집 » 모두 » Bond Forecast » Germany 10Y Bond Yield Forecast

Germany 10Y Bond Yield Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

업데이트됨: March 15, 2026 at 15:39 UTC

From

▲ +5.90%TA 강세 · Focus 요금 + 매크로

예측 요약

Saved locally for this browser. Sign in to sync on your account page.

기간	예상 가격	과거	역사적인	통찰력
내일	2.793% ▼ -0.76%	어제	2.658% ▲ +5.87%	Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~6.56%).
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~6.56%).
주	2.757% ▼ -2.02%	지난주	2.563% ▲ +9.79%	7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
월	2.694% ▼ -4.26%	전달	2.376% ▲ +18.43%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도	3.071% ▲ +9.14%	작년	4.600% ▼ -38.83%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년	3.329% ▲ +18.29%	5년 전	8.928% ▼ -68.48%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

내일2.793%▼ -0.76%

어제2.658%▲ +5.87%

Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~6.56%).

주2.757%▼ -2.02%

지난주2.563%▲ +9.79%

7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.

월2.694%▼ -4.26%

전달2.376%▲ +18.43%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

년도3.071%▲ +9.14%

작년4.600%▼ -38.83%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5년3.329%▲ +18.29%

5년 전8.928%▼ -68.48%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세

기술적 분석

Bearish

강세

중립적

약세

주요 지표

지시자	값	신호
RSI 14	9.8	Bearish
MACD	-0.02	Neutral
SMA 50	2.713%	Above
SMA 200	3.576%	Below
EMA 20	3.827%	Below

과거 데이터

Open2.658%

Start Date2021-03-15

Day Range2.592% – 2.883%

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range2.268% – 2.942%

24h Volumen/a

90D Range2.232% – 2.985%

Circulatingn/a

52W Range2.590% – 4.966%

Max Supplyn/a

Open	2.658%	Start Date	2021-03-15
Day Range	2.592% – 2.883%	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	2.268% – 2.942%	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	2.232% – 2.985%	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	2.590% – 4.966%	Max Supply	n/a

지지 및 저항 수준

3.070%R3 — major ceiling

2.993%R2 — swing resistance

2.916%R1 — near-term resistance

2.814%현재 가격DE10Y

2.712%S1 — near-term supportSupport

2.635%S2 — structure support

2.558%S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 2.916%; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 2.712%; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 3.79% daily realized volatility.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락

Recent2.814%Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High2.883%Local High+2.46%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low2.592%Local Low-7.87%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target2.694%Model 1M-4.26%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target3.071%Model 1Y+9.13%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario3.329%Model 5Y+18.30%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능

80%

방향성

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (3.79% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.

Tomorrow

83%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

81%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

78%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

73%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±6.3%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 DE10Y에 $1,000를 투자한다면

Bullish Case

$1183.01

+18.30% from current

목표가격3.329%

대본Breakout continuation

개연성32%

Base Case

$957.36

-4.26% from current

목표가격2.694%

대본Trend-following baseline

개연성40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

목표가격2.589%

대본Volatility drawdown

개연성28%

기초: Scenario engine blends live drift (-4.26% / 30D) and realized volatility (3.79% daily).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · DE10Y가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법

	DE10Y	US2Y	US30Y	UK10Y	US10Y
DE10Y	1.00	0.82	-0.78	0.75	0.18
US2Y	0.82	1.00	-0.43	0.28	0.66
US30Y	-0.78	-0.43	1.00	-0.75	0.31
UK10Y	0.75	0.28	-0.75	1.00	-0.43
US10Y	0.18	0.66	0.31	-0.43	1.00

예측 요인

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 41/100

24H drift-0.76%

7D drift-2.02%

30D drift-4.26%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 31/100

RSI9.9 · Bearish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack1/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 53/100

1M outlook-4.26%

1Y outlook+9.14%

5Y outlook+18.29%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the DE10Y forecast for tomorrow?

DE10Y is projected near 2.793% versus the latest reference around 2.814%. That implies a modeled move of -0.76% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for DE10Y?

The weekly model points to 2.757%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.02% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 2.694% (-4.26%), while the 1-year target is 3.071% (+9.14%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 3.329% with a modeled change of +18.29%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 2.916%, while nearest support is around 2.712%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 2.592% to 2.883%. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.