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Microsoft Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

업데이트됨: March 15, 2026 at 15:19 UTC
• +0.00%TA 중립적 · Focus 수익 + 추세

예측 요약

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기간예상 가격과거역사적인통찰력
내일$408.95 +3.39%어제$395.55 +0.00%Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.50%).
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.50%).
$425.73 +7.63%지난주$408.96 -3.28%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
$451.37 +14.11%전달$401.32 -1.44%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도$374.89 -5.22%작년$388.56 +1.80%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년$354.75 -10.31%5년 전$237.71 +66.40%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
내일$408.95 +3.39%
어제$395.55 +0.00%
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~2.50%).
$425.73 +7.63%
지난주$408.96 -3.28%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
$451.37 +14.11%
전달$401.32 -1.44%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도$374.89 -5.22%
작년$388.56 +1.80%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년$354.75 -10.31%
5년 전$237.71 +66.40%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세
$433.28$423.84$414.41$404.98$395.551W AgoNow7D F

기술적 분석

팔다중립적구입하다
Bullish
4
강세
1
중립적
0
약세

주요 지표

지시자신호
RSI 1471.4 Bullish
MACD0.08 Bullish
SMA 50$414.35 Mid
SMA 200$390.41 Above
EMA 20$387.67 Above

과거 데이터

Open$395.55
Start Date1986-03-01
Day Range$394.25 – $404.80
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$384.47 – $423.37
24h Volumen/a
90D Range$384.47 – $514.33
Circulatingn/a
52W Range$354.56 – $542.07
Max Supplyn/a
Open$395.55Start Date1986-03-01
Day Range$394.25 – $404.80Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$384.47 – $423.3724h Volumen/a
90D Range$384.47 – $514.33Circulatingn/a
52W Range$354.56 – $542.07Max Supplyn/a

지지 및 저항 수준

$553.72R3 — major ceiling
$489.70R2 — swing resistance
$413.05R1 — near-term resistance
$395.55현재 가격MSFT
$387.64S1 — near-term supportSupport
$375.77S2 — structure support
$363.91S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near $413.05; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around $387.64; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 1.76% daily realized volatility.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락
Recent$395.55Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High$404.80Local High+2.34%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low$394.25Local Low-0.33%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target$451.37Model 1M+14.11%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target$374.89Model 1Y-5.22%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario$354.75Model 5Y-10.31%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능
82%
방향성
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (1.76% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.
Tomorrow
85%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
83%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
80%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
75%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.9%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 MSFT에 $1,000를 투자한다면
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
목표가격$443.02
대본Breakout continuation
개연성35%
Base Case
$1141.12
+14.11% from current
목표가격$451.37
대본Trend-following baseline
개연성37%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
목표가격$363.91
대본Volatility drawdown
개연성28%
기초: Scenario engine blends live drift (+14.11% / 30D) and realized volatility (1.76% daily).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · MSFT가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법
MSFTMABKNGORCLIBMBRKB
MSFT1.000.980.980.970.970.96
MA0.981.000.990.980.990.99
BKNG0.980.991.000.990.990.99
ORCL0.970.980.991.000.980.98
IBM0.970.990.990.981.000.99
BRKB0.960.990.990.980.991.00

예측 요인

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 84/100
24H drift+3.39%
7D drift+7.63%
30D drift+14.11%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 69/100
RSI70.8 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 50/100
1M outlook+14.11%
1Y outlook-5.22%
5Y outlook-10.31%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the MSFT forecast for tomorrow?
MSFT is projected near $408.95 versus the latest reference around $395.55. That implies a modeled move of +3.39% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for MSFT?
The weekly model points to $425.73, which maps to an expected drift of +7.63% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $451.37 (+14.11%), while the 1-year target is $374.89 (-5.22%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $354.75 with a modeled change of -10.31%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $413.05, while nearest support is around $387.64. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly $394.25 to $404.80. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.