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USD/MXN Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Actualizado: March 12, 2026 at 06:01 UTC

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▲ +0.91%TA Osuno · Focus Macro+técnico

Resumen de Pronóstico

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Periodo	Precio Previsto	Pasado	Histórico	Comentario
Mañana	17.6098 ▼ -0.80%	Ayer	17.5898 ▲ +0.91%	Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Semana	17.4005 ▼ -1.98%	Semana Pasada	17.5931 ▲ +0.89%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mes	16.9327 ▼ -4.61%	Mes Pasado	17.2088 ▲ +3.14%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Año	16.4394 ▼ -7.39%	Año Pasado	20.2703 ▼ -12.44%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Años	15.6647 ▼ -11.76%	Hace 5 Años	20.6150 ▼ -13.90%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Mañana17.6098▼ -0.80%

Ayer17.5898▲ +0.91%

Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.55%).

Semana17.4005▼ -1.98%

Semana Pasada17.5931▲ +0.89%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Mes16.9327▼ -4.61%

Mes Pasado17.2088▲ +3.14%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Año16.4394▼ -7.39%

Año Pasado20.2703▼ -12.44%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Años15.6647▼ -11.76%

Hace 5 Años20.6150▼ -13.90%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Gráfico de Precio

HistóricoPronósticoAlcistaBajista

Análisis Técnico

Bearish

Alcista

Neutral

Bajista

Indicadores Clave

Indicador	Valor	Señal
RSI 14	27.8	Bearish
MACD	-0.02	Neutral
SMA 50	17.4792	Above
SMA 200	18.1077	Below
EMA 20	18.0472	Below

Datos Históricos

Open17.5898

Start Date2003-12-01

Day Range17.6171 – 17.7820

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range17.0983 – 17.9923

24h Volumen/a

90D Range17.0983 – 18.6755

Circulatingn/a

52W Range17.0983 – 21.1694

Max Supplyn/a

Open	17.5898	Start Date	2003-12-01
Day Range	17.6171 – 17.7820	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	17.0983 – 17.9923	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	17.0983 – 18.6755	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	17.0983 – 21.1694	Max Supply	n/a

Niveles de Soporte y Resistencia

18.7687R3 — major ceiling

18.0467R2 — swing resistance

18.0199R1 — near-term resistance

17.7493Precio ActualUSD

17.3943S1 — near-term supportSupport

16.8618S2 — structure support

16.3294S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 18.0199; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 17.3943; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.85% daily realized volatility.

Hitos de Precio

Niveles clave y contexto histórico

Recent17.7493Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High17.7820Local High+0.18%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low17.6171Local Low-0.74%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target16.9327Model 1M-4.60%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target16.4394Model 1Y-7.38%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario15.6647Model 5Y-11.74%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Precisión del Pronóstico

Cómo ha rendido nuestro modelo

83%

Direccional

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (0.85% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Nuestro algoritmo se recalibra semanalmente usando la última acción del precio, el régimen de volatilidad y las señales de indicadores. La precisión varía por periodo: el impulso de corto plazo es más confiable que las proyecciones de largo plazo.

Tomorrow

86%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

84%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

81%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

76%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Escenarios de Inversión

Si inviertes $1,000 en USD hoy

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

Precio Objetivo19.8792

EscenarioBreakout continuation

Probabilidad32%

Base Case

$953.99

-4.60% from current

Precio Objetivo16.9327

EscenarioTrend-following baseline

Probabilidad40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Precio Objetivo16.3294

EscenarioVolatility drawdown

Probabilidad28%

Base: Scenario engine blends live drift (-4.61% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.85% daily).

Matriz de Correlación

30 días · cómo USD se mueve con otros activos

	USD	USDPEN	EURCAD	USDJPY	USDMXN	USDPLN
USD	1.00	0.93	-0.89	-0.87	0.86	0.82
USDPEN	0.93	1.00	-0.95	-0.83	0.92	0.91
EURCAD	-0.89	-0.95	1.00	0.75	-0.91	-0.90
USDJPY	-0.87	-0.83	0.75	1.00	-0.67	-0.65
USDMXN	0.86	0.92	-0.91	-0.67	1.00	0.95
USDPLN	0.82	0.91	-0.90	-0.65	0.95	1.00

Factores del Pronóstico

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 40/100

24H drift-0.80%

7D drift-1.98%

30D drift-4.61%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 31/100

RSI27.9 · Bearish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack1/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-Off Caution · 37/100

1M outlook-4.61%

1Y outlook-7.39%

5Y outlook-11.76%

Preguntas Frecuentes

Q What is the USD forecast for tomorrow?

USD is projected near 17.6098 versus the latest reference around 17.7493. That implies a modeled move of -0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD?

The weekly model points to 17.4005, which maps to an expected drift of -1.98% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 16.9327 (-4.61%), while the 1-year target is 16.4394 (-7.39%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 15.6647 with a modeled change of -11.76%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 18.0199, while nearest support is around 17.3943. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 17.6171 to 17.7820. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.