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SPDR Dow Jones ETF 예측: 내일, 주, 월, 5년

업데이트됨: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +57.21%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

예측 요약

기간예상 가격과거역사적인통찰력
내일$504.48 +1.86%어제$494.67 -1.33%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.86%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.86%).
$519.73 +4.94%지난주$494.75 +0.14%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
$546.28 +10.30%전달$480.57 +3.06%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도$555.50 +12.16%작년$443.63 +14.72%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년$589.30 +18.98%5년 전$315.58 -28.86%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
내일$504.48 +1.86%
어제$494.67 -1.33%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.86%).
$519.73 +4.94%
지난주$494.75 +0.14%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
$546.28 +10.30%
전달$480.57 +3.06%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도$555.50 +12.16%
작년$443.63 +14.72%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년$589.30 +18.98%
5년 전$315.58 -28.86%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세
$530.09$521.44$512.80$504.15$495.501W AgoNow7D F

기술적 분석

팔다중립적구입하다
Bullish
3
강세
1
중립적
1
약세

주요 지표

지시자신호
RSI 1451.8 Neutral
MACD-3.45 Bearish
SMA 50$488.78 Above
SMA 200$458.37 Above
EMA 20$318.08 Above

과거 데이터

Open$495.04
Start Date
Day Range$491.20 – $497.78
Market Cap
Monthly Range$483.63 – $501.90
24h Volume
90D Range$454.87 – $501.90
Circulating
52W Range$376.48 – $501.90
Max Supply
Open$495.04Start Date
Day Range$491.20 – $497.78Market Cap
Monthly Range$483.63 – $501.9024h Volume
90D Range$454.87 – $501.90Circulating
52W Range$376.48 – $501.90Max Supply

지지 및 저항 수준

$514.96R3 — upper range
$507.46R2 — swing high
$501.84R1 — near-term cap
$495.28현재 가격DIA
$488.72S1 — short-term supportSupport
$483.10S2 — trend support
$475.60S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is $501.84; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near $488.72; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.86%.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락
Recent$495.28Current
Current reference level.
90D High$501.90Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low$454.87Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능
74%
방향성
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 DIA에 $1,000를 투자한다면
Bullish Case
$1,323.47
+32.35% from current
목표가격$655.49
대본Breakout continuation
개연성25%
Base Case
$1,121.59
+12.16% from current
목표가격$555.50
대본Trend-following baseline
개연성50%
Bearish Case
$880.00
-12.00% from current
목표가격$435.85
대본Volatility drawdown
개연성25%
기초: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.10% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.86% daily).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · DIA가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법
DIA
DIA1.00

예측 요인

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 73/100
24H drift+1.86%
7D drift+4.94%
30D drift+10.30%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Mixed — Watching · 48/100
RSI51.5 · Neutral
MACD-3.49 · Bearish
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 63/100
1M outlook+10.30%
1Y outlook+12.16%
5Y outlook+18.98%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the SPDR Dow Jones ETF forecast for tomorrow?
SPDR Dow Jones ETF is projected near $504.48 versus the latest reference around $495.28. That implies a modeled move of +1.86% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for SPDR Dow Jones ETF?
The weekly model points to $519.73, which maps to an expected drift of +4.94% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $546.28 (+10.30%), while the 1-year target is $555.50 (+12.16%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $589.30 with a modeled change of +18.98%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $501.84, while nearest support is around $488.72. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.