Home » All » Forex Forecast » USD/RUB Forecast

USD/RUB Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +4.65%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

Forecast Summary

TimeframePredicted PricePastHistoricalInsight
Tomorrow76.9494 +0.27%Yesterday77.2304 +0.17%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~1.26%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~1.26%).
Week77.3036 +0.73%Last Week76.2443 -0.36%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month77.4930 +0.98%Last Month79.3479 -1.48%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year74.3701 -3.09%Last Year88.6711 -3.08%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years72.8762 -5.03%5 Years Ago77.3870 -12.73%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Tomorrow76.9494 +0.27%
Yesterday77.2304 +0.17%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~1.26%).
Week77.3036 +0.73%
Last Week76.2443 -0.36%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month77.4930 +0.98%
Last Month79.3479 -1.48%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year74.3701 -3.09%
Last Year88.6711 -3.08%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years72.8762 -5.03%
5 Years Ago77.3870 -12.73%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish
78.342677.763477.184376.605176.02601W AgoNow7D F

Technical Analysis

SellNeutralBuy
Bearish
0
Bullish
1
Neutral
4
Bearish

Key Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
RSI 1437.7 Bearish
MACD0.01 Neutral
SMA 5076.9935 Below
SMA 20078.5963 Below
EMA 2077.7610 Below

Historical Data

Opening Price77.2304
Start Date2021-04-23
Day Range76.1858 – 77.7881
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range75.7169 – 80.4058
24h Volumen/a
90D Range74.8890 – 80.7584
Circulatingn/a
52W Range72.6350 – 90.7399
Max Supplyn/a
Opening Price77.2304Start Date2021-04-23
Day Range76.1858 – 77.7881Market Capn/a
Monthly Range75.7169 – 80.405824h Volumen/a
90D Range74.8890 – 80.7584Circulatingn/a
52W Range72.6350 – 90.7399Max Supplyn/a

Support & Resistance Levels

78.7862R3 — major ceiling
78.1723R2 — swing resistance
77.5585R1 — near-term resistance
76.7400Current PriceUSD
75.9215S1 — near-term supportSupport
75.3077S2 — structure support
74.6938S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near 77.5585; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around 75.9215; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 1.11% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context
Recent76.7400Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High77.7881Local High+1.37%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low76.1858Local Low-0.72%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target77.4930Model 1M+0.98%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target74.3701Model 1Y-3.09%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario72.8762Model 5Y-5.03%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed
83%
Directional
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (1.11% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Signal
Recent
Directional signal ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in USD today
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Target Price85.9488
ScenarioBreakout continuation
Probability32%
Base Case
$1009.81
+0.98% from current
Target Price77.4930
ScenarioTrend-following baseline
Probability40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Target Price70.6008
ScenarioVolatility drawdown
Probability28%
Basis: Scenario model combines current 30-day drift (+0.98%) and realized daily volatility (1.11%).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how USD moves with other assets
USDUSDRUBUSDSEKUSDHUFUSDMYRUSDNOK
USD1.001.000.980.980.970.95
USDRUB1.001.000.980.980.970.95
USDSEK0.980.981.001.000.960.98
USDHUF0.980.981.001.000.960.98
USDMYR0.970.970.960.961.000.91
USDNOK0.950.950.980.980.911.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 53/100
24H drift+0.27%
7D drift+0.73%
30D drift+0.98%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 23/100
RSI37.7 · Bearish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 47/100
1M outlook+0.98%
1Y outlook-3.09%
5Y outlook-5.03%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the USD/RUB forecast for tomorrow?
USD/RUB is projected near 76.9494 versus the latest reference around 76.7400. That implies a modeled move of +0.27% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/RUB?
The weekly model points to 77.3036, which maps to an expected drift of +0.73% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 77.4930 (+0.98%), while the 1-year target is 74.3701 (-3.09%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 72.8762 with a modeled change of -5.03%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 77.5585, while nearest support is around 75.9215. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 76.1858 to 77.7881. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.