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Shopify Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

업데이트됨: March 15, 2026 at 15:32 UTC
• +0.00%TA 약세 · Focus 수익 + 추세

예측 요약

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기간예상 가격과거역사적인통찰력
내일$117.61 -4.35%어제$122.96 +0.00%Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~4.15%).
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~4.15%).
$112.75 -8.30%지난주$130.20 -5.56%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
$106.11 -13.70%전달$112.70 +9.10%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도$99.54 -19.05%작년$94.85 +29.64%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년$88.49 -28.03%5년 전$114.32 +7.56%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
내일$117.61 -4.35%
어제$122.96 +0.00%
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~4.15%).
$112.75 -8.30%
지난주$130.20 -5.56%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
$106.11 -13.70%
전달$112.70 +9.10%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도$99.54 -19.05%
작년$94.85 +29.64%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년$88.49 -28.03%
5년 전$114.32 +7.56%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세
$130.20$124.59$118.97$113.36$107.751W AgoNow7D F

기술적 분석

팔다중립적구입하다
Neutral
1
강세
3
중립적
1
약세

주요 지표

지시자신호
RSI 1456.8 Bullish
MACD-0.10 Bearish
SMA 50$118.76 Mid
SMA 200$114.94 Mid
EMA 20$114.58 Mid

과거 데이터

Open$122.96
Start Date2015-06-01
Day Range$121.23 – $128.90
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$110.66 – $134.79
24h Volumen/a
90D Range$110.66 – $170.83
Circulatingn/a
52W Range$76.89 – $179.01
Max Supplyn/a
Open$122.96Start Date2015-06-01
Day Range$121.23 – $128.90Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$110.66 – $134.7924h Volumen/a
90D Range$110.66 – $170.83Circulatingn/a
52W Range$76.89 – $179.01Max Supplyn/a

지지 및 저항 수준

$182.19R3 — major ceiling
$172.98R2 — swing resistance
$135.96R1 — near-term resistance
$122.96현재 가격SHOP
$120.50S1 — near-term supportSupport
$116.81S2 — structure support
$113.12S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near $135.96; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around $120.50; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 4.40% daily realized volatility.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락
Recent$122.96Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High$128.90Local High+4.83%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low$121.23Local Low-1.41%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target$106.11Model 1M-13.70%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target$99.54Model 1Y-19.05%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario$88.49Model 5Y-28.03%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능
79%
방향성
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (4.40% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.
Tomorrow
82%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
80%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
77%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
72%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±7.3%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 SHOP에 $1,000를 투자한다면
Bullish Case
$1123.30
+12.33% from current
목표가격$138.12
대본Breakout continuation
개연성32%
Base Case
$862.96
-13.70% from current
목표가격$106.11
대본Trend-following baseline
개연성37%
Bearish Case
$916.96
-8.30% from current
목표가격$112.75
대본Volatility drawdown
개연성31%
기초: Scenario engine blends live drift (-13.70% / 30D) and realized volatility (4.40% daily).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · SHOP가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법
SHOPINTCJNJUNHCRMADBE
SHOP1.000.880.82-0.78-0.77-0.75
INTC0.881.000.91-0.96-0.90-0.65
JNJ0.820.911.00-0.82-0.73-0.82
UNH-0.78-0.96-0.821.000.940.54
CRM-0.77-0.90-0.730.941.000.58
ADBE-0.75-0.65-0.820.540.581.00

예측 요인

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 13/100
24H drift-4.35%
7D drift-8.30%
30D drift-13.70%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI57.5 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 16/100
1M outlook-13.70%
1Y outlook-19.05%
5Y outlook-28.03%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the SHOP forecast for tomorrow?
SHOP is projected near $117.61 versus the latest reference around $122.96. That implies a modeled move of -4.35% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for SHOP?
The weekly model points to $112.75, which maps to an expected drift of -8.30% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $106.11 (-13.70%), while the 1-year target is $99.54 (-19.05%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $88.49 with a modeled change of -28.03%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $135.96, while nearest support is around $120.50. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly $121.23 to $128.90. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.