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TSMC Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: February 25, 2026 at 17:33 UTC
▲ +0.48%TA Bullish · Focus Earnings + trend

Forecast Summary

TimeframePredicted PricePastHistoricalInsight
Tomorrow$380.63 -1.82%Yesterday$385.75 +0.48%Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.37%).
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.37%).
Week$401.19 +3.49%Last Week$362.26 +7.00%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month$429.79 +10.86%Last Month$332.71 +16.50%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year$435.15 +12.24%Last Year$189.37 +104.69%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years$476.56 +22.93%5 Years Ago$125.94 +207.78%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Tomorrow$380.63 -1.82%
Yesterday$385.75 +0.48%
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.37%).
Week$401.19 +3.49%
Last Week$362.26 +7.00%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month$429.79 +10.86%
Last Month$332.71 +16.50%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year$435.15 +12.24%
Last Year$189.37 +104.69%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years$476.56 +22.93%
5 Years Ago$125.94 +207.78%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish
$410.47$398.42$386.37$374.31$362.261W AgoNow7D F

Technical Analysis

SellNeutralBuy
Bullish
3
Bullish
0
Neutral
2
Bearish

Key Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
RSI 1486.1 Bullish
MACD-0.04 Bearish
SMA 50$391.21 Below
SMA 200$332.81 Above
EMA 20$340.42 Above

Historical Data

Open$385.75
Start Date1997-11-01
Day Range$384.83 – $390.21
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$325.74 – $387.62
24h Volumen/a
90D Range$275.06 – $387.62
Circulatingn/a
52W Range$141.37 – $387.62
Max Supplyn/a
Open$385.75Start Date1997-11-01
Day Range$384.83 – $390.21Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$325.74 – $387.6224h Volumen/a
90D Range$275.06 – $387.62Circulatingn/a
52W Range$141.37 – $387.62Max Supplyn/a

Support & Resistance Levels

$408.97R3 — major ceiling
$402.57R2 — swing resistance
$396.16R1 — near-term resistance
$387.62Current PriceTSM
$319.07S1 — near-term supportSupport
$275.08S2 — structure support
$230.30S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near $396.16; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around $319.07; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 2.30% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context
Recent$387.62Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High$390.21Local High+0.67%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low$384.83Local Low-0.72%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target$429.79Model 1M+10.88%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target$435.15Model 1Y+12.26%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario$476.56Model 5Y+22.95%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed
81%
Directional
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (2.30% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.
Tomorrow
84%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
82%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
79%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
74%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±3.8%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in TSM today
Bullish Case
$1229.45
+22.95% from current
Target Price$476.56
ScenarioBreakout continuation
Probability35%
Base Case
$1108.79
+10.88% from current
Target Price$429.79
ScenarioTrend-following baseline
Probability37%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Target Price$356.61
ScenarioVolatility drawdown
Probability28%
Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (+10.86% / 30D) and realized volatility (2.30% daily).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how TSM moves with other assets
TSMCGOOGLCATTSLAAMD
TSM1.000.970.950.930.920.91
C0.971.000.940.870.930.92
GOOGL0.950.941.000.970.900.78
CAT0.930.870.971.000.850.71
TSLA0.920.930.900.851.000.86
AMD0.910.920.780.710.861.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 63/100
24H drift-1.82%
7D drift+3.49%
30D drift+10.86%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 69/100
RSI86.4 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 64/100
1M outlook+10.86%
1Y outlook+12.24%
5Y outlook+22.93%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the TSM forecast for tomorrow?
TSM is projected near $380.63 versus the latest reference around $387.62. That implies a modeled move of -1.82% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for TSM?
The weekly model points to $401.19, which maps to an expected drift of +3.49% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $429.79 (+10.86%), while the 1-year target is $435.15 (+12.24%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $476.56 with a modeled change of +22.93%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $396.16, while nearest support is around $319.07. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly $384.83 to $390.21. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.