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USD/ZAR Pronóstico: Mañana, Semana, Mes, 5 Años

Actualizado: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +10.64%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

Resumen de Pronóstico

PeriodoPrecio PrevistoPasadoHistóricoComentario
Mañana16.0518 ▲ +0.51%Ayer15.9478 ▲ +0.49%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.78%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.78%).
Semana16.1913 ▲ +1.38%Semana Pasada16.0701 ▲ +0.34%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mes16.4723 ▲ +3.14%Mes Pasado16.4965 ▼ -3.97%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Año15.4062 ▼ -3.54%Año Pasado18.3190 ▼ -3.74%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Años15.0334 ▼ -5.87%Hace 5 Años14.5763 ▼ -20.43%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Mañana16.0518▲ +0.51%
Ayer15.9478▲ +0.49%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.78%).
Semana16.1913▲ +1.38%
Semana Pasada16.0701▲ +0.34%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mes16.4723▲ +3.14%
Mes Pasado16.4965▼ -3.97%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Año15.4062▼ -3.54%
Año Pasado18.3190▼ -3.74%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Años15.0334▼ -5.87%
Hace 5 Años14.5763▼ -20.43%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Gráfico de Precio

HistóricoPronósticoAlcistaBajista
16.485016.311716.138415.965215.79191W AgoNow7D F

Análisis Técnico

VenderNeutralComprar
Bearish
1
Alcista
1
Neutral
3
Bajista

Indicadores Clave

IndicadorValorSeñal
RSI 1448.9 Neutral
MACD-0.06 Bearish
SMA 5016.3978 Below
SMA 20017.2822 Below
EMA 2014.7542 Above

Datos Históricos

Open15.9333
Start Date
Day Range15.8688 – 15.9965
Market Cap
Monthly Range15.7100 – 16.5121
24h Volume
90D Range15.7100 – 17.4910
Circulating
52W Range15.7100 – 19.7578
Max Supply
Open15.9333Start Date
Day Range15.8688 – 15.9965Market Cap
Monthly Range15.7100 – 16.512124h Volume
90D Range15.7100 – 17.4910Circulating
52W Range15.7100 – 19.7578Max Supply

Niveles de Soporte y Resistencia

16.5481R3 — upper range
16.3283R2 — swing high
16.1634R1 — near-term cap
15.9710Precio ActualUSD
15.7786S1 — short-term supportSupport
15.6137S2 — trend support
15.3939S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is 16.1634; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near 15.7786; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 0.78%.

Hitos de Precio

Niveles clave y contexto histórico
Recent15.9710Current
Current reference level.
90D High17.4910Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low15.7100Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Precisión del Pronóstico

Cómo ha rendido nuestro modelo
74%
Direccional
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Nuestro algoritmo se recalibra semanalmente usando la última acción del precio, el régimen de volatilidad y las señales de indicadores. La precisión varía por periodo: el impulso de corto plazo es más confiable que las proyecciones de largo plazo.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Escenarios de Inversión

Si inviertes $1,000 en USD hoy
Bullish Case
$1,138.27
+13.83% from current
Precio Objetivo18.1793
EscenarioBreakout continuation
Probabilidad25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
Precio Objetivo16.6098
EscenarioTrend-following baseline
Probabilidad50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
Precio Objetivo14.0545
EscenarioVolatility drawdown
Probabilidad25%
Base: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.10% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.78% daily).

Matriz de Correlación

30 días · cómo USD se mueve con otros activos
USD
USD1.00

Factores del Pronóstico

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 57/100
24H drift+0.51%
7D drift+1.38%
30D drift+3.14%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 31/100
RSI48.8 · Neutral
MACD-0.07 · Bearish
MA stack1/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 47/100
1M outlook+3.14%
1Y outlook-3.54%
5Y outlook-5.87%

Preguntas Frecuentes

Q What is the USD/ZAR forecast for tomorrow?
USD/ZAR is projected near 16.0518 versus the latest reference around 15.9710. That implies a modeled move of +0.51% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/ZAR?
The weekly model points to 16.1913, which maps to an expected drift of +1.38% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 16.4723 (+3.14%), while the 1-year target is 15.4062 (-3.54%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 15.0334 with a modeled change of -5.87%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 16.1634, while nearest support is around 15.7786. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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