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USD/PEN Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Mis à jour: March 12, 2026 at 23:53 UTC
▲ +0.45%TA Baissier · Focus Macro + technique

Résumé des prévisions

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Laps de tempsPrix ​​prévuPasséHistoriqueAperçu
Demain3.4197 -0.80%Hier3.4320 +0.45%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.39%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.39%).
Semaine3.3801 -1.95%La semaine dernière3.4009 +1.36%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mois3.2987 -4.31%Mois dernier3.3570 +2.69%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Année3.2782 -4.90%L'année dernière3.5967 -4.15%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 ans3.2242 -6.47%Il y a 5 ans3.6910 -6.60%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Demain3.4197 -0.80%
Hier3.4320 +0.45%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.39%).
Semaine3.3801 -1.95%
La semaine dernière3.4009 +1.36%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mois3.2987 -4.31%
Mois dernier3.3570 +2.69%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Année3.2782 -4.90%
L'année dernière3.5967 -4.15%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 ans3.2242 -6.47%
Il y a 5 ans3.6910 -6.60%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Tableau des prix

HistoriquePrévisionHaussierBaissier
3.47303.43503.39703.35903.32101W AgoNow7D F

Analyse technique

VendreNeutreAcheter
Neutral
1
Haussier
3
Neutre
1
Baissier

Indicateurs clés

IndicateurValeurSignal
RSI 1423.7 Bearish
MACD-0.02 Neutral
SMA 503.3964 Above
SMA 2003.4470 Mid
EMA 203.4414 Mid

Données historiques

Open3.4320
Start Date2001-05-31
Day Range3.4473 – 3.4473
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range3.2746 – 3.4870
24h Volumen/a
90D Range3.2614 – 3.4870
Circulatingn/a
52W Range3.2614 – 3.8040
Max Supplyn/a
Open3.4320Start Date2001-05-31
Day Range3.4473 – 3.4473Market Capn/a
Monthly Range3.2746 – 3.487024h Volumen/a
90D Range3.2614 – 3.4870Circulatingn/a
52W Range3.2614 – 3.8040Max Supplyn/a

Niveaux de support et de résistance

3.5907R3 — major ceiling
3.5477R2 — swing resistance
3.5047R1 — near-term resistance
3.4473Prix ​​actuelUSD
3.3784S1 — near-term supportSupport
3.2749S2 — structure support
3.1715S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near 3.5047; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around 3.3784; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 1.73% daily realized volatility.

Jalons de prix

Niveaux clés et contexte historique
Recent3.4473Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High3.4473Local High0.00%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low3.4473Local Low0.00%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target3.2987Model 1M-4.31%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target3.2782Model 1Y-4.91%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario3.2242Model 5Y-6.47%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Précision des prévisions

Comment notre modèle a fonctionné
82%
Directionnel
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (1.73% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Notre algorithme est recalibré chaque semaine en utilisant les dernières évolutions des prix, le régime de volatilité et les signaux des indicateurs. La précision varie selon la période : la dynamique à court terme est plus fiable que les projections à long terme.
Tomorrow
85%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
83%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
80%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
75%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.9%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Scénarios d'investissement

Si vous investissez $1,000 dans USD aujourd’hui
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Prix ​​cible3.8610
ScénarioBreakout continuation
Probabilité32%
Base Case
$956.89
-4.31% from current
Prix ​​cible3.2987
ScénarioTrend-following baseline
Probabilité40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Prix ​​cible3.1715
ScénarioVolatility drawdown
Probabilité28%
Base: Scenario engine blends live drift (-4.31% / 30D) and realized volatility (1.73% daily).

Matrice de corrélation

30 jours glissants · comment USD évolue avec d'autres actifs
USDEURNZDEURAUDUSDPENEURCADAUDNZD
USD1.00-0.90-0.840.84-0.84-0.79
EURNZD-0.901.000.96-0.630.720.84
EURAUD-0.840.961.00-0.570.700.67
USDPEN0.84-0.63-0.571.00-0.96-0.59
EURCAD-0.840.720.70-0.961.000.60
AUDNZD-0.790.840.67-0.590.601.00

Facteurs de prévision

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 41/100
24H drift-0.80%
7D drift-1.95%
30D drift-4.31%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 40/100
RSI23.8 · Bearish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack1/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 41/100
1M outlook-4.31%
1Y outlook-4.90%
5Y outlook-6.47%

Foire aux questions

Q What is the USD forecast for tomorrow?
USD is projected near 3.4197 versus the latest reference around 3.4473. That implies a modeled move of -0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD?
The weekly model points to 3.3801, which maps to an expected drift of -1.95% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 3.2987 (-4.31%), while the 1-year target is 3.2782 (-4.90%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 3.2242 with a modeled change of -6.47%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 3.5047, while nearest support is around 3.3784. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 3.4473 to 3.4473. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.