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EUR/JPY Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Mis à jour: March 12, 2026 at 23:50 UTC
▼ -0.05%TA Neutre · Focus Macro + technique

Résumé des prévisions

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Laps de tempsPrix ​​prévuPasséHistoriqueAperçu
Demain183.3739 -0.07%Hier183.5770 -0.05%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.52%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.52%).
Semaine185.3638 +1.02%La semaine dernière182.6410 +0.47%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mois189.6850 +3.37%Mois dernier185.8550 -1.27%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Année193.4390 +5.42%L'année dernière161.5640 +13.57%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 ans201.0996 +9.59%Il y a 5 ans130.0820 +41.06%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Demain183.3739 -0.07%
Hier183.5770 -0.05%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.52%).
Semaine185.3638 +1.02%
La semaine dernière182.6410 +0.47%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mois189.6850 +3.37%
Mois dernier185.8550 -1.27%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Année193.4390 +5.42%
L'année dernière161.5640 +13.57%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 ans201.0996 +9.59%
Il y a 5 ans130.0820 +41.06%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Tableau des prix

HistoriquePrévisionHaussierBaissier
187.8551186.1847184.5143182.8438181.17341W AgoNow7D F

Analyse technique

VendreNeutreAcheter
Bullish
3
Haussier
1
Neutre
1
Baissier

Indicateurs clés

IndicateurValeurSignal
RSI 1491.7 Bullish
MACD-0.00 Neutral
SMA 50184.6891 Below
SMA 200176.1817 Above
EMA 20175.2098 Above

Données historiques

Open183.5770
Start Date2003-02-01
Day Range183.2870 – 183.5740
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range181.3050 – 185.9500
24h Volumen/a
90D Range176.3580 – 186.2900
Circulatingn/a
52W Range155.9280 – 186.2900
Max Supplyn/a
Open183.5770Start Date2003-02-01
Day Range183.2870 – 183.5740Market Capn/a
Monthly Range181.3050 – 185.950024h Volumen/a
90D Range176.3580 – 186.2900Circulatingn/a
52W Range155.9280 – 186.2900Max Supplyn/a

Niveaux de support et de résistance

185.4035R3 — major ceiling
184.8307R2 — swing resistance
184.2578R1 — near-term resistance
183.4940Prix ​​actuelEUR
179.8241S1 — near-term supportSupport
174.3193S2 — structure support
168.8145S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near 184.2578; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around 179.8241; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.43% daily realized volatility.

Jalons de prix

Niveaux clés et contexte historique
Recent183.4940Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High183.5740Local High+0.04%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low183.2870Local Low-0.11%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target189.6850Model 1M+3.37%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target193.4390Model 1Y+5.42%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario201.0996Model 5Y+9.59%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Précision des prévisions

Comment notre modèle a fonctionné
84%
Directionnel
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.43% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Notre algorithme est recalibré chaque semaine en utilisant les dernières évolutions des prix, le régime de volatilité et les signaux des indicateurs. La précision varie selon la période : la dynamique à court terme est plus fiable que les projections à long terme.
Tomorrow
87%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
85%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
82%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
77%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Scénarios d'investissement

Si vous investissez $1,000 dans EUR aujourd’hui
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Prix ​​cible205.5133
ScénarioBreakout continuation
Probabilité32%
Base Case
$1033.74
+3.37% from current
Prix ​​cible189.6850
ScénarioTrend-following baseline
Probabilité40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Prix ​​cible168.8145
ScénarioVolatility drawdown
Probabilité28%
Base: Scenario engine blends live drift (+3.37% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.43% daily).

Matrice de corrélation

30 jours glissants · comment EUR évolue avec d'autres actifs
EURNZDCHFGBPCHFCADCHFCHFJPYAUDCHF
EUR1.00-0.99-0.99-0.980.98-0.97
NZDCHF-0.991.000.990.97-0.980.99
GBPCHF-0.990.991.000.98-0.980.98
CADCHF-0.980.970.981.00-0.970.96
CHFJPY0.98-0.98-0.98-0.971.00-0.97
AUDCHF-0.970.990.980.96-0.971.00

Facteurs de prévision

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 55/100
24H drift-0.07%
7D drift+1.02%
30D drift+3.37%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 69/100
RSI91.7 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 56/100
1M outlook+3.37%
1Y outlook+5.42%
5Y outlook+9.59%

Foire aux questions

Q What is the EUR forecast for tomorrow?
EUR is projected near 183.3739 versus the latest reference around 183.4940. That implies a modeled move of -0.07% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for EUR?
The weekly model points to 185.3638, which maps to an expected drift of +1.02% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 189.6850 (+3.37%), while the 1-year target is 193.4390 (+5.42%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 201.0996 with a modeled change of +9.59%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 184.2578, while nearest support is around 179.8241. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 183.2870 to 183.5740. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.