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US 2Y Treasury Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

업데이트됨: March 15, 2026 at 14:12 UTC
• +0.00%TA 약세 · Focus 요금 + 매크로

예측 요약

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기간예상 가격과거역사적인통찰력
내일3.560% -1.20%어제3.603% +0.00%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).
3.498% -2.91%지난주3.570% +0.92%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
3.408% -5.42%전달3.593% +0.28%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도3.364% -6.63%작년4.188% -13.97%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년3.278% -9.03%5년 전0.008% +44937.50%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
내일3.560% -1.20%
어제3.603% +0.00%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.96%).
3.498% -2.91%
지난주3.570% +0.92%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
3.408% -5.42%
전달3.593% +0.28%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도3.364% -6.63%
작년4.188% -13.97%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년3.278% -9.03%
5년 전0.008% +44937.50%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세
3.603%3.565%3.527%3.489%3.451%1W AgoNow7D F

기술적 분석

팔다중립적구입하다
Bullish
4
강세
1
중립적
0
약세

주요 지표

지시자신호
RSI 1489.4 Bullish
MACD-0.03 Neutral
SMA 503.540% Above
SMA 2003.226% Above
EMA 202.960% Above

과거 데이터

Open3.603%
Start Date1985-01-01
Day Range3.603% – 3.603%
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range3.570% – 3.605%
24h Volumen/a
90D Range3.507% – 3.793%
Circulatingn/a
52W Range3.507% – 4.535%
Max Supplyn/a
Open3.603%Start Date1985-01-01
Day Range3.603% – 3.603%Market Capn/a
Monthly Range3.570% – 3.605%24h Volumen/a
90D Range3.507% – 3.793%Circulatingn/a
52W Range3.507% – 4.535%Max Supplyn/a

지지 및 저항 수준

3.639%R3 — major ceiling
3.628%R2 — swing resistance
3.617%R1 — near-term resistance
3.603%현재 가격US2Y
3.531%S1 — near-term supportSupport
3.423%S2 — structure support
3.315%S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near 3.617%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around 3.531%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.24% daily realized volatility.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락
Recent3.603%Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High3.603%Local High-0.00%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low3.603%Local Low-0.00%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target3.408%Model 1M-5.41%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target3.364%Model 1Y-6.63%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario3.278%Model 5Y-9.02%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능
84%
방향성
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.24% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.
Tomorrow
87%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
85%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
82%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
77%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 US2Y에 $1,000를 투자한다면
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
목표가격4.035%
대본Breakout continuation
개연성32%
Base Case
$945.88
-5.41% from current
목표가격3.408%
대본Trend-following baseline
개연성37%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
목표가격3.315%
대본Volatility drawdown
개연성31%
기초: Scenario engine blends live drift (-5.42% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.24% daily).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · US2Y가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법
US2YUK10YUS30YDE10YUS10Y
US2Y1.00-0.960.72-0.650.56
UK10Y-0.961.00-0.750.75-0.43
US30Y0.72-0.751.00-0.780.31
DE10Y-0.650.75-0.781.000.18
US10Y0.56-0.430.310.181.00

예측 요인

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 37/100
24H drift-1.20%
7D drift-2.91%
30D drift-5.42%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 77/100
RSI89.6 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack3/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 38/100
1M outlook-5.42%
1Y outlook-6.63%
5Y outlook-9.03%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the US2Y forecast for tomorrow?
US2Y is projected near 3.560% versus the latest reference around 3.603%. That implies a modeled move of -1.20% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for US2Y?
The weekly model points to 3.498%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.91% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 3.408% (-5.42%), while the 1-year target is 3.364% (-6.63%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 3.278% with a modeled change of -9.03%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 3.617%, while nearest support is around 3.531%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 3.603% to 3.603%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.