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SPDR S&P 500 ETF Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

업데이트됨: March 15, 2026 at 16:35 UTC

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예측 요약

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기간	예상 가격	과거	역사적인	통찰력
내일	$678.06 ▲ +2.38%	어제	$662.29 • +0.00%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).
주	$698.79 ▲ +5.51%	지난주	$672.38 ▼ -1.50%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
월	$725.85 ▲ +9.60%	전달	$681.75 ▼ -2.85%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도	$741.68 ▲ +11.99%	작년	$562.81 ▲ +17.68%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년	$779.76 ▲ +17.74%	5년 전	$395.91 ▲ +67.28%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

내일$678.06▲ +2.38%

어제$662.29• +0.00%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.76%).

주$698.79▲ +5.51%

지난주$672.38▼ -1.50%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

월$725.85▲ +9.60%

전달$681.75▼ -2.85%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

년도$741.68▲ +11.99%

작년$562.81▲ +17.68%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5년$779.76▲ +17.74%

5년 전$395.91▲ +67.28%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세

기술적 분석

Bullish

강세

중립적

약세

주요 지표

지시자	값	신호
RSI 14	86.1	Bullish
MACD	0.05	Bullish
SMA 50	$683.28	Below
SMA 200	$637.79	Above
EMA 20	$635.68	Above

과거 데이터

Open$662.29

Start Date1993-02-01

Day Range$661.36 – $672.34

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range$662.29 – $695.41

24h Volumen/a

90D Range$652.53 – $695.49

Circulatingn/a

52W Range$496.48 – $695.49

Max Supplyn/a

Open	$662.29	Start Date	1993-02-01
Day Range	$661.36 – $672.34	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	$662.29 – $695.41	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	$652.53 – $695.49	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	$496.48 – $695.49	Max Supply	n/a

지지 및 저항 수준

$675.14R3 — major ceiling

$671.29R2 — swing resistance

$667.43R1 — near-term resistance

$662.29현재 가격SPY

$649.04S1 — near-term supportSupport

$629.18S2 — structure support

$609.31S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near $667.43; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around $649.04; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.81% daily realized volatility.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락

Recent$662.29Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High$672.34Local High+1.52%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low$661.36Local Low-0.14%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target$725.85Model 1M+9.60%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target$741.68Model 1Y+11.99%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario$779.76Model 5Y+17.74%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능

83%

방향성

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (0.81% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.

Tomorrow

86%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

84%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

81%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

76%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 SPY에 $1,000를 투자한다면

Bullish Case

$1177.37

+17.74% from current

목표가격$779.76

대본Breakout continuation

개연성35%

Base Case

$1095.97

+9.60% from current

목표가격$725.85

대본Trend-following baseline

개연성37%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

목표가격$609.31

대본Volatility drawdown

개연성28%

기초: Scenario engine blends live drift (+9.60% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.81% daily).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · SPY가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법

	SPY	QQQ	GLD	DIA	XLF	TLT
SPY	1.00	0.98	0.94	0.93	0.93	-0.88
QQQ	0.98	1.00	0.87	0.98	0.98	-0.96
GLD	0.94	0.87	1.00	0.82	0.80	-0.73
DIA	0.93	0.98	0.82	1.00	0.99	-0.96
XLF	0.93	0.98	0.80	0.99	1.00	-0.99
TLT	-0.88	-0.96	-0.73	-0.96	-0.99	1.00

예측 요인

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bullish · 74/100

24H drift+2.38%

7D drift+5.51%

30D drift+9.60%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 69/100

RSI85.7 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack2/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-On Tentative · 63/100

1M outlook+9.60%

1Y outlook+11.99%

5Y outlook+17.74%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the SPY forecast for tomorrow?

SPY is projected near $678.06 versus the latest reference around $662.29. That implies a modeled move of +2.38% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for SPY?

The weekly model points to $698.79, which maps to an expected drift of +5.51% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is $725.85 (+9.60%), while the 1-year target is $741.68 (+11.99%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near $779.76 with a modeled change of +17.74%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around $667.43, while nearest support is around $649.04. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly $661.36 to $672.34. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.