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US 2Y Treasury Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: February 25, 2026 at 16:00 UTC

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• -0.00%TA Bearish · Focus Rates + macro

Forecast Summary

Timeframe	Predicted Price	Past	Historical	Insight
Tomorrow	3.441% ▼ -0.84%	Yesterday	3.588% • -0.00%	Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).
Week	3.396% ▼ -2.14%	Last Week	3.603% ▼ -0.42%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month	3.320% ▼ -4.32%	Last Month	3.575% ▲ +0.36%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year	3.339% ▼ -3.79%	Last Year	4.182% ▼ -14.20%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years	3.265% ▼ -5.90%	5 Years Ago	0.035% ▲ +10151.43%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Tomorrow3.441%▼ -0.84%

Yesterday3.588%• -0.00%

Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).

Week3.396%▼ -2.14%

Last Week3.603%▼ -0.42%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Month3.320%▼ -4.32%

Last Month3.575%▲ +0.36%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Year3.339%▼ -3.79%

Last Year4.182%▼ -14.20%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Years3.265%▼ -5.90%

5 Years Ago0.035%▲ +10151.43%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish

Technical Analysis

Bullish

Neutral

Bearish

Key Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
RSI 14	93.3	Bullish
MACD	-0.02	Neutral
SMA 50	3.489%	Above
SMA 200	3.192%	Above
EMA 20	2.914%	Above

Historical Data

Open3.588%

Start Date1985-01-01

Day Range3.585% – 3.588%

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range3.557% – 3.603%

24h Volumen/a

90D Range3.507% – 3.853%

Circulatingn/a

52W Range3.507% – 4.875%

Max Supplyn/a

Open	3.588%	Start Date	1985-01-01
Day Range	3.585% – 3.588%	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	3.557% – 3.603%	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	3.507% – 3.853%	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	3.507% – 4.875%	Max Supply	n/a

Support & Resistance Levels

4.013%R3 — major ceiling

3.725%R2 — swing resistance

3.607%R1 — near-term resistance

3.588%Current PriceUS2Y

3.516%S1 — near-term supportSupport

3.409%S2 — structure support

3.301%S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 3.607%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 3.516%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.26% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context

Recent3.588%Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High3.588%Local High0.00%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low3.585%Local Low-0.08%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target3.320%Model 1M-7.47%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target3.339%Model 1Y-6.94%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario3.265%Model 5Y-9.00%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed

84%

Directional

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (0.26% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.

Tomorrow

87%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

85%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

82%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

77%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in US2Y today

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

Target Price4.019%

ScenarioBreakout continuation

Probability32%

Base Case

$925.31

-7.47% from current

Target Price3.320%

ScenarioTrend-following baseline

Probability40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Target Price3.301%

ScenarioVolatility drawdown

Probability28%

Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (-4.32% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.26% daily).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how US2Y moves with other assets

	US2Y	UK10Y	US30Y	DE10Y	US10Y
US2Y	1.00	-0.96	0.68	-0.65	0.56
UK10Y	-0.96	1.00	-0.70	0.75	-0.39
US30Y	0.68	-0.70	1.00	-0.77	0.33
DE10Y	-0.65	0.75	-0.77	1.00	0.17
US10Y	0.56	-0.39	0.33	0.17	1.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 40/100

24H drift-0.84%

7D drift-2.14%

30D drift-4.32%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 77/100

RSI93.4 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack3/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-Off Caution · 42/100

1M outlook-4.32%

1Y outlook-3.79%

5Y outlook-5.90%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the US2Y forecast for tomorrow?

US2Y is projected near 3.441% versus the latest reference around 3.588%. That implies a modeled move of -0.84% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for US2Y?

The weekly model points to 3.396%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.14% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 3.320% (-4.32%), while the 1-year target is 3.339% (-3.79%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 3.265% with a modeled change of -5.90%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 3.607%, while nearest support is around 3.516%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 3.585% to 3.588%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.