TSMC Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

업데이트됨: March 15, 2026 at 20:07 UTC

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• +0.00%TA 강세 · Focus 수익 + 추세

예측 요약

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기간	예상 가격	과거	역사적인	통찰력
내일	$353.41 ▲ +4.46%	어제	$338.31 • +0.00%	Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.37%).
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.37%).
주	$373.13 ▲ +10.29%	지난주	$338.89 ▼ -0.17%	7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
월	$398.60 ▲ +17.82%	전달	$366.36 ▼ -7.66%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도	$416.79 ▲ +23.20%	작년	$174.09 ▲ +94.33%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년	$461.56 ▲ +36.43%	5년 전	$119.35 ▲ +183.46%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

내일$353.41▲ +4.46%

어제$338.31• +0.00%

Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.37%).

주$373.13▲ +10.29%

지난주$338.89▼ -0.17%

7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.

월$398.60▲ +17.82%

전달$366.36▼ -7.66%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

년도$416.79▲ +23.20%

작년$174.09▲ +94.33%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5년$461.56▲ +36.43%

5년 전$119.35▲ +183.46%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세

기술적 분석

Bullish

강세

중립적

약세

주요 지표

지시자	값	신호
RSI 14	79.2	Bullish
MACD	0.10	Bullish
SMA 50	$356.78	Mid
SMA 200	$311.16	Above
EMA 20	$315.76	Above

과거 데이터

Open$338.31

Start Date1997-11-01

Day Range$336.23 – $344.51

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range$325.74 – $387.73

24h Volumen/a

90D Range$275.06 – $387.73

Circulatingn/a

52W Range$141.37 – $387.73

Max Supplyn/a

Open	$338.31	Start Date	1997-11-01
Day Range	$336.23 – $344.51	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	$325.74 – $387.73	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	$275.06 – $387.73	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	$141.37 – $387.73	Max Supply	n/a

지지 및 저항 수준

$359.13R3 — major ceiling

$352.89R2 — swing resistance

$346.64R1 — near-term resistance

$338.31현재 가격TSM

$331.92S1 — near-term supportSupport

$275.08S2 — structure support

$266.82S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near $346.64; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around $331.92; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 2.56% daily realized volatility.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락

Recent$338.31Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High$344.51Local High+1.83%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low$336.23Local Low-0.61%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target$398.60Model 1M+17.82%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target$416.79Model 1Y+23.20%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario$461.56Model 5Y+36.43%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능

81%

방향성

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (2.56% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.

Tomorrow

84%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

82%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

79%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

74%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±4.2%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 TSM에 $1,000를 투자한다면

Bullish Case

$1364.31

+36.43% from current

목표가격$461.56

대본Breakout continuation

개연성35%

Base Case

$1178.21

+17.82% from current

목표가격$398.60

대본Trend-following baseline

개연성37%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

목표가격$311.25

대본Volatility drawdown

개연성28%

기초: Scenario engine blends live drift (+17.82% / 30D) and realized volatility (2.56% daily).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · TSM가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법

	TSM	ASML	CAT	SBUX	SOFI	SHOP
TSM	1.00	0.80	0.80	-0.77	0.73	0.71
ASML	0.80	1.00	0.86	-0.39	0.47	0.25
CAT	0.80	0.86	1.00	-0.31	0.21	0.17
SBUX	-0.77	-0.39	-0.31	1.00	-0.90	-0.93
SOFI	0.73	0.47	0.21	-0.90	1.00	0.90
SHOP	0.71	0.25	0.17	-0.93	0.90	1.00

예측 요인

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bullish · 95/100

24H drift+4.46%

7D drift+10.29%

30D drift+17.82%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 69/100

RSI78.5 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack2/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-On Tentative · 74/100

1M outlook+17.82%

1Y outlook+23.20%

5Y outlook+36.43%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the TSM forecast for tomorrow?

TSM is projected near $353.41 versus the latest reference around $338.31. That implies a modeled move of +4.46% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for TSM?

The weekly model points to $373.13, which maps to an expected drift of +10.29% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is $398.60 (+17.82%), while the 1-year target is $416.79 (+23.20%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near $461.56 with a modeled change of +36.43%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around $346.64, while nearest support is around $331.92. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly $336.23 to $344.51. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.