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USD/PEN Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Actualizado: March 12, 2026 at 04:53 UTC

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▼ -0.44%TA Osuno · Focus Macro+técnico

Resumen de Pronóstico

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Periodo	Precio Previsto	Pasado	Histórico	Comentario
Mañana	3.3896 ▼ -0.80%	Ayer	3.4320 ▼ -0.44%	Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.39%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.39%).
Semana	3.3525 ▼ -1.88%	Semana Pasada	3.4009 ▲ +0.47%	7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mes	3.2780 ▼ -4.06%	Mes Pasado	3.3570 ▲ +1.78%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Año	3.2720 ▼ -4.24%	Año Pasado	3.5967 ▼ -5.00%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Años	3.2215 ▼ -5.72%	Hace 5 Años	3.6910 ▼ -7.43%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Mañana3.3896▼ -0.80%

Ayer3.4320▼ -0.44%

Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.39%).

Semana3.3525▼ -1.88%

Semana Pasada3.4009▲ +0.47%

7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Mes3.2780▼ -4.06%

Mes Pasado3.3570▲ +1.78%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Año3.2720▼ -4.24%

Año Pasado3.5967▼ -5.00%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Años3.2215▼ -5.72%

Hace 5 Años3.6910▼ -7.43%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Gráfico de Precio

HistóricoPronósticoAlcistaBajista

Análisis Técnico

Bearish

Alcista

Neutral

Bajista

Indicadores Clave

Indicador	Valor	Señal
RSI 14	31.5	Bearish
MACD	-0.02	Neutral
SMA 50	3.3783	Above
SMA 200	3.4349	Below
EMA 20	3.4259	Mid

Datos Históricos

Open3.4320

Start Date2001-05-31

Day Range3.4168 – 3.4209

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range3.2746 – 3.4870

24h Volumen/a

90D Range3.2614 – 3.4870

Circulatingn/a

52W Range3.2614 – 3.8040

Max Supplyn/a

Open	3.4320	Start Date	2001-05-31
Day Range	3.4168 – 3.4209	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	3.2746 – 3.4870	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	3.2614 – 3.4870	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	3.2614 – 3.8040	Max Supply	n/a

Niveles de Soporte y Resistencia

3.5592R3 — major ceiling

3.5165R2 — swing resistance

3.4737R1 — near-term resistance

3.4168Precio ActualUSD

3.3485S1 — near-term supportSupport

3.2460S2 — structure support

3.1435S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 3.4737; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 3.3485; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 1.74% daily realized volatility.

Hitos de Precio

Niveles clave y contexto histórico

Recent3.4168Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High3.4209Local High+0.12%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low3.4168Local Low0.00%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target3.2780Model 1M-4.06%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target3.2720Model 1Y-4.24%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario3.2215Model 5Y-5.72%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Precisión del Pronóstico

Cómo ha rendido nuestro modelo

82%

Direccional

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (1.74% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Nuestro algoritmo se recalibra semanalmente usando la última acción del precio, el régimen de volatilidad y las señales de indicadores. La precisión varía por periodo: el impulso de corto plazo es más confiable que las proyecciones de largo plazo.

Tomorrow

85%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

83%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

80%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

75%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.9%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Escenarios de Inversión

Si inviertes $1,000 en USD hoy

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

Precio Objetivo3.8268

EscenarioBreakout continuation

Probabilidad32%

Base Case

$959.38

-4.06% from current

Precio Objetivo3.2780

EscenarioTrend-following baseline

Probabilidad40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Precio Objetivo3.1435

EscenarioVolatility drawdown

Probabilidad28%

Base: Scenario engine blends live drift (-4.06% / 30D) and realized volatility (1.74% daily).

Matriz de Correlación

30 días · cómo USD se mueve con otros activos

	USD	EURNZD	AUDNZD	EURAUD	USDPEN	USDJPY
USD	1.00	-0.91	-0.85	-0.84	0.83	-0.83
EURNZD	-0.91	1.00	0.84	0.96	-0.65	0.72
AUDNZD	-0.85	0.84	1.00	0.67	-0.65	0.81
EURAUD	-0.84	0.96	0.67	1.00	-0.59	0.54
USDPEN	0.83	-0.65	-0.65	-0.59	1.00	-0.83
USDJPY	-0.83	0.72	0.81	0.54	-0.83	1.00

Factores del Pronóstico

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 41/100

24H drift-0.80%

7D drift-1.88%

30D drift-4.06%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 35/100

RSI31.6 · Bearish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack1/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-Off Caution · 42/100

1M outlook-4.06%

1Y outlook-4.24%

5Y outlook-5.72%

Preguntas Frecuentes

Q What is the USD forecast for tomorrow?

USD is projected near 3.3896 versus the latest reference around 3.4168. That implies a modeled move of -0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD?

The weekly model points to 3.3525, which maps to an expected drift of -1.88% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 3.2780 (-4.06%), while the 1-year target is 3.2720 (-4.24%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 3.2215 with a modeled change of -5.72%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 3.4737, while nearest support is around 3.3485. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 3.4168 to 3.4209. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.