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USD/NOK Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: May 4, 2026 at 10:06 UTC
▼ -0.01%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

Forecast Summary

TimeframePredicted PricePastHistoricalInsight
Tomorrow9.3409 +0.86%Yesterday9.2628 -0.01%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.69%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.69%).
Week9.4457 +1.99%Last Week9.2850 -0.25%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month9.6560 +4.26%Last Month9.7115 -4.63%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year9.3248 +0.68%Last Year10.4108 -11.04%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years9.2029 -0.63%5 Years Ago8.3244 +11.26%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Tomorrow9.3409 +0.86%
Yesterday9.2628 -0.01%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.69%).
Week9.4457 +1.99%
Last Week9.2850 -0.25%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month9.6560 +4.26%
Last Month9.7115 -4.63%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year9.3248 +0.68%
Last Year10.4108 -11.04%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years9.2029 -0.63%
5 Years Ago8.3244 +11.26%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish
9.57279.48679.40079.31489.22881W AgoNow7D F

Technical Analysis

SellNeutralBuy
Bearish
1
Bullish
1
Neutral
3
Bearish

Key Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
RSI 1468.4 Bullish
MACD0.02 Neutral
SMA 509.3753 Below
SMA 2009.4110 Below
EMA 209.2963 Below

Historical Data

Opening Price9.2628
Start Date2001-07-31
Day Range9.2386 – 9.2933
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range9.2593 – 9.7586
24h Volumen/a
90D Range9.2593 – 10.1069
Circulatingn/a
52W Range9.2593 – 11.4515
Max Supplyn/a
Opening Price9.2628Start Date2001-07-31
Day Range9.2386 – 9.2933Market Capn/a
Monthly Range9.2593 – 9.758624h Volumen/a
90D Range9.2593 – 10.1069Circulatingn/a
52W Range9.2593 – 11.4515Max Supplyn/a

Support & Resistance Levels

10.2978R3 — major ceiling
9.8115R2 — swing resistance
9.7189R1 — near-term resistance
9.2615Current PriceUSD
9.0763S1 — near-term supportSupport
8.7984S2 — structure support
8.5206S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near 9.7189; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around 9.0763; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.58% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context
Recent9.2615Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High9.2933Local High+0.34%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low9.2386Local Low-0.25%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target9.6560Model 1M+4.26%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target9.3248Model 1Y+0.68%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario9.2029Model 5Y-0.63%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed
83%
Directional
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.58% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Signal
Recent
Directional signal ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in USD today
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Target Price10.3729
ScenarioBreakout continuation
Probability32%
Base Case
$1042.60
+4.26% from current
Target Price9.6560
ScenarioTrend-following baseline
Probability40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Target Price8.5206
ScenarioVolatility drawdown
Probability28%
Basis: Scenario model combines current 30-day drift (+4.26%) and realized daily volatility (0.58%).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how USD moves with other assets
USDGBPJPYAUDUSDAUDJPYEURJPYGBPUSD
USD1.000.77-0.720.580.540.49
GBPJPY0.771.00-0.450.950.940.45
AUDUSD-0.72-0.451.00-0.18-0.330.19
AUDJPY0.580.95-0.181.000.940.44
EURJPY0.540.94-0.330.941.000.25
GBPUSD0.490.450.190.440.251.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 60/100
24H drift+0.86%
7D drift+1.99%
30D drift+4.26%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Mixed — Watching · 52/100
RSI68.3 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 52/100
1M outlook+4.26%
1Y outlook+0.68%
5Y outlook-0.63%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the USD/NOK forecast for tomorrow?
USD/NOK is projected near 9.3409 versus the latest reference around 9.2615. That implies a modeled move of +0.86% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/NOK?
The weekly model points to 9.4457, which maps to an expected drift of +1.99% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 9.6560 (+4.26%), while the 1-year target is 9.3248 (+0.68%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 9.2029 with a modeled change of -0.63%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 9.7189, while nearest support is around 9.0763. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 9.2386 to 9.2933. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.