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Alibaba Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: February 25, 2026 at 15:37 UTC

From

▼ -0.99%TA Neutral · Focus Earnings + trend

Forecast Summary

Timeframe	Predicted Price	Past	Historical	Insight
Tomorrow	$153.06 ▲ +0.87%	Yesterday	$153.11 ▼ -0.99%	Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~3.24%).
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~3.24%).
Week	$148.54 ▼ -2.12%	Last Week	$155.77 ▼ -2.68%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month	$141.61 ▼ -6.68%	Last Month	$171.37 ▼ -11.54%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year	$139.62 ▼ -7.99%	Last Year	$134.01 ▲ +13.12%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years	$130.31 ▼ -14.13%	5 Years Ago	$237.76 ▼ -36.24%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Tomorrow$153.06▲ +0.87%

Yesterday$153.11▼ -0.99%

Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~3.24%).

Week$148.54▼ -2.12%

Last Week$155.77▼ -2.68%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Month$141.61▼ -6.68%

Last Month$171.37▼ -11.54%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Year$139.62▼ -7.99%

Last Year$134.01▲ +13.12%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Years$130.31▼ -14.13%

5 Years Ago$237.76▼ -36.24%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish

Technical Analysis

Bearish

Bullish

Neutral

Bearish

Key Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
RSI 14	46.4	Neutral
MACD	0.02	Neutral
SMA 50	$150.61	Above
SMA 200	$160.76	Below
EMA 20	$164.45	Below

Historical Data

Open$153.11

Start Date2014-10-01

Day Range$151.55 – $153.54

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range$151.60 – $177.18

24h Volumen/a

90D Range$146.58 – $179.97

Circulatingn/a

52W Range$80.53 – $189.34

Max Supplyn/a

Open	$153.11	Start Date	2014-10-01
Day Range	$151.55 – $153.54	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	$151.60 – $177.18	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	$146.58 – $179.97	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	$80.53 – $189.34	Max Supply	n/a

Support & Resistance Levels

$192.67R3 — major ceiling

$181.10R2 — swing resistance

$180.75R1 — near-term resistance

$151.60Current PriceBABA

$150.43S1 — near-term supportSupport

$145.27S2 — structure support

$130.06S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near $180.75; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around $150.43; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 2.06% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context

Recent$151.60Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High$153.54Local High+1.28%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low$151.55Local Low-0.03%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target$141.61Model 1M-6.59%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target$139.62Model 1Y-7.90%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario$130.31Model 5Y-14.04%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed

82%

Directional

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (2.06% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.

Tomorrow

85%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

83%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

80%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

75%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±3.4%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in BABA today

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

Target Price$169.79

ScenarioBreakout continuation

Probability32%

Base Case

$934.13

-6.59% from current

Target Price$141.61

ScenarioTrend-following baseline

Probability37%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Target Price$139.47

ScenarioVolatility drawdown

Probability31%

Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (-6.68% / 30D) and realized volatility (2.06% daily).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how BABA moves with other assets

	BABA	PG	LYFT	TCEHY	HD	UNH
BABA	1.00	-0.99	0.99	0.98	-0.96	-0.92
PG	-0.99	1.00	-0.97	-0.95	0.99	0.90
LYFT	0.99	-0.97	1.00	0.98	-0.94	-0.92
TCEHY	0.98	-0.95	0.98	1.00	-0.90	-0.90
HD	-0.96	0.99	-0.94	-0.90	1.00	0.89
UNH	-0.92	0.90	-0.92	-0.90	0.89	1.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 42/100

24H drift+0.87%

7D drift-2.12%

30D drift-6.68%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Mixed — Watching · 46/100

RSI46.3 · Neutral

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack1/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-Off Caution · 35/100

1M outlook-6.68%

1Y outlook-7.99%

5Y outlook-14.13%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the BABA forecast for tomorrow?

BABA is projected near $153.06 versus the latest reference around $151.60. That implies a modeled move of +0.87% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for BABA?

The weekly model points to $148.54, which maps to an expected drift of -2.12% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is $141.61 (-6.68%), while the 1-year target is $139.62 (-7.99%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near $130.31 with a modeled change of -14.13%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around $180.75, while nearest support is around $150.43. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly $151.55 to $153.54. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.