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USD/MXN Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Mis à jour: March 13, 2026 at 01:55 UTC

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▲ +0.41%TA Baissier · Focus Macro + technique

Résumé des prévisions

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Laps de temps	Prix prévu	Passé	Historique	Aperçu
Demain	17.6745 ▼ -0.80%	Hier	17.7446 ▲ +0.41%	Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Semaine	17.4633 ▼ -1.99%	La semaine dernière	17.7026 ▲ +0.65%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mois	16.9865 ▼ -4.66%	Mois dernier	17.1839 ▲ +3.68%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Année	16.4736 ▼ -7.54%	L'année dernière	20.1744 ▼ -11.69%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 ans	15.6857 ▼ -11.96%	Il y a 5 ans	20.6150 ▼ -13.57%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Demain17.6745▼ -0.80%

Hier17.7446▲ +0.41%

Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.55%).

Semaine17.4633▼ -1.99%

La semaine dernière17.7026▲ +0.65%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Mois16.9865▼ -4.66%

Mois dernier17.1839▲ +3.68%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Année16.4736▼ -7.54%

L'année dernière20.1744▼ -11.69%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 ans15.6857▼ -11.96%

Il y a 5 ans20.6150▼ -13.57%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Tableau des prix

HistoriquePrévisionHaussierBaissier

Analyse technique

Bearish

Haussier

Neutre

Baissier

Indicateurs clés

Indicateur	Valeur	Signal
RSI 14	19.7	Bearish
MACD	-0.02	Neutral
SMA 50	17.5648	Above
SMA 200	18.1513	Below
EMA 20	18.0978	Below

Données historiques

Open17.7446

Start Date2003-12-01

Day Range17.7930 – 17.8640

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range17.0983 – 17.9923

24h Volumen/a

90D Range17.0983 – 18.5907

Circulatingn/a

52W Range17.0983 – 21.1694

Max Supplyn/a

Open	17.7446	Start Date	2003-12-01
Day Range	17.7930 – 17.8640	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	17.0983 – 17.9923	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	17.0983 – 18.5907	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	17.0983 – 21.1694	Max Supply	n/a

Niveaux de support et de résistance

18.7687R3 — major ceiling

18.0392R2 — swing resistance

18.0199R1 — near-term resistance

17.8170Prix actuelUSD

17.4607S1 — near-term supportSupport

16.9262S2 — structure support

16.3916S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 18.0199; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 17.4607; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.85% daily realized volatility.

Jalons de prix

Niveaux clés et contexte historique

Recent17.8170Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High17.8640Local High+0.26%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low17.7930Local Low-0.13%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target16.9865Model 1M-4.66%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target16.4736Model 1Y-7.54%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario15.6857Model 5Y-11.96%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Précision des prévisions

Comment notre modèle a fonctionné

83%

Directionnel

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (0.85% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Notre algorithme est recalibré chaque semaine en utilisant les dernières évolutions des prix, le régime de volatilité et les signaux des indicateurs. La précision varie selon la période : la dynamique à court terme est plus fiable que les projections à long terme.

Tomorrow

86%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

84%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

81%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

76%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Scénarios d'investissement

Si vous investissez $1,000 dans USD aujourd’hui

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

Prix cible19.9550

ScénarioBreakout continuation

Probabilité32%

Base Case

$953.39

-4.66% from current

Prix cible16.9865

ScénarioTrend-following baseline

Probabilité40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Prix cible16.3916

ScénarioVolatility drawdown

Probabilité28%

Base: Scenario engine blends live drift (-4.66% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.85% daily).

Matrice de corrélation

30 jours glissants · comment USD évolue avec d'autres actifs

	USD	USDPEN	USDJPY	EURCAD	USDMXN	EURNZD
USD	1.00	0.90	-0.86	-0.86	0.82	-0.78
USDPEN	0.90	1.00	-0.78	-0.96	0.94	-0.63
USDJPY	-0.86	-0.78	1.00	0.75	-0.64	0.72
EURCAD	-0.86	-0.96	0.75	1.00	-0.90	0.72
USDMXN	0.82	0.94	-0.64	-0.90	1.00	-0.47
EURNZD	-0.78	-0.63	0.72	0.72	-0.47	1.00

Facteurs de prévision

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 40/100

24H drift-0.80%

7D drift-1.99%

30D drift-4.66%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 31/100

RSI19.8 · Bearish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack1/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-Off Caution · 37/100

1M outlook-4.66%

1Y outlook-7.54%

5Y outlook-11.96%

Foire aux questions

Q What is the USD forecast for tomorrow?

USD is projected near 17.6745 versus the latest reference around 17.8170. That implies a modeled move of -0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD?

The weekly model points to 17.4633, which maps to an expected drift of -1.99% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 16.9865 (-4.66%), while the 1-year target is 16.4736 (-7.54%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 15.6857 with a modeled change of -11.96%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 18.0199, while nearest support is around 17.4607. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 17.7930 to 17.8640. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.