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CBOE Volatility Index Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: February 25, 2026 at 16:26 UTC

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▲ +6.16%TA Bullish · Focus Macro + technical

Forecast Summary

Timeframe	Predicted Price	Past	Historical	Insight
Tomorrow	$21.27 ▲ +0.33%	Yesterday	$20.60 ▼ -1.06%	Short-term bias is up with high daily volatility (~8.52%).
Short-term bias is up with high daily volatility (~8.52%).
Week	$21.41 ▲ +0.99%	Last Week	$21.77 ▲ +33.15%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month	$22.47 ▲ +6.01%	Last Month	$14.51 ▼ -41.23%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year	$23.17 ▲ +9.30%	Last Year	$15.10 ▲ +8.40%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years	$24.43 ▲ +15.22%	5 Years Ago	$21.46 ▲ +42.12%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Tomorrow$21.27▲ +0.33%

Yesterday$20.60▼ -1.06%

Short-term bias is up with high daily volatility (~8.52%).

Week$21.41▲ +0.99%

Last Week$21.77▲ +33.15%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Month$22.47▲