Maison » Tous » Forex Forecast » USD/JPY Forecast

USD/JPY Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Mis à jour: March 12, 2026 at 23:00 UTC
▲ +0.73%TA Neutre · Focus Macro + technique

Résumé des prévisions

Saved locally for this browser. Sign in to sync on your account page.
Laps de tempsPrix ​​prévuPasséHistoriqueAperçu
Demain157.9982 ▼ -0.80%Hier158.1140 ▲ +0.73%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Semaine156.3086 ▼ -1.86%La semaine dernière156.9830 ▲ +1.46%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mois154.8066 ▼ -2.80%Mois dernier156.1320 ▲ +2.01%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Année153.8449 ▼ -3.41%L'année dernière148.0420 ▲ +7.59%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 ans153.6730 ▼ -3.52%Il y a 5 ans108.5550 ▲ +46.72%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Demain157.9982▼ -0.80%
Hier158.1140▲ +0.73%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Semaine156.3086▼ -1.86%
La semaine dernière156.9830▲ +1.46%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mois154.8066▼ -2.80%
Mois dernier156.1320▲ +2.01%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Année153.8449▼ -3.41%
L'année dernière148.0420▲ +7.59%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 ans153.6730▼ -3.52%
Il y a 5 ans108.5550▲ +46.72%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Tableau des prix

HistoriquePrévisionHaussierBaissier
159.8942158.4726157.0510155.6294154.20781W AgoNow7D F

Analyse technique

VendreNeutreAcheter
Bullish
4
Haussier
1
Neutre
0
Baissier

Indicateurs clés

IndicateurValeurSignal
RSI 1487.1 Bullish
MACD-0.02 Neutral
SMA 50157.2472 Above
SMA 200150.6903 Above
EMA 20148.3524 Above

Données historiques

Open158.1140
Start Date1996-11-01
Day Range159.2410 – 159.4270
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range152.7790 – 159.2730
24h Volumen/a
90D Range152.4530 – 159.2730
Circulatingn/a
52W Range140.8760 – 159.2730
Max Supplyn/a
Open158.1140Start Date1996-11-01
Day Range159.2410 – 159.4270Market Capn/a
Monthly Range152.7790 – 159.273024h Volumen/a
90D Range152.4530 – 159.2730Circulatingn/a
52W Range140.8760 – 159.2730Max Supplyn/a

Niveaux de support et de résistance

161.3670R3 — major ceiling
160.7388R2 — swing resistance
160.1106R1 — near-term resistance
159.2730Prix ​​actuelUSD
152.7010S1 — near-term supportSupport
152.2780S2 — structure support
146.6090S3 — deep support
↑
Nearest resistance sits near 160.1106; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
↓
Nearest support is around 152.7010; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
⚖
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.55% daily realized volatility.

Jalons de prix

Niveaux clés et contexte historique
Recent159.2730Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High159.4270Local High+0.10%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low159.2410Local Low-0.02%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target154.8066Model 1M-2.80%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target153.8449Model 1Y-3.41%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario153.6730Model 5Y-3.52%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Précision des prévisions

Comment notre modèle a fonctionné
83%
Directionnel
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.55% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Notre algorithme est recalibré chaque semaine en utilisant les dernières évolutions des prix, le régime de volatilité et les signaux des indicateurs. La précision varie selon la période : la dynamique à court terme est plus fiable que les projections à long terme.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Scénarios d'investissement

Si vous investissez $1,000 dans USD aujourd’hui
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Prix ​​cible178.3858
ScénarioBreakout continuation
Probabilité32%
Base Case
$971.96
-2.80% from current
Prix ​​cible154.8066
ScénarioTrend-following baseline
Probabilité40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Prix ​​cible146.5312
ScénarioVolatility drawdown
Probabilité28%
Base: Scenario engine blends live drift (-2.80% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.55% daily).

Matrice de corrélation

30 jours glissants · comment USD évolue avec d'autres actifs
USDUSDTRYUSDARSSGDJPYUSDPKRUSDIDR
USD1.000.990.990.980.980.98
USDTRY0.991.001.000.981.000.98
USDARS0.991.001.000.981.000.98
SGDJPY0.980.980.981.000.971.00
USDPKR0.981.001.000.971.000.98
USDIDR0.980.980.981.000.981.00

Facteurs de prévision

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 42/100
24H drift-0.80%
7D drift-1.86%
30D drift-2.80%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI87.2 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 44/100
1M outlook-2.80%
1Y outlook-3.41%
5Y outlook-3.52%

Foire aux questions

Q What is the USD forecast for tomorrow?
USD is projected near 157.9982 versus the latest reference around 159.2730. That implies a modeled move of -0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD?
The weekly model points to 156.3086, which maps to an expected drift of -1.86% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 154.8066 (-2.80%), while the 1-year target is 153.8449 (-3.41%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 153.6730 with a modeled change of -3.52%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 160.1106, while nearest support is around 152.7010. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 159.2410 to 159.4270. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.