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EUR/JPY Previsiones para Mañana, Semana, Mes y 5 Años

Actualizado: 26 de abril de 2026 15:46 UTC
▲ +0.30%Análisis técnico Neutral · Área de enfoque Macro+técnico

Resumen de Pronóstico

PeriodoPrecio PrevistoPasadoHistóricoComentario
Mañana183.0271 +0.61%Ayer181.3720 +0.30%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.52%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.52%).
Semana184.6897 +1.52%Semana Pasada185.1830 -1.76%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mes188.8454 +3.81%Mes Pasado183.7470 -0.99%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Año192.8996 +6.04%Año Pasado156.8790 +15.96%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Años200.6817 +10.31%Hace 5 Años130.5100 +39.39%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Mañana183.0271 +0.61%
Ayer181.3720 +0.30%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.52%).
Semana184.6897 +1.52%
Semana Pasada185.1830 -1.76%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mes188.8454 +3.81%
Mes Pasado183.7470 -0.99%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Año192.8996 +6.04%
Año Pasado156.8790 +15.96%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Años200.6817 +10.31%
Hace 5 Años130.5100 +39.39%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Aviso de riesgo:Este pronóstico es sólo informativo, no es un consejo financiero; La precisión depende de la volatilidad, la liquidez, los eventos macroeconómicos y otros factores externos.

Gráfico de Precio

HistóricoPronósticoAlcistaBajista
189.2543186.6878184.1213181.5548178.9882Semana PasadaAhora7 dias

Análisis Técnico

VenderNeutralComprar
Alcista
3
Alcista
1
Neutral
1
Bajista

Indicadores Clave

IndicadorValorSeñal
Índice de fuerza relativa (RSI 14)70.1 Alcista
Divergencia de convergencia de media móvil (MACD)0.01 Neutral
Media móvil simple (SMA 50)184.1727 Abajo
Media móvil simple (SMA 200)175.1302 Arriba
Media móvil exponencial (EMA 20)174.4791 Arriba

Datos Históricos

Precio de apertura181.3720
Fecha de inicio2021-04-26
Rango de días178.4814 – 184.8183
Capitalización de mercadon/a
Rango mensual176.5664 – 194.4018
24 Volumen horarion/a
Rango de días 90174.7822 – 196.2539
Circulanten/a
Rango de semanas 52148.8013 – 202.8320
Suministro máximon/a
Precio de apertura181.3720Fecha de inicio2021-04-26
Rango de días178.4814 – 184.8183Capitalización de mercadon/a
Rango mensual176.5664 – 194.401824 Volumen horarion/a
Rango de días 90174.7822 – 196.2539Circulanten/a
Rango de semanas 52148.8013 – 202.8320Suministro máximon/a

Niveles de Soporte y Resistencia

192.6241Resistencia 3 — techo importante
189.4126Resistencia 2 — resistencia al balanceo
186.2011Resistencia 1 — resistencia a corto plazo
181.9190Precio actualeuros
177.6369Apoyo 1 — apoyo a corto plazoApoyo
174.4254Apoyo 2 — soporte de estructura
171.2139Apoyo 3 — apoyo profundo
Nearest resistance sits near 186.2011; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around 177.6369; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 2.45% daily realized volatility.

Hitos de Precio

Niveles clave y contexto histórico
Reciente181.9190Actual
Nivel de referencia actual del feed del mercado en vivo.
24h alto184.8183Alto local+1.59%
Máximo diario observado desde la última sesión de mercado.
24h baja178.4814Mínimo local-1.89%
Mínimo diario observado desde la última sesión de mercado.
Objetivo 30D188.8454Modelo 1M+3.81%
Motor de pronóstico de proyección a medio horizonte.
Objetivo a 1 año192.8996Modelo 1Y+6.04%
Proyección a largo plazo del motor de pronóstico.
Escenario a 5 años200.6817Modelo 5Y+10.31%
Escenario de continuación de ciclo largo, no un camino garantizado.

Precisión del Pronóstico

Cómo ha rendido nuestro modelo
81%
Direccional
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (2.45% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Nuestro algoritmo se recalibra semanalmente usando la última acción del precio, el régimen de volatilidad y las señales de indicadores. La precisión varía por periodo: el impulso de corto plazo es más confiable que las proyecciones de largo plazo.
Tomorrow
84%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
82%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
79%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
74%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±4.0%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Signal
Recent
Directional signal ✓

Escenarios de Inversión

Si inviertes $1,000 en EUR hoy
Caso alcista
$1120.00
+12,00% respecto al actual
Precio Objetivo203.7493
EscenarioContinuación de la fuga
Probabilidad32%
Caso base
$1038.07
+3,81% respecto al actual
Precio Objetivo188.8454
EscenarioLínea base de seguimiento de tendencias
Probabilidad40%
Caso bajista
$920.00
-8,00% del actual
Precio Objetivo167.3655
EscenarioReducción de la volatilidad
Probabilidad28%
Base: Scenario model combines current 30-day drift (+3.81%) and realized daily volatility (2.45%).

Matriz de Correlación

30 días · cómo EUR se mueve con otros activos
EUR
EUR1.00

Factores del Pronóstico

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 58/100
24H drift+0.61%
7D drift+1.52%
30D drift+3.81%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 69/100
RSI70.0 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 56/100
1M outlook+3.81%
1Y outlook+6.04%
5Y outlook+10.31%

Preguntas Frecuentes

Q What is the EUR/JPY forecast for tomorrow?
EUR/JPY is projected near 183.0271 versus the latest reference around 181.9190. That implies a modeled move of +0.61% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for EUR/JPY?
The weekly model points to 184.6897, which maps to an expected drift of +1.52% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 188.8454 (+3.81%), while the 1-year target is 192.8996 (+6.04%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 200.6817 with a modeled change of +10.31%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 186.2011, while nearest support is around 177.6369. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 178.4814 to 184.8183. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.