20%Yesterday4.180% +10.07%Tomorrow's US 10Y Treasury Yield (US10Y) setup is anchored to 4.601% and targets 4.546% (-1.20%). The near-term read is downside; watch 4.749% / 4.453% because daily realized volatility is about 3.34%.
Tomorrow's US 10Y Treasury Yield (US10Y) setup is anchored to 4.601% and targets 4.546% (-1.20%). The near-term read is downside; watch 4.749% / 4.453% because daily realized volatility is about 3.34%.
Week4.463% -3.00%Last Week4.280% +7.50%The 7-day US 10Y Treasury Yield model moves from 4.280% to 4.463% (-3.00%). It gives downside momentum context for this bond yield, so breaks around 4.749% / 4.453% matter more than a single tick.
The 7-day US 10Y Treasury Yield model moves from 4.280% to 4.463% (-3.00%). It gives downside momentum context for this bond yield, so breaks around 4.749% / 4.453% matter more than a single tick.
Month4.333% -5.82%Last Month4.140% +11.14%The 1-month US 10Y Treasury Yield target is 4.333% (-5.82%), compared with the live reference near 4.601%. This horizon blends current trend pressure with yield momentum, rate expectations, and duration risk.
The 1-month US 10Y Treasury Yield target is 4.333% (-5.82%), compared with the live reference near 4.601%. This horizon blends current trend pressure with yield momentum, rate expectations, and duration risk.
Year4.184% -9.06%Last Year4.490% +2.47%The 1-year US 10Y Treasury Yield scenario points to 4.184% (-9.06%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
The 1-year US 10Y Treasury Yield scenario points to 4.184% (-9.06%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5 Years4.082% -11.28%5 Years Ago4.280% +7.50%The 5-year US 10Y Treasury Yield view is 4.082% (-11.28%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
The 5-year US 10Y Treasury Yield view is 4.082% (-11.28%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
Tomorrow4.546% -1.20%
Yesterday4.180% +10.07%
Tomorrow's US 10Y Treasury Yield (US10Y) setup is anchored to 4.601% and targets 4.546% (-1.20%). The near-term read is downside; watch 4.749% / 4.453% because daily realized volatility is about 3.34%.
Week4.463% -3.00%
Last Week4.280% +7.50%
The 7-day US 10Y Treasury Yield model moves from 4.280% to 4.463% (-3.00%). It gives downside momentum context for this bond yield, so breaks around 4.749% / 4.453% matter more than a single tick.
Month4.333% -5.82%
Last Month4.140% +11.14%
The 1-month US 10Y Treasury Yield target is 4.333% (-5.82%), compared with the live reference near 4.601%. This horizon blends current trend pressure with yield momentum, rate expectations, and duration risk.
Year4.184% -9.06%
Last Year4.490% +2.47%
The 1-year US 10Y Treasury Yield scenario points to 4.184% (-9.06%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5 Years4.082% -11.28%
5 Years Ago4.280% +7.50%
The 5-year US 10Y Treasury Yield view is 4.082% (-11.28%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish
4.683%4.557%4.431%4.306%4.180%1W AgoNow7D F

Technical Analysis

SellNeutralBuy
Bullish
4
Bullish
1
Neutral
0
Bearish

Key Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
RSI 1464.0 Bullish
MACD-0.03 Neutral
SMA 504.401% Above
SMA 2004.368% Above
EMA 204.380% Above

Historical Data

Opening Price4.180%
Start Date2021-05-19
Day Range4.089% – 4.701%
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range3.974% – 4.785%
24h Volumen/a
90D Range3.919% – 4.847%
Circulatingn/a
52W Range3.891% – 4.924%
Max Supplyn/a
Opening Price4.180%Start Date2021-05-19
Day Range4.089% – 4.701%Market Capn/a
Monthly Range3.974% – 4.785%24h Volumen/a
90D Range3.919% – 4.847%Circulatingn/a
52W Range3.891% – 4.924%Max Supplyn/a

Support & Resistance Levels

4.970%R3 — major ceiling
4.859%R2 — swing resistance
4.749%R1 — near-term resistance
4.601%Current PriceUS10Y
4.453%S1 — near-term supportSupport
4.343%S2 — structure support
4.232%S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near 4.749%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around 4.453%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 3.34% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context
Recent4.601%Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High4.701%Local High+2.17%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low4.089%Local Low-11.12%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target4.333%Model 1M-5.82%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target4.184%Model 1Y-9.06%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario4.082%Model 5Y-11.28%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed
80%
Directional
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (3.34% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.
Tomorrow
83%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
78%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
73%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±5.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Signal
Recent
Directional signal ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in US10Y today
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Target Price5.153%
ScenarioBreakout continuation
Probability32%
Base Case
$941.75
-5.82% from current
Target Price4.333%
ScenarioTrend-following baseline
Probability37%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Target Price4.233%
ScenarioVolatility drawdown
Probability31%
Basis: Scenario model combines current 30-day drift (-5.82%) and realized daily volatility (3.34%).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how US10Y moves with other assets
US10YUS2YUS30YDE10YUK10Y
US10Y1.000.780.690.26-0.17
US2Y0.781.000.210.770.36
US30Y0.690.211.00-0.37-0.35
DE10Y0.260.77-0.371.000.76
UK10Y-0.170.36-0.350.761.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 36/100
24H drift-1.20%
7D drift-3.00%
30D drift-5.82%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI64.2 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 36/100
1M outlook-5.82%
1Y outlook-9.06%
5Y outlook-11.28%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the US 10Y Treasury Yield (US10Y) forecast for tomorrow?
Using the latest BeCoin market snapshot (May 19, 2026 at 03:03 UTC), US 10Y Treasury Yield is projected near 4.546% versus the current reference around 4.601%. That implies a modeled move of -1.20% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day bond yield outlook suggest for US10Y?
The weekly US 10Y Treasury Yield model points to 4.463%, which maps to an expected drift of -3.00% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so support/resistance breaks can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the US 10Y Treasury Yield 1-month and 1-year targets?
The US 10Y Treasury Yield 1-month target is 4.333% (-5.82%), while the 1-year target is 4.184% (-9.06%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions shaped by yield momentum, rate expectations, and duration risk.
Q Why does the US 10Y Treasury Yield 5-year scenario differ from short-term rows?
The US 10Y Treasury Yield long-horizon scenario sits near 4.082% with a modeled change of -11.28%. It compounds cycle-continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are US10Y support and resistance zones right now?
For US 10Y Treasury Yield, nearest resistance is around 4.749%, while nearest support is around 4.453%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh is the US 10Y Treasury Yield market snapshot?
The displayed bond yield snapshot is labeled May 19, 2026 at 03:03 UTC; the latest observed session range is roughly 4.089% to 4.701%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the market feed so the FAQ, milestones, and support/resistance context stay tied to the same data refresh.

Recommended Forecasts

Related ideas for internal navigation, grouped by stronger upside and weaker downside setups in the same market.