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USD/IDR Previsiones para Mañana, Semana, Mes y 5 Años

Actualizado: 26 de abril de 2026 15:49 UTC

▲ +0.18%Análisis técnico Alcista · Área de enfoque Macro+técnico

Resumen de Pronóstico

Periodo	Precio Previsto	Pasado	Histórico	Comentario
Mañana	16917.1780 ▲ +0.46%	Ayer	16809.0000 ▲ +0.18%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.24%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.24%).
Semana	17041.5283 ▲ +1.20%	Semana Pasada	16800.0000 ▲ +0.24%	7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mes	17275.6878 ▲ +2.59%	Mes Pasado	16683.0000 ▲ +0.94%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Año	17494.0046 ▲ +3.88%	Año Pasado	16245.0996 ▲ +3.66%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Años	17899.4770 ▲ +6.29%	Hace 5 Años	14558.0000 ▲ +15.68%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Mañana16917.1780▲ +0.46%

Ayer16809.0000▲ +0.18%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.24%).

Semana17041.5283▲ +1.20%

Semana Pasada16800.0000▲ +0.24%

7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Mes17275.6878▲ +2.59%

Mes Pasado16683.0000▲ +0.94%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Año17494.0046▲ +3.88%

Año Pasado16245.0996▲ +3.66%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Años17899.4770▲ +6.29%

Hace 5 Años14558.0000▲ +15.68%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Aviso de riesgo:Este pronóstico es sólo informativo, no es un consejo financiero; La precisión depende de la volatilidad, la liquidez, los eventos macroeconómicos y otros factores externos.

Gráfico de Precio

HistóricoPronósticoAlcistaBajista

Análisis Técnico

Alcista

Neutral

Bajista

Indicadores Clave

Indicador	Valor	Señal
Índice de fuerza relativa (RSI 14)	50.1	Neutral
Divergencia de convergencia de media móvil (MACD)	0.01	Neutral
Media móvil simple (SMA 50)	16947.2324	Abajo
Media móvil simple (SMA 200)	16574.3882	Arriba
Media móvil exponencial (EMA 20)	16548.0606	Arriba

Datos Históricos

Precio de apertura16809.0000

Fecha de inicio2021-04-26

Rango de días16635.6942 – 17013.6255

Capitalización de mercadon/a

Rango mensual16365.4491 – 17604.5202

24 Volumen horarion/a

Rango de días 9016259.5988 – 17714.1309

Circulanten/a

Rango de semanas 5215703.9721 – 18076.7334

Suministro máximon/a

Precio de apertura	16809.0000	Fecha de inicio	2021-04-26
Rango de días	16635.6942 – 17013.6255	Capitalización de mercado	n/a
Rango mensual	16365.4491 – 17604.5202	24 Volumen horario	n/a
Rango de días 90	16259.5988 – 17714.1309	Circulante	n/a
Rango de semanas 52	15703.9721 – 18076.7334	Suministro máximo	n/a

Niveles de Soporte y Resistencia

17481.0786Resistencia 3 — techo importante

17288.7550Resistencia 2 — resistencia al balanceo

17096.4314Resistencia 1 — resistencia a corto plazo

16840.0000Precio actualDólar estadounidense

16583.5686Apoyo 1 — apoyo a corto plazoApoyo

16391.2450Apoyo 2 — soporte de estructura

16198.9214Apoyo 3 — apoyo profundo

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 17096.4314; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 16583.5686; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 1.59% daily realized volatility.

Hitos de Precio

Niveles clave y contexto histórico

Reciente16840.0000Actual

Nivel de referencia actual del feed del mercado en vivo.

24h alto17013.6255Alto local+1.03%

Máximo diario observado desde la última sesión de mercado.

24h baja16635.6942Mínimo local-1.21%

Mínimo diario observado desde la última sesión de mercado.

Objetivo 30D17275.6878Modelo 1M+2.59%

Motor de pronóstico de proyección a medio horizonte.

Objetivo a 1 año17494.0046Modelo 1Y+3.88%

Proyección a largo plazo del motor de pronóstico.

Escenario a 5 años17899.4770Modelo 5Y+6.29%

Escenario de continuación de ciclo largo, no un camino garantizado.

Precisión del Pronóstico

Cómo ha rendido nuestro modelo

82%

Direccional

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (1.59% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Nuestro algoritmo se recalibra semanalmente usando la última acción del precio, el régimen de volatilidad y las señales de indicadores. La precisión varía por periodo: el impulso de corto plazo es más confiable que las proyecciones de largo plazo.

Tomorrow

85%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

83%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

80%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

75%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.6%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Signal

Recent

Directional signal ✓

Escenarios de Inversión

Si inviertes $1,000 en USD hoy

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

Precio Objetivo18860.8000

EscenarioBreakout continuation

Probabilidad32%

Base Case

$1025.87

+2.59% from current

Precio Objetivo17275.6878

EscenarioTrend-following baseline

Probabilidad40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Precio Objetivo15492.8000

EscenarioVolatility drawdown

Probabilidad28%

Base: Scenario model combines current 30-day drift (+2.59%) and realized daily volatility (1.59%).

Matriz de Correlación

30 días · cómo USD se mueve con otros activos

	USD
USD	1.00

Factores del Pronóstico

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Balanced · 56/100

24H drift+0.46%

7D drift+1.20%

30D drift+2.59%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Mixed — Watching · 54/100

RSI50.0 · Neutral

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack2/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 54/100

1M outlook+2.59%

1Y outlook+3.88%

5Y outlook+6.29%

Preguntas Frecuentes

Q What is the USD/IDR forecast for tomorrow?

USD/IDR is projected near 16917.1780 versus the latest reference around 16840.0000. That implies a modeled move of +0.46% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/IDR?

The weekly model points to 17041.5283, which maps to an expected drift of +1.20% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 17275.6878 (+2.59%), while the 1-year target is 17494.0046 (+3.88%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 17899.4770 with a modeled change of +6.29%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 17096.4314, while nearest support is around 16583.5686. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 16635.6942 to 17013.6255. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

USD/IDR Previsiones para Mañana, Semana, Mes y 5 Años

Resumen de Pronóstico

Gráfico de Precio

Análisis Técnico

Indicadores Clave

Datos Históricos

Niveles de Soporte y Resistencia

Hitos de Precio

Precisión del Pronóstico

Escenarios de Inversión

Matriz de Correlación

Factores del Pronóstico

Preguntas Frecuentes

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