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USD/HKD Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: April 20, 2026 at 08:35 UTC

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▲ +0.01%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

Forecast Summary

Timeframe	Predicted Price	Past	Historical	Insight
Tomorrow	7.8202 ▼ -0.15%	Yesterday	7.8308 ▲ +0.01%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.03%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.03%).
Week	7.8291 ▼ -0.04%	Last Week	7.8323 ▼ -0.01%	7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month	7.8514 ▲ +0.25%	Last Month	7.8336 ▼ -0.02%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year	7.8505 ▲ +0.24%	Last Year	7.7618 ▲ +0.90%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years	7.8706 ▲ +0.49%	5 Years Ago	7.7614 ▲ +0.91%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Tomorrow7.8202▼ -0.15%

Yesterday7.8308▲ +0.01%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.03%).

Week7.8291▼ -0.04%

Last Week7.8323▼ -0.01%

7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Month7.8514▲ +0.25%

Last Month7.8336▼ -0.02%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Year7.8505▲ +0.24%

Last Year7.7618▲ +0.90%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Years7.8706▲ +0.49%

5 Years Ago7.7614▲ +0.91%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish

Technical Analysis

Bullish

Neutral

Bearish

Key Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
RSI 14	81.2	Bullish
MACD	-0.00	Neutral
SMA 50	7.8326	Mid
SMA 200	7.8169	Mid
EMA 20	7.8191	Mid

Historical Data

Opening Price7.8308

Start Date2001-07-31

Day Range7.8289 – 7.8341

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range7.8181 – 7.8384

24h Volumen/a

90D Range7.7709 – 7.8384

Circulatingn/a

52W Range7.7504 – 7.8499

Max Supplyn/a

Opening Price	7.8308	Start Date	2001-07-31
Day Range	7.8289 – 7.8341	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	7.8181 – 7.8384	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	7.7709 – 7.8384	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	7.7504 – 7.8499	Max Supply	n/a

Support & Resistance Levels

7.9102R3 — major ceiling

7.8867R2 — swing resistance

7.8632R1 — near-term resistance

7.8319Current PriceUSD

7.8127S1 — near-term supportSupport

7.7968S2 — structure support

7.7670S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 7.8632; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 7.8127; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.20% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context

Recent7.8319Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High7.8341Local High+0.03%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low7.8289Local Low-0.04%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target7.8514Model 1M+0.25%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target7.8505Model 1Y+0.24%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario7.8706Model 5Y+0.49%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed

84%

Directional

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (0.20% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.

Tomorrow

87%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

85%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

82%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

77%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Signal

Recent

Directional signal ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in USD today

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

Target Price8.7717

ScenarioBreakout continuation

Probability32%

Base Case

$1002.49

+0.25% from current

Target Price7.8514

ScenarioTrend-following baseline

Probability40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Target Price7.2053

ScenarioVolatility drawdown

Probability28%

Basis: Scenario model combines current 30-day drift (+0.25%) and realized daily volatility (0.20%).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how USD moves with other assets

	USD	USDHKD	USDMXN	AUDNZD	AUDJPY	USDSGD
USD	1.00	1.00	-0.95	0.94	0.88	-0.86
USDHKD	1.00	1.00	-0.95	0.94	0.88	-0.86
USDMXN	-0.95	-0.95	1.00	-0.97	-0.88	0.74
AUDNZD	0.94	0.94	-0.97	1.00	0.93	-0.74
AUDJPY	0.88	0.88	-0.88	0.93	1.00	-0.80
USDSGD	-0.86	-0.86	0.74	-0.74	-0.80	1.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Balanced · 50/100

24H drift-0.15%

7D drift-0.04%

30D drift+0.25%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 65/100

RSI81.2 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack0/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 50/100

1M outlook+0.25%

1Y outlook+0.24%

5Y outlook+0.49%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the USD/HKD forecast for tomorrow?

USD/HKD is projected near 7.8202 versus the latest reference around 7.8319. That implies a modeled move of -0.15% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/HKD?

The weekly model points to 7.8291, which maps to an expected drift of -0.04% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 7.8514 (+0.25%), while the 1-year target is 7.8505 (+0.24%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 7.8706 with a modeled change of +0.49%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 7.8632, while nearest support is around 7.8127. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 7.8289 to 7.8341. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

USD/HKD Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Forecast Summary

Price Chart

Technical Analysis

Key Indicators

Historical Data

Support & Resistance Levels

Price Milestones

Forecast Accuracy

Investment Scenarios

Correlation Matrix

Forecast Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

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