Inicio » Todo » Pronóstico de divisas » Pronóstico USD/MXN

USD/MXN Previsiones para Mañana, Semana, Mes y 5 Años

Actualizado: 26 de abril de 2026 15:41 UTC
▼ -0.30%Análisis técnico Bajista · Área de enfoque Macro+técnico

Resumen de Pronóstico

PeriodoPrecio PrevistoPasadoHistóricoComentario
Mañana17.0540 ▼ -0.59%Ayer17.2070 ▼ -0.30%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Semana16.8988 ▼ -1.50%Semana Pasada17.3244 ▼ -0.97%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mes16.5140 ▼ -3.74%Mes Pasado17.9112 ▼ -4.22%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Año16.1931 ▼ -5.61%Año Pasado20.2940 ▼ -15.46%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Años15.5059 ▼ -9.62%Hace 5 Años20.1604 ▼ -14.90%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Mañana17.0540▼ -0.59%
Ayer17.2070▼ -0.30%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Semana16.8988▼ -1.50%
Semana Pasada17.3244▼ -0.97%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mes16.5140▼ -3.74%
Mes Pasado17.9112▼ -4.22%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Año16.1931▼ -5.61%
Año Pasado20.2940▼ -15.46%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Años15.5059▼ -9.62%
Hace 5 Años20.1604▼ -14.90%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Aviso de riesgo:Este pronóstico es sólo informativo, no es un consejo financiero; La precisión depende de la volatilidad, la liquidez, los eventos macroeconómicos y otros factores externos.

Gráfico de Precio

HistóricoPronósticoAlcistaBajista
17.409617.183216.956916.730516.5042Semana PasadaAhora7 dias

Análisis Técnico

VenderNeutralComprar
Bajista
1
Alcista
1
Neutral
3
Bajista

Indicadores Clave

IndicadorValorSeñal
Índice de fuerza relativa (RSI 14)19.7 Bajista
Divergencia de convergencia de media móvil (MACD)-0.01 Neutral
Media móvil simple (SMA 50)17.0257 Arriba
Media móvil simple (SMA 200)17.8355 Abajo
Media móvil exponencial (EMA 20)17.6639 Abajo

Datos Históricos

Precio de apertura17.2070
Fecha de inicio2021-04-26
Rango de días16.8977 – 17.4661
Capitalización de mercadon/a
Rango mensual16.0549 – 18.4091
24 Volumen horarion/a
Rango de días 9015.9019 – 18.5751
Circulanten/a
Rango de semanas 5215.4053 – 21.2813
Suministro máximon/a
Precio de apertura17.2070Fecha de inicio2021-04-26
Rango de días16.8977 – 17.4661Capitalización de mercadon/a
Rango mensual16.0549 – 18.409124 Volumen horarion/a
Rango de días 9015.9019 – 18.5751Circulanten/a
Rango de semanas 5215.4053 – 21.2813Suministro máximon/a

Niveles de Soporte y Resistencia

18.1098Resistencia 3 — techo importante
17.8237Resistencia 2 — resistencia al balanceo
17.5375Resistencia 1 — resistencia a corto plazo
17.1560Precio actualDólar estadounidense
16.7745Apoyo 1 — apoyo a corto plazoApoyo
16.4883Apoyo 2 — soporte de estructura
16.2022Apoyo 3 — apoyo profundo
↑
Nearest resistance sits near 17.5375; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
↓
Nearest support is around 16.7745; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
⚖
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 2.32% daily realized volatility.

Hitos de Precio

Niveles clave y contexto histórico
Reciente17.1560Actual
Nivel de referencia actual del feed del mercado en vivo.
24h alto17.4661Alto local+1.81%
Máximo diario observado desde la última sesión de mercado.
24h baja16.8977Mínimo local-1.51%
Mínimo diario observado desde la última sesión de mercado.
Objetivo 30D16.5140Modelo 1M-3.74%
Motor de pronóstico de proyección a medio horizonte.
Objetivo a 1 año16.1931Modelo 1Y-5.61%
Proyección a largo plazo del motor de pronóstico.
Escenario a 5 años15.5059Modelo 5Y-9.62%
Escenario de continuación de ciclo largo, no un camino garantizado.

