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SPDR S&P 500 ETF Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

已更新: March 14, 2026 at 02:14 UTC
• +0.00%TA 中立 · Focus 宏 + 技術

预测总结

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大体时间预计价格过去的历史洞察力
明天$678.06 ▲ +2.38%昨天$666.06 ▼ -0.57%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
星期$698.79 ▲ +5.51%上星期$672.38 ▼ -1.50%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月$725.85 ▲ +9.60%上个月$691.96 ▼ -4.29%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年$741.68 ▲ +11.99%去年$551.42 ▲ +20.11%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年$779.76 ▲ +17.74%5年前$394.06 ▲ +68.07%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明天$678.06▲ +2.38%
昨天$666.06▼ -0.57%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
星期$698.79▲ +5.51%
上星期$672.38▼ -1.50%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月$725.85▲ +9.60%
上个月$691.96▼ -4.29%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年$741.68▲ +11.99%
去年$551.42▲ +20.11%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年$779.76▲ +17.74%
5年前$394.06▲ +68.07%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

价格走势图

历史预报看涨看跌
$708.18$696.71$685.24$673.76$662.291W AgoNow7D F

技术分析

卖中性的买
Bullish
4
看涨
0
中性的
1
看跌

关键指标

指标价值信号
RSI 1488.4 Bullish
MACD0.05 Bullish
SMA 50$683.91 Below
SMA 200$637.87 Above
EMA 20$635.73 Above

史料

Open$666.06
Start Date1993-02-01
Day Range$661.36 – $672.34
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$662.29 – $695.41
24h Volumen/a
90D Range$652.53 – $695.49
Circulatingn/a
52W Range$496.48 – $695.49
Max Supplyn/a
Open$666.06Start Date1993-02-01
Day Range$661.36 – $672.34Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$662.29 – $695.4124h Volumen/a
90D Range$652.53 – $695.49Circulatingn/a
52W Range$496.48 – $695.49Max Supplyn/a

支撑位和阻力位

$675.14R3 — major ceiling
$671.29R2 — swing resistance
$667.43R1 — near-term resistance
$662.29当前价格SPY
$649.04S1 — near-term supportSupport
$629.18S2 — structure support
$609.31S3 — deep support
↑
Nearest resistance sits near $667.43; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
↓
Nearest support is around $649.04; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
⚖
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.81% daily realized volatility.

价格里程碑

关键层面和历史背景
Recent$662.29Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High$672.34Local High+1.52%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low$661.36Local Low-0.14%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target$725.85Model 1M+9.60%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target$741.68Model 1Y+11.99%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario$779.76Model 5Y+17.74%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

预测准确度

我们的模型表现如何
83%
定向
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.81% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
我们的算法每周使用最新的价格行为、波动机制和指标信号进行重新校准。准确性因时间范围而异——短期势头比长期预测更可靠。
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

投资场景

如果您今天投资 $1,000 于 SPY
Bullish Case
$1177.37
+17.74% from current
目标价格$779.76
设想Breakout continuation
可能性35%
Base Case
$1095.97
+9.60% from current
目标价格$725.85
设想Trend-following baseline
可能性37%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
目标价格$609.31
设想Volatility drawdown
可能性28%
基础: Scenario engine blends live drift (+9.60% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.81% daily).

相关矩阵

30天滚动·SPY如何与其他资产一起移动
SPYGLDQQQDIAXLFTLT
SPY1.000.950.950.890.88-0.82
GLD0.951.000.870.820.80-0.73
QQQ0.950.871.000.980.98-0.96
DIA0.890.820.981.000.99-0.96
XLF0.880.800.980.991.00-0.99
TLT-0.82-0.73-0.96-0.96-0.991.00

预测因素

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 74/100
24H drift+2.38%
7D drift+5.51%
30D drift+9.60%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 69/100
RSI88.0 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 63/100
1M outlook+9.60%
1Y outlook+11.99%
5Y outlook+17.74%

常见问题解答

Q What is the SPY forecast for tomorrow?
SPY is projected near $678.06 versus the latest reference around $662.29. That implies a modeled move of +2.38% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for SPY?
The weekly model points to $698.79, which maps to an expected drift of +5.51% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $725.85 (+9.60%), while the 1-year target is $741.68 (+11.99%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $779.76 with a modeled change of +17.74%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $667.43, while nearest support is around $649.04. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly $661.36 to $672.34. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.