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TSMC 예측: 내일, 주, 월, 5년

업데이트됨: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +165.36%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Earnings + trend

예측 요약

기간예상 가격과거역사적인통찰력
내일$380.21 +3.78%어제$368.10 -1.60%Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.37%).
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.37%).
$401.67 +9.64%지난주$325.74 -2.09%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
$434.86 +18.70%전달$303.89 +7.76%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도$437.69 +19.47%작년$206.38 +55.04%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년$481.31 +31.38%5년 전$140.05 -32.14%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
내일$380.21 +3.78%
어제$368.10 -1.60%
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.37%).
$401.67 +9.64%
지난주$325.74 -2.09%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
$434.86 +18.70%
전달$303.89 +7.76%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도$437.69 +19.47%
작년$206.38 +55.04%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년$481.31 +31.38%
5년 전$140.05 -32.14%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세
$423.74$406.66$389.57$372.49$355.411W AgoNow7D F

기술적 분석

팔다중립적구입하다
Bullish
5
강세
0
중립적
0
약세

주요 지표

지시자신호
RSI 1466.8 Bullish
MACD5.23 Bullish
SMA 50$320.56 Above
SMA 200$264.49 Above
EMA 20$127.97 Above

과거 데이터

Open$369.15
Start Date
Day Range$360.77 – $371.11
Market Cap
Monthly Range$318.01 – $374.09
24h Volume
90D Range$275.06 – $374.09
Circulating
52W Range$141.37 – $374.09
Max Supply
Open$369.15Start Date
Day Range$360.77 – $371.11Market Cap
Monthly Range$318.01 – $374.0924h Volume
90D Range$275.06 – $374.09Circulating
52W Range$141.37 – $374.09Max Supply

지지 및 저항 수준

$406.47R3 — upper range
$391.19R2 — swing high
$379.73R1 — near-term cap
$366.36현재 가격TSM
$352.99S1 — short-term supportSupport
$341.53S2 — trend support
$326.25S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is $379.73; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near $352.99; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 2.37%.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락
Recent$366.36Current
Current reference level.
90D High$374.09Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low$275.06Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능
76%
방향성
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.
Tomorrow
80%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
77%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
74%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
69%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 TSM에 $1,000를 투자한다면
Bullish Case
$1,409.74
+40.97% from current
목표가격$516.47
대본Breakout continuation
개연성25%
Base Case
$1,194.69
+19.47% from current
목표가격$437.69
대본Trend-following baseline
개연성50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
목표가격$322.40
대본Volatility drawdown
개연성25%
기초: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.65% / 30D) and volatility regime (2.37% daily).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · TSM가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법
TSM
TSM1.00

예측 요인

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 93/100
24H drift+3.78%
7D drift+9.64%
30D drift+18.70%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 92/100
RSI66.2 · Bullish
MACD5.14 · Bullish
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 73/100
1M outlook+18.70%
1Y outlook+19.47%
5Y outlook+31.38%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the TSMC forecast for tomorrow?
TSMC is projected near $380.21 versus the latest reference around $366.36. That implies a modeled move of +3.78% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for TSMC?
The weekly model points to $401.67, which maps to an expected drift of +9.64% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $434.86 (+18.70%), while the 1-year target is $437.69 (+19.47%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $481.31 with a modeled change of +31.38%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $379.73, while nearest support is around $352.99. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.