Home » Forecast » US 30Y Treasury Yield Forecast

US 30Y Treasury Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: February 25, 2026 at 16:00 UTC

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▲ +0.13%TA Neutral · Focus Rates + macro

Forecast Summary

Timeframe	Predicted Price	Past	Historical	Insight
Tomorrow	4.724% ▲ +0.69%	Yesterday	4.689% ▲ +0.13%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Week	4.749% ▲ +1.21%	Last Week	4.706% ▼ -0.23%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month	4.831% ▲ +2.96%	Last Month	4.805% ▼ -2.29%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year	4.769% ▲ +1.63%	Last Year	4.557% ▲ +3.03%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years	4.793% ▲ +2.15%	5 Years Ago	2.182% ▲ +115.17%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Tomorrow4.724%▲ +0.69%

Yesterday4.689%▲ +0.13%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).

Week4.749%▲ +1.21%

Last Week4.706%▼ -0.23%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Month4.831%▲ +2.96%

Last Month4.805%▼ -2.29%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Year4.769%▲ +1.63%

Last Year4.557%▲ +3.03%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Years4.793%▲ +2.15%

5 Years Ago2.182%▲ +115.17%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish

Technical Analysis

Bullish

Neutral

Bearish

Key Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
RSI 14	88.9	Bullish
MACD	0.02	Neutral
SMA 50	4.732%	Below
SMA 200	4.438%	Above
EMA 20	4.313%	Above

Historical Data

Open4.689%

Start Date1984-11-01

Day Range4.691% – 4.706%

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range4.683% – 4.920%

24h Volumen/a

90D Range4.539% – 4.920%

Circulatingn/a

52W Range3.937% – 5.090%

Max Supplyn/a

Open	4.689%	Start Date	1984-11-01
Day Range	4.691% – 4.706%	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	4.683% – 4.920%	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	4.539% – 4.920%	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	3.937% – 5.090%	Max Supply	n/a

Support & Resistance Levels

4.775%R3 — major ceiling

4.751%R2 — swing resistance

4.727%R1 — near-term resistance

4.695%Current PriceUS30Y

4.664%S1 — near-term supportSupport

4.636%S2 — structure support

4.528%S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 4.727%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 4.664%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.71% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context

Recent4.695%Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High4.706%Local High+0.23%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low4.691%Local Low-0.09%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target4.831%Model 1M+2.90%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target4.769%Model 1Y+1.58%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario4.793%Model 5Y+2.09%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed

83%

Directional

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (0.71% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.

Tomorrow

86%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

84%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

81%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

76%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in US30Y today

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

Target Price5.258%

ScenarioBreakout continuation

Probability32%

Base Case

$1028.97

+2.90% from current

Target Price4.831%

ScenarioTrend-following baseline

Probability40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Target Price4.319%

ScenarioVolatility drawdown

Probability28%

Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (+2.96% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.71% daily).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how US30Y moves with other assets

	US30Y	UK10Y	DE10Y	US10Y	US2Y
US30Y	1.00	-0.96	-0.69	0.52	-0.24
UK10Y	-0.96	1.00	0.75	-0.39	0.31
DE10Y	-0.69	0.75	1.00	0.17	0.84
US10Y	0.52	-0.39	0.17	1.00	0.65
US2Y	-0.24	0.31	0.84	0.65	1.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Balanced · 57/100

24H drift+0.69%

7D drift+1.21%

30D drift+2.96%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 69/100

RSI88.8 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack2/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 53/100

1M outlook+2.96%

1Y outlook+1.63%

5Y outlook+2.15%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the US30Y forecast for tomorrow?

US30Y is projected near 4.724% versus the latest reference around 4.695%. That implies a modeled move of +0.69% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for US30Y?

The weekly model points to 4.749%, which maps to an expected drift of +1.21% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 4.831% (+2.96%), while the 1-year target is 4.769% (+1.63%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 4.793% with a modeled change of +2.15%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 4.727%, while nearest support is around 4.664%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 4.691% to 4.706%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.