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Microsoft 예측: 내일, 주, 월, 5년

업데이트됨: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +63.81%Technical analysis Neutral · Focus area Earnings + trend

예측 요약

기간예상 가격과거역사적인통찰력
내일$412.99 +2.91%어제$401.84 -0.63%Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.50%).
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.50%).
$432.74 +7.83%지난주$414.19 -11.93%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
$465.03 +15.87%전달$483.62 -4.70%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도$374.70 -6.63%작년$409.04 -2.74%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년$354.34 -11.71%5년 전$243.70 -40.42%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
내일$412.99 +2.91%
어제$401.84 -0.63%
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.50%).
$432.74 +7.83%
지난주$414.19 -11.93%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
$465.03 +15.87%
전달$483.62 -4.70%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도$374.70 -6.63%
작년$409.04 -2.74%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년$354.34 -11.71%
5년 전$243.70 -40.42%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세
$457.80$441.26$424.72$408.18$391.641W AgoNow7D F

기술적 분석

팔다중립적구입하다
Bullish
2
강세
2
중립적
1
약세

주요 지표

지시자신호
RSI 1425.4 Bearish
MACD0.67 Bullish
SMA 50$460.94 Mid
SMA 200$487.38 Mid
EMA 20$237.15 Above

과거 데이터

Open$404.45
Start Date
Day Range$398.05 – $405.54
Market Cap
Monthly Range$393.67 – $483.47
24h Volume
90D Range$393.67 – $542.07
Circulating
52W Range$354.56 – $542.07
Max Supply
Open$404.45Start Date
Day Range$398.05 – $405.54Market Cap
Monthly Range$393.67 – $483.4724h Volume
90D Range$393.67 – $542.07Circulating
52W Range$354.56 – $542.07Max Supply

지지 및 저항 수준

$447.63R3 — upper range
$429.99R2 — swing high
$416.76R1 — near-term cap
$401.32현재 가격MSFT
$385.88S1 — short-term supportSupport
$372.65S2 — trend support
$355.01S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is $416.76; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near $385.88; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 2.50%.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락
Recent$401.32Current
Current reference level.
90D High$542.07Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low$393.67Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능
75%
방향성
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.
Tomorrow
79%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
76%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
73%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
68%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 MSFT에 $1,000를 투자한다면
Bullish Case
$1,101.74
+10.17% from current
목표가격$442.15
대본Breakout continuation
개연성25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
목표가격$417.37
대본Trend-following baseline
개연성50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
목표가격$353.16
대본Volatility drawdown
개연성25%
기초: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.59% / 30D) and volatility regime (2.50% daily).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · MSFT가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법
MSFT
MSFT1.00

예측 요인

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 86/100
24H drift+2.91%
7D drift+7.83%
30D drift+15.87%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Mixed — Watching · 46/100
RSI24.9 · Bearish
MACD0.60 · Bullish
MA stack1/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 50/100
1M outlook+15.87%
1Y outlook-6.63%
5Y outlook-11.71%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the Microsoft forecast for tomorrow?
Microsoft is projected near $412.99 versus the latest reference around $401.32. That implies a modeled move of +2.91% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for Microsoft?
The weekly model points to $432.74, which maps to an expected drift of +7.83% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $465.03 (+15.87%), while the 1-year target is $374.70 (-6.63%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $354.34 with a modeled change of -11.71%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $416.76, while nearest support is around $385.88. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.