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USD/JPY Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

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▲ +0.01%TA Neutral · Focus Macro + technical

Forecast Summary

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Timeframe	Predicted Price	Past	Historical	Insight
Tomorrow	153.6658 ▲ +0.10%	Yesterday	153.4892 ▲ +0.52%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).
Week	153.9824 ▲ +0.31%	Last Week	154.3198 ▼ -0.93%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month	154.2239 ▲ +0.47%	Last Month	157.7975 ▲ +2.03%	Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year	153.6189 ▲ +0.07%	Last Year	143.4900 ▼ -0.90%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years	153.6142 ▲ +0.07%	5 Years Ago	144.8000 ▲ +0.91%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Tomorrow153.6658▲ +0.10%

Yesterday153.4892▲ +0.52%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.55%).

Week153.9824▲ +0.31%

Last Week154.3198▼ -0.93%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Month154.2239▲ +0.47%

Last Month157.7975▲ +2.03%

Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Year153.6189▲ +0.07%

Last Year143.4900▼ -0.90%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Years153.6142▲ +0.07%

5 Years Ago144.8000▲ +0.91%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish

Technical Analysis

Bullish

Neutral

Bearish

Key Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
RSI 14	61.6	Bullish
MACD	0.00	Neutral
SMA 50	153.8649	Mid
SMA 200	152.1419	Above
EMA 20	152.1427	Above

Historical Data

Open153.4892

Start Date2021-03-18

Day Range153.1899 – 153.8074

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range152.9555 – 158.3656

24h Volumen/a

90D Range152.7713 – 158.5549

Circulatingn/a

52W Range142.5860 – 154.5867

Max Supplyn/a

Open	153.4892	Start Date	2021-03-18
Day Range	153.1899 – 153.8074	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	152.9555 – 158.3656	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	152.7713 – 158.5549	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	142.5860 – 154.5867	Max Supply	n/a

Support & Resistance Levels

155.0432R3 — major ceiling

154.5827R2 — swing resistance

154.1221R1 — near-term resistance

153.5081Current PriceUSD

152.8941S1 — near-term supportSupport

152.4335S2 — structure support

151.9730S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 154.1221; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 152.8941; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.30% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context

Recent153.5081Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High153.8074Local High+0.19%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low153.1899Local Low-0.21%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target154.2239Model 1M+0.47%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target153.6189Model 1Y+0.07%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario153.6142Model 5Y+0.07%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed

84%

Directional

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (0.30% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.

Tomorrow

87%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

85%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

82%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

77%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in USD today

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

Target Price171.9291

ScenarioBreakout continuation

Probability32%

Base Case

$1004.66

+0.47% from current

Target Price154.2239

ScenarioTrend-following baseline

Probability40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Target Price141.2275

ScenarioVolatility drawdown

Probability28%

Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (+0.47% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.30% daily).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how USD moves with other assets

	USD	USDJPY	USDPEN	EURCAD	USDMXN	USDCZK
USD	1.00	0.95	-0.93	0.92	-0.82	-0.81
USDJPY	0.95	1.00	-0.80	0.77	-0.67	-0.68
USDPEN	-0.93	-0.80	1.00	-0.96	0.94	0.89
EURCAD	0.92	0.77	-0.96	1.00	-0.90	-0.85
USDMXN	-0.82	-0.67	0.94	-0.90	1.00	0.89
USDCZK	-0.81	-0.68	0.89	-0.85	0.89	1.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Balanced · 51/100

24H drift+0.10%

7D drift+0.31%

30D drift+0.47%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 73/100

RSI61.6 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack2/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 50/100

1M outlook+0.47%

1Y outlook+0.07%

5Y outlook+0.07%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the USD forecast for tomorrow?

USD is projected near 153.6658 versus the latest reference around 153.5081. That implies a modeled move of +0.10% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD?

The weekly model points to 153.9824, which maps to an expected drift of +0.31% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 154.2239 (+0.47%), while the 1-year target is 153.6189 (+0.07%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 153.6142 with a modeled change of +0.07%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 154.1221, while nearest support is around 152.8941. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 153.1899 to 153.8074. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.