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USD/JPY Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: March 7, 2026 at 00:19 UTC

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▲ +0.50%TA Neutral · Focus Macro + technical

Forecast Summary

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Timeframe	Predicted Price	Past	Historical	Insight
Tomorrow	156.5057 ▼ -0.80%	Yesterday	157.5340 ▲ +0.15%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Week	155.1350 ▼ -1.67%	Last Week	155.8590 ▲ +1.22%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month	154.4439 ▼ -2.10%	Last Month	156.9170 ▲ +0.54%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year	153.7117 ▼ -2.57%	Last Year	148.1080 ▲ +6.52%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years	153.6380 ▼ -2.62%	5 Years Ago	108.4190 ▲ +45.51%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Tomorrow156.5057▼ -0.80%

Yesterday157.5340▲ +0.15%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).

Week155.1350▼ -1.67%

Last Week155.8590▲ +1.22%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Month154.4439▼ -2.10%

Last Month156.9170▲ +0.54%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Year153.7117▼ -2.57%

Last Year148.1080▲ +6.52%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Years153.6380▼ -2.62%

5 Years Ago108.4190▲ +45.51%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish

Technical Analysis

Bullish

Neutral

Bearish

Key Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
RSI 14	91.9	Bullish
MACD	-0.02	Neutral
SMA 50	156.2069	Above
SMA 200	150.0762	Above
EMA 20	147.6465	Above

Historical Data

Open157.5340

Start Date1996-11-01

Day Range157.3520 – 158.0880

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range152.4530 – 157.7730

24h Volumen/a

90D Range152.4530 – 159.1790

Circulatingn/a

52W Range140.8760 – 159.1790

Max Supplyn/a

Open	157.5340	Start Date	1996-11-01
Day Range	157.3520 – 158.0880	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	152.4530 – 157.7730	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	152.4530 – 159.1790	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	140.8760 – 159.1790	Max Supply	n/a

Support & Resistance Levels

160.4493R3 — major ceiling

159.6437R2 — swing resistance

158.8381R1 — near-term resistance

157.7640Current PriceUSD

154.6087S1 — near-term supportSupport

149.8758S2 — structure support

145.1429S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 158.8381; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 154.6087; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.71% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context

Recent157.7640Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High158.0880Local High+0.21%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low157.3520Local Low-0.26%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target154.4439Model 1M-2.10%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target153.7117Model 1Y-2.57%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario153.6380Model 5Y-2.62%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed

83%

Directional

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (0.71% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.

Tomorrow

86%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

84%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

81%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

76%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in USD today

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

Target Price176.6957

ScenarioBreakout continuation

Probability32%

Base Case

$978.96

-2.10% from current

Target Price154.4439

ScenarioTrend-following baseline

Probability40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Target Price145.1429

ScenarioVolatility drawdown

Probability28%

Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (-2.10% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.71% daily).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how USD moves with other assets

	USD	USDTRY	USDARS	USDINR	SGDJPY	USDIDR
USD	1.00	0.99	0.99	0.98	0.98	0.98
USDTRY	0.99	1.00	1.00	0.98	0.98	0.98
USDARS	0.99	1.00	1.00	0.97	0.98	0.98
USDINR	0.98	0.98	0.97	1.00	0.99	0.99
SGDJPY	0.98	0.98	0.98	0.99	1.00	1.00
USDIDR	0.98	0.98	0.98	0.99	1.00	1.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Balanced · 43/100

24H drift-0.80%

7D drift-1.67%

30D drift-2.10%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 77/100

RSI92.0 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack3/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 46/100

1M outlook-2.10%

1Y outlook-2.57%

5Y outlook-2.62%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the USD forecast for tomorrow?

USD is projected near 156.5057 versus the latest reference around 157.7640. That implies a modeled move of -0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD?

The weekly model points to 155.1350, which maps to an expected drift of -1.67% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 154.4439 (-2.10%), while the 1-year target is 153.7117 (-2.57%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 153.6380 with a modeled change of -2.62%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 158.8381, while nearest support is around 154.6087. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 157.3520 to 158.0880. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.