Precisión del Pronóstico

Cómo ha rendido nuestro modelo
81%
Direccional
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (2.32% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Nuestro algoritmo se recalibra semanalmente usando la última acción del precio, el régimen de volatilidad y las señales de indicadores. La precisión varía por periodo: el impulso de corto plazo es más confiable que las proyecciones de largo plazo.
Tomorrow
84%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
82%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
79%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
74%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±3.8%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Signal
Recent
Directional signal ✓

Escenarios de Inversión

Si inviertes $1,000 en USD hoy
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Precio Objetivo19.2147
EscenarioBreakout continuation
Probabilidad32%
Base Case
$962.58
-3.74% from current
Precio Objetivo16.5140
EscenarioTrend-following baseline
Probabilidad40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Precio Objetivo15.7835
EscenarioVolatility drawdown
Probabilidad28%
Base: Scenario model combines current 30-day drift (-3.74%) and realized daily volatility (2.32%).

Matriz de Correlación

30 días · cómo USD se mueve con otros activos
USD
USD1.00

Factores del Pronóstico

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 42/100
24H drift-0.59%
7D drift-1.50%
30D drift-3.74%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 31/100
RSI19.8 · Bearish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack1/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 40/100
1M outlook-3.74%
1Y outlook-5.61%
5Y outlook-9.62%

Preguntas Frecuentes

Q What is the USD/MXN forecast for tomorrow?
USD/MXN is projected near 17.0540 versus the latest reference around 17.1560. That implies a modeled move of -0.59% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/MXN?
The weekly model points to 16.8988, which maps to an expected drift of -1.50% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 16.5140 (-3.74%), while the 1-year target is 16.1931 (-5.61%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 15.5059 with a modeled change of -9.62%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 17.5375, while nearest support is around 16.7745. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 16.8977 to 17.4661. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

Pronósticos recomendados

Ideas relacionadas para la navegación interna, agrupadas por configuraciones alcistas más fuertes y desventajas más débiles en el mismo mercado.

Ideas alcistas más fuertes

Mañana
EUR/JPYEUR+0.80%181.9190GBP/JPYGBP+0.80%209.1890AUD/JPYAUD+0.80%108.5830
7 dias
CAD/JPYCAD+2.00%112.5510CHF/JPYCHF+2.00%199.4660SGD/JPYSGD+2.00%121.5620
1 mes
USD/ARSUSD+5.00%1,399.0000USD/KRWUSD+4.98%1,444.1200USD/PKRUSD+4.96%279.3400
1 año
AUD/USDAUD+6.31%0.7074NZD/JPYNZD+5.76%92.6120USD/INRUSD+5.15%90.7330
5 años
USD/TRYUSD+8.58%43.6862NZD/USDNZD+7.91%0.6034USD/IDRUSD+6.51%16,840.0000

Ideas bajistas más débiles

Mañana
AUD/CHFAUD-0.78%0.5442EUR/CHFEUR-0.56%0.9119USD/PLNUSD-0.55%3.5537
7 dias
USD/PENUSD-1.45%3.3463NZD/CADNZD-1.35%0.8227USD/CZKUSD-1.33%20.4580
1 mes
USD/BRLUSD-3.24%5.2074USD/SGDUSD-2.84%1.2624USD/CADUSD-1.90%1.3637
1 año
USD/CHFUSD-4.44%0.7694GBP/CHFGBP-4.41%1.0485NZD/CHFNZD-4.18%0.4642
5 años
USD/MYRUSD-9.44%3.8980USD/ILSUSD-7.80%3.0913CAD/CHFCAD-7.36%0.5642