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USD/JPY Prévision: Demain, Semaine, Mois, 5 ans

Mis à jour: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +0.01%Technical analysis Neutral · Focus area Macro + technical

Résumé des prévisions

Laps de tempsPrix ​​prévuPasséHistoriqueAperçu
Demain153.6658 +0.10%Hier153.4892 +0.52%Tomorrow's USD/JPY (USD) setup is anchored to 153.5081 and targets 153.6658 (+0.10%). The near-term read is upside; watch 154.7983 / 152.2179 because daily realized volatility is about 0.30%.
Tomorrow's USD/JPY (USD) setup is anchored to 153.5081 and targets 153.6658 (+0.10%). The near-term read is upside; watch 154.7983 / 152.2179 because daily realized volatility is about 0.30%.
Semaine153.9824 +0.31%La semaine dernière154.3198 -0.93%The 7-day USD/JPY model moves from 154.3198 to 153.9824 (+0.31%). It gives upside momentum context for this forex pair, so breaks around 154.7983 / 152.2179 matter more than a single tick.
The 7-day USD/JPY model moves from 154.3198 to 153.9824 (+0.31%). It gives upside momentum context for this forex pair, so breaks around 154.7983 / 152.2179 matter more than a single tick.
Mois154.2239 +0.47%Mois dernier157.7975 +2.03%The 1-month USD/JPY target is 154.2239 (+0.47%), compared with the live reference near 153.5081. This horizon blends current trend pressure with rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
The 1-month USD/JPY target is 154.2239 (+0.47%), compared with the live reference near 153.5081. This horizon blends current trend pressure with rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
Année153.6189 +0.07%L'année dernière143.4900 -0.90%The 1-year USD/JPY scenario points to 153.6189 (+0.07%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
The 1-year USD/JPY scenario points to 153.6189 (+0.07%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5 ans153.6142 +0.07%Il y a 5 ans144.8000 +0.91%The 5-year USD/JPY view is 153.6142 (+0.07%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
The 5-year USD/JPY view is 153.6142 (+0.07%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
Demain153.6658 +0.10%
Hier153.4892 +0.52%
Tomorrow's USD/JPY (USD) setup is anchored to 153.5081 and targets 153.6658 (+0.10%). The near-term read is upside; watch 154.7983 / 152.2179 because daily realized volatility is about 0.30%.
Semaine153.9824 +0.31%
La semaine dernière154.3198 -0.93%
The 7-day USD/JPY model moves from 154.3198 to 153.9824 (+0.31%). It gives upside momentum context for this forex pair, so breaks around 154.7983 / 152.2179 matter more than a single tick.
Mois154.2239 +0.47%
Mois dernier157.7975 +2.03%
The 1-month USD/JPY target is 154.2239 (+0.47%), compared with the live reference near 153.5081. This horizon blends current trend pressure with rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
Année153.6189 +0.07%
L'année dernière143.4900 -0.90%
The 1-year USD/JPY scenario points to 153.6189 (+0.07%). Confidence is lower than short-term rows, so treat it as cycle context and re-check it after major market-data updates.
5 ans153.6142 +0.07%
Il y a 5 ans144.8000 +0.91%
The 5-year USD/JPY view is 153.6142 (+0.07%). It is a directional scenario built from bounded drift and volatility, not a guaranteed path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Tableau des prix

HistoriquePrévisionHaussierBaissier
156.0519154.9944153.9369152.8794151.82181W AgoNow7D F

Analyse technique

VendreNeutreAcheter
Bearish
2
Haussier
0
Neutre
3
Baissier

Indicateurs clés

IndicateurValeurSignal
RSI 1432.5 Bearish
MACD-2.07 Bearish
SMA 50156.0724 Below
SMA 200152.0104 Above
EMA 20147.4607 Above

Données historiques

Open153.4862
Start Date
Day Range153.4495 – 153.5253
Market Cap
Monthly Range152.7024 – 158.4268
24h Volume
90D Range152.7024 – 159.1224
Circulating
52W Range140.8250 – 159.1224
Max Supply
Open153.4862Start Date
Day Range153.4495 – 153.5253Market Cap
Monthly Range152.7024 – 158.426824h Volume
90D Range152.7024 – 159.1224Circulating
52W Range140.8250 – 159.1224Max Supply

Niveaux de support et de résistance

157.3787R3 — upper range
155.9042R2 — swing high
154.7983R1 — near-term cap
153.5081Prix ​​actuelUSD
152.2179S1 — short-term supportSupport
151.1120S2 — trend support
149.6375S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 154.7983; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 152.2179; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 0.55%.

Jalons de prix

Niveaux clés et contexte historique
Recent153.5081Current
Current reference level.
90D High159.1224Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low152.7024Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Précision des prévisions

Comment notre modèle a fonctionné
74%
Directionnel
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Notre algorithme est recalibré chaque semaine en utilisant les dernières évolutions des prix, le régime de volatilité et les signaux des indicateurs. La précision varie selon la période : la dynamique à court terme est plus fiable que les projections à long terme.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Scénarios d'investissement

Si vous investissez $1,000 dans USD aujourd’hui
Bullish Case
$1,180.85
+18.09% from current
Prix ​​cible181.2704
ScénarioBreakout continuation
Probabilité25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
Prix ​​cible159.6484
ScénarioTrend-following baseline
Probabilité50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
Prix ​​cible135.0871
ScénarioVolatility drawdown
Probabilité25%
Base: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.09% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.55% daily).

Facteurs de prévision

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 51/100
24H drift+0.10%
7D drift+0.31%
30D drift+0.47%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 25/100
RSI32.5 · Bearish
MACD-2.07 · Bearish
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 50/100
1M outlook+0.47%
1Y outlook+0.07%
5Y outlook+0.07%

Foire aux questions

Q What is the USD/JPY (USD) forecast for tomorrow?
Using the latest BeCoin market snapshot (February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC), USD/JPY is projected near 153.6658 versus the current reference around 153.5081. That implies a modeled move of +0.10% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day forex pair outlook suggest for USD?
The weekly USD/JPY model points to 153.9824, which maps to an expected drift of +0.31% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so support/resistance breaks can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the USD/JPY 1-month and 1-year targets?
The USD/JPY 1-month target is 154.2239 (+0.47%), while the 1-year target is 153.6189 (+0.07%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions shaped by rate differentials, liquidity, and macro momentum.
Q Why does the USD/JPY 5-year scenario differ from short-term rows?
The USD/JPY long-horizon scenario sits near 153.6142 with a modeled change of +0.07%. It compounds cycle-continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are USD support and resistance zones right now?
For USD/JPY, nearest resistance is around 154.7983, while nearest support is around 152.2179. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh is the USD/JPY market snapshot?
The displayed forex pair snapshot is labeled February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC; the latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the market feed so the FAQ, milestones, and support/resistance context stay tied to the same data refresh.