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Germany 10Y Bond Yield 예측: 내일, 주, 월, 5년

업데이트됨: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▲ +5.90%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Rates + macro

예측 요약

기간예상 가격과거역사적인통찰력
내일2.789% -0.89%어제2.658% +1.52%Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~6.56%).
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~6.56%).
2.745% -2.45%지난주2.563% +14.95%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
2.664% -5.34%전달2.376% +260.60%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도3.152% +12.00%작년4.600% -48.48%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년3.490% +24.00%5년 전8.928% +94.09%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
내일2.789% -0.89%
어제2.658% +1.52%
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~6.56%).
2.745% -2.45%
지난주2.563% +14.95%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
2.664% -5.34%
전달2.376% +260.60%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
년도3.152% +12.00%
작년4.600% -48.48%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5년3.490% +24.00%
5년 전8.928% +94.09%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

가격 차트

역사적인예측강세약세
3.168%2.958%2.748%2.538%2.328%1W AgoNow7D F

기술적 분석

팔다중립적구입하다
Bullish
4
강세
0
중립적
1
약세

주요 지표

지시자신호
RSI 1467.1 Bullish
MACD0.34 Bullish
SMA 502.028% Above
SMA 2001.227% Above
EMA 208.190% Below

과거 데이터

Open2.658%
Start Date
Day Range2.167% – 2.814%
Market Cap
Monthly Range2.102% – 2.823%
24h Volume
90D Range0.011% – 2.823%
Circulating
52W Range0.002% – 4.560%
Max Supply
Open2.658%Start Date
Day Range2.167% – 2.814%Market Cap
Monthly Range2.102% – 2.823%24h Volume
90D Range0.011% – 2.823%Circulating
52W Range0.002% – 4.560%Max Supply

지지 및 저항 수준

3.667%R3 — upper range
3.342%R2 — swing high
3.099%R1 — near-term cap
2.814%현재 가격DE10Y
2.530%S1 — short-term supportSupport
2.286%S2 — trend support
1.961%S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 3.099%; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 2.530%; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 6.56%.

가격 이정표

주요 수준 및 역사적 맥락
Recent2.814%Current
Current reference level.
90D High2.823%Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low-0.649%Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

예측 정확도

우리 모델의 성능
73%
방향성
Forecast Accuracy
Higher volatility regime detected; short-term directional confidence is reduced.
📊
우리의 알고리즘은 최신 가격 조치, 변동성 체제 및 지표 신호를 사용하여 매주 재보정됩니다. 정확도는 기간에 따라 다릅니다. 단기적인 모멘텀이 장기 예측보다 더 안정적입니다.
Tomorrow
77%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
74%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
71%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
66%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

투자 시나리오

오늘 DE10Y에 $1,000를 투자한다면
Bullish Case
$1,321.60
+32.16% from current
목표가격3.719%
대본Breakout continuation
개연성25%
Base Case
$1,120.00
+12.00% from current
목표가격3.152%
대본Trend-following baseline
개연성50%
Bearish Case
$737.55
-26.24% from current
목표가격2.076%
대본Volatility drawdown
개연성25%
기초: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.79% / 30D) and volatility regime (6.56% daily).

상관 행렬

30일 롤링 · DE10Y가 다른 자산과 함께 이동하는 방법
DE10Y
DE10Y1.00

예측 요인

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 39/100
24H drift-0.89%
7D drift-2.45%
30D drift-5.34%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 84/100
RSI67.2 · Bullish
MACD0.36 · Bullish
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 54/100
1M outlook-5.34%
1Y outlook+12.00%
5Y outlook+24.00%

자주 묻는 질문

Q What is the Germany 10Y Bond Yield forecast for tomorrow?
Germany 10Y Bond Yield is projected near 2.789% versus the latest reference around 2.814%. That implies a modeled move of -0.89% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for Germany 10Y Bond Yield?
The weekly model points to 2.745%, which maps to an expected drift of -2.45% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 2.664% (-5.34%), while the 1-year target is 3.152% (+12.00%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 3.490% with a modeled change of +24.00%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 3.099%, while nearest support is around 2.530%. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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