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Shopify Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: February 25, 2026 at 15:21 UTC

From

▲ +2.97%TA Bearish · Focus Earnings + trend

Forecast Summary

Timeframe	Predicted Price	Past	Historical	Insight
Tomorrow	$115.45 ▼ -4.17%	Yesterday	$116.93 ▲ +2.97%	Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~4.15%).
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~4.15%).
Week	$111.56 ▼ -7.40%	Last Week	$121.64 ▼ -1.02%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month	$105.13 ▼ -12.74%	Last Month	$136.31 ▼ -11.67%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year	$98.82 ▼ -17.98%	Last Year	$110.95 ▲ +8.52%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years	$88.07 ▼ -26.90%	5 Years Ago	$128.10 ▼ -6.01%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Tomorrow$115.45▼ -4.17%

Yesterday$116.93▲ +2.97%

Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~4.15%).

Week$111.56▼ -7.40%

Last Week$121.64▼ -1.02%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Month$105.13▼ -12.74%

Last Month$136.31▼ -11.67%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Year$98.82▼ -17.98%

Last Year$110.95▲ +8.52%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Years$88.07▼ -26.90%

5 Years Ago$128.10▼ -6.01%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish

Technical Analysis

Neutral

Bullish

Neutral

Bearish

Key Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
RSI 14	61.8	Bullish
MACD	-0.09	Bearish
SMA 50	$115.18	Mid
SMA 200	$118.50	Mid
EMA 20	$116.82	Mid

Historical Data

Open$116.93

Start Date2015-06-01

Day Range$117.64 – $123.77

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range$110.66 – $167.44

24h Volumen/a

90D Range$110.66 – $179.01

Circulatingn/a

52W Range$71.31 – $179.01

Max Supplyn/a

Open	$116.93	Start Date	2015-06-01
Day Range	$117.64 – $123.77	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	$110.66 – $167.44	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	$110.66 – $179.01	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	$71.31 – $179.01	Max Supply	n/a

Support & Resistance Levels

$182.19R3 — major ceiling

$172.98R2 — swing resistance

$144.14R1 — near-term resistance

$120.40Current PriceSHOP

$117.99S1 — near-term supportSupport

$114.38S2 — structure support

$110.77S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near $144.14; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around $117.99; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 4.50% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context

Recent$120.40Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High$123.77Local High+2.80%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low$117.64Local Low-2.29%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target$105.13Model 1M-12.68%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target$98.82Model 1Y-17.92%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario$88.07Model 5Y-26.85%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed

79%

Directional

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (4.50% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.

Tomorrow

82%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

80%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

77%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

72%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±7.4%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in SHOP today

Bullish Case

$1126.06

+12.61% from current

Target Price$135.58

ScenarioBreakout continuation

Probability32%

Base Case

$873.17

-12.68% from current

Target Price$105.13

ScenarioTrend-following baseline

Probability37%

Bearish Case

$918.96

-8.10% from current

Target Price$110.64

ScenarioVolatility drawdown

Probability31%

Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (-12.74% / 30D) and realized volatility (4.50% daily).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how SHOP moves with other assets

	SHOP	SOFI	NTES	SBUX	TCEHY	AMD
SHOP	1.00	0.98	0.96	-0.91	0.90	0.86
SOFI	0.98	1.00	0.96	-0.89	0.94	0.83
NTES	0.96	0.96	1.00	-0.97	0.88	0.82
SBUX	-0.91	-0.89	-0.97	1.00	-0.75	-0.86
TCEHY	0.90	0.94	0.88	-0.75	1.00	0.61
AMD	0.86	0.83	0.82	-0.86	0.61	1.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 16/100

24H drift-4.17%

7D drift-7.40%

30D drift-12.74%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 77/100

RSI62.5 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack3/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-Off Caution · 18/100

1M outlook-12.74%

1Y outlook-17.98%

5Y outlook-26.90%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the SHOP forecast for tomorrow?

SHOP is projected near $115.45 versus the latest reference around $120.40. That implies a modeled move of -4.17% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for SHOP?

The weekly model points to $111.56, which maps to an expected drift of -7.40% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is $105.13 (-12.74%), while the 1-year target is $98.82 (-17.98%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near $88.07 with a modeled change of -26.90%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around $144.14, while nearest support is around $117.99. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly $117.64 to $123.77. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.