Home » Forecast » Avalanche to USD Forecast

Avalanche Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: February 25, 2026 at 15:58 UTC

From

▲ +14.90%Rank #29 · Market Cap $3,982,322,697 · Vol $205,100,880 · TA Bearish · Focus On-chain + flow

Forecast Summary

Timeframe	Predicted Price	Past	Historical	Insight
Tomorrow	$9.10 ▼ -4.47%	Yesterday	$8.30 ▲ +14.90%	Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~7.58%).
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~7.58%).
Week	$8.75 ▼ -8.16%	Last Week	$8.85 ▲ +7.65%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month	$8.35 ▼ -12.42%	Last Month	$11.72 ▼ -18.65%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year	$11.13 ▲ +16.78%	Last Year	$21.93 ▼ -56.54%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years	$12.43 ▲ +30.39%	5 Years Ago	$25.94 ▼ -63.26%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Tomorrow$9.10▼ -4.47%

Yesterday$8.30▲ +14.90%

Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~7.58%).

Week$8.75▼ -8.16%

Last Week$8.85▲ +7.65%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Month$8.35▼ -12.42%

Last Month$11.72▼ -18.65%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Year$11.13▲ +16.78%

Last Year$21.93▼ -56.54%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Years$12.43▲ +30.39%

5 Years Ago$25.94▼ -63.26%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish

Technical Analysis

Bearish

Bullish

Neutral

Bearish

Key Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
RSI 14	30.8	Bearish
MACD	-0.10	Bearish
SMA 50	$8.81	Mid
SMA 200	$12.50	Below
EMA 20	$12.36	Below

Historical Data

Open$8.30

Start Date2020-07-13

Day Range$8.28 – $9.55

Market Cap$3,982,322,697

Monthly Range$8.30 – $12.12

24h Volume$205,100,880

90D Range$8.30 – $14.85

Circulating431,771,961

52W Range$8.30 – $35.23

Max Supply720,000,000

Open	$8.30	Start Date	2020-07-13
Day Range	$8.28 – $9.55	Market Cap	$3,982,322,697
Monthly Range	$8.30 – $12.12	24h Volume	$205,100,880
90D Range	$8.30 – $14.85	Circulating	431,771,961
52W Range	$8.30 – $35.23	Max Supply	720,000,000

Support & Resistance Levels

$20.15R3 — major ceiling

$14.91R2 — swing resistance

$9.72R1 — near-term resistance

$9.53Current PriceAVAX

$9.34S1 — near-term supportSupport

$9.05S2 — structure support

$8.77S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near $9.72; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around $9.34; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 5.40% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context

Recent$9.53Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High$9.55Local High+0.25%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low$8.28Local Low-13.16%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target$8.35Model 1M-12.39%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target$11.13Model 1Y+16.78%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario$12.43Model 5Y+30.42%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed

78%

Directional

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (5.40% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.

Tomorrow

81%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

79%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

76%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

71%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±8.9%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in AVAX today

Bullish Case

$1304.18

+30.42% from current

Target Price$12.43

ScenarioBreakout continuation

Probability32%

Base Case

$876.10

-12.39% from current

Target Price$8.35

ScenarioTrend-following baseline

Probability37%

Bearish Case

$902.76

-9.72% from current

Target Price$8.60

ScenarioVolatility drawdown

Probability31%

Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (-12.42% / 30D) and realized volatility (5.40% daily).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how AVAX moves with other assets

	AVAX	Figrheloc	OKB	DOT	SUI	ADA
AVAX	1.00	0.75	0.60	-0.58	-0.57	-0.53
Figrheloc	0.75	1.00	0.12	0.00	-0.01	0.05
OKB	0.60	0.12	1.00	-0.80	-0.82	-0.84
DOT	-0.58	0.00	-0.80	1.00	0.96	0.99
SUI	-0.57	-0.01	-0.82	0.96	1.00	0.95
ADA	-0.53	0.05	-0.84	0.99	0.95	1.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 14/100

24H drift-4.47%

7D drift-8.16%

30D drift-12.42%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 31/100

RSI31.5 · Bearish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack1/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 50/100

1M outlook-12.42%

1Y outlook+16.78%

5Y outlook+30.39%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the AVAX forecast for tomorrow?

AVAX is projected near $9.10 versus the latest reference around $9.53. That implies a modeled move of -4.47% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for AVAX?

The weekly model points to $8.75, which maps to an expected drift of -8.16% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is $8.35 (-12.42%), while the 1-year target is $11.13 (+16.78%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near $12.43 with a modeled change of +30.39%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around $9.72, while nearest support is around $9.34. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly $8.28 to $9.55. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.