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Adobe 예측: 내일, 주, 월, 5년

업데이트됨: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -47.08%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Earnings + trend

예측 요약

기간예상 가격과거역사적인통찰력
내일$254.90 -3.43%어제$262.50 +2.08%Short-term bias is down with moderate daily volatility (~2.30%).
Short-term bias is down with moderate daily volatility (~2.30%).
$240.40 -8.93%지난주$279.71 -8.21%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
$215.70 -18.29%전달$349.99 +7.67%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도$210.45 -20.27%작년$462.76 -26.22%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년$176.77 -33.03%5년 전$501.64 +8.40%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
내일$254.90 -3.43%
어제$262.50 +2.08%
Short-term bias is down with moderate daily volatility (~2.30%).
$240.40 -8.93%
지난주$279.71 -8.21%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
$215.70 -18.29%
전달$349.99 +7.67%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도$210.45 -20.27%
작년$462.76 -26.22%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년$176.77 -33.03%
5년 전$501.64 +8.40%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세
$267.05$257.18$247.31$237.44$227.581W AgoNow7D F

기술적 분석

팔다중립적구입하다
Bearish
1
강세
0
중립적
4
약세

주요 지표

지시자신호
RSI 1423.2 Bearish
MACD6.25 Bullish
SMA 50$317.94 Below
SMA 200$351.99 Below
EMA 20$469.82 Below

과거 데이터

Open$262.17
Start Date
Day Range$257.50 – $265.29
Market Cap
Monthly Range$257.16 – $339.04
24h Volume
90D Range$257.16 – $359.91
Circulating
52W Range$257.16 – $464.11
Max Supply
Open$262.17Start Date
Day Range$257.50 – $265.29Market Cap
Monthly Range$257.16 – $339.0424h Volume
90D Range$257.16 – $359.91Circulating
52W Range$257.16 – $464.11Max Supply

지지 및 저항 수준

$292.04R3 — upper range
$281.35R2 — swing high
$273.33R1 — near-term cap
$263.97현재 가격ADBE
$254.61S1 — short-term supportSupport
$246.59S2 — trend support
$235.90S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is $273.33; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near $254.61; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bear-leaning with daily volatility around 2.30%.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락
Recent$263.97Current
Current reference level.
90D High$359.91Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low$257.16Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능
77%
방향성
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.
Tomorrow
81%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
78%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
70%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 ADBE에 $1,000를 투자한다면
Bullish Case
$940.78
-5.92% from current
목표가격$248.34
대본Breakout continuation
개연성25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
목표가격$274.53
대본Trend-following baseline
개연성50%
Bearish Case
$735.42
-26.46% from current
목표가격$194.13
대본Volatility drawdown
개연성25%
기초: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.91% / 30D) and volatility regime (2.30% daily).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · ADBE가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법
ADBE
ADBE1.00

예측 요인

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 9/100
24H drift-3.43%
7D drift-8.93%
30D drift-18.29%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 37/100
RSI23.8 · Bearish
MACD6.33 · Bullish
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 10/100
1M outlook-18.29%
1Y outlook-20.27%
5Y outlook-33.03%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the Adobe forecast for tomorrow?
Adobe is projected near $254.90 versus the latest reference around $263.97. That implies a modeled move of -3.43% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for Adobe?
The weekly model points to $240.40, which maps to an expected drift of -8.93% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $215.70 (-18.29%), while the 1-year target is $210.45 (-20.27%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $176.77 with a modeled change of -33.03%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $273.33, while nearest support is around $254.61. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.