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Tencent 예측: 내일, 주, 월, 5년

업데이트됨: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -31.08%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Earnings + trend

예측 요약

기간예상 가격과거역사적인통찰력
내일$67.38 -1.35%어제$67.37 -3.06%Short-term bias is down with moderate daily volatility (~2.18%).
Short-term bias is down with moderate daily volatility (~2.18%).
$65.81 -3.65%지난주$70.68 -8.26%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
$62.33 -8.74%전달$76.55 -5.41%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도$58.07 -14.97%작년$57.47 +55.07%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년$51.79 -24.18%5년 전$96.10 +67.22%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
내일$67.38 -1.35%
어제$67.37 -3.06%
Short-term bias is down with moderate daily volatility (~2.18%).
$65.81 -3.65%
지난주$70.68 -8.26%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
$62.33 -8.74%
전달$76.55 -5.41%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도$58.07 -14.97%
작년$57.47 +55.07%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년$51.79 -24.18%
5년 전$96.10 +67.22%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세
$71.80$69.47$67.14$64.81$62.481W AgoNow7D F

기술적 분석

팔다중립적구입하다
Bearish
1
강세
0
중립적
4
약세

주요 지표

지시자신호
RSI 1426.8 Bearish
MACD3.50 Bullish
SMA 50$76.80 Below
SMA 200$74.58 Below
EMA 20$89.81 Below

과거 데이터

Open$67.50
Start Date
Day Range$67.36 – $68.40
Market Cap
Monthly Range$67.37 – $82.40
24h Volume
90D Range$67.37 – $86.83
Circulating
52W Range$53.99 – $87.33
Max Supply
Open$67.50Start Date
Day Range$67.36 – $68.40Market Cap
Monthly Range$67.37 – $82.4024h Volume
90D Range$67.37 – $86.83Circulating
52W Range$53.99 – $87.33Max Supply

지지 및 저항 수준

$75.19R3 — upper range
$72.56R2 — swing high
$70.60R1 — near-term cap
$68.30현재 가격TCEHY
$66.00S1 — short-term supportSupport
$64.04S2 — trend support
$61.41S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is $70.60; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near $66.00; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 2.18%.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락
Recent$68.30Current
Current reference level.
90D High$86.83Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low$67.37Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능
74%
방향성
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 TCEHY에 $1,000를 투자한다면
Bullish Case
$1,003.30
+0.33% from current
목표가격$68.53
대본Breakout continuation
개연성25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
목표가격$71.03
대본Trend-following baseline
개연성50%
Bearish Case
$821.31
-17.87% from current
목표가격$56.10
대본Volatility drawdown
개연성25%
기초: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.36% / 30D) and volatility regime (2.18% daily).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · TCEHY가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법
TCEHY
TCEHY1.00

예측 요인

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 32/100
24H drift-1.35%
7D drift-3.65%
30D drift-8.74%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 37/100
RSI27.0 · Bearish
MACD3.53 · Bullish
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 25/100
1M outlook-8.74%
1Y outlook-14.97%
5Y outlook-24.18%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the Tencent forecast for tomorrow?
Tencent is projected near $67.38 versus the latest reference around $68.30. That implies a modeled move of -1.35% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for Tencent?
The weekly model points to $65.81, which maps to an expected drift of -3.65% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $62.33 (-8.74%), while the 1-year target is $58.07 (-14.97%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $51.79 with a modeled change of -24.18%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $70.60, while nearest support is around $66.00. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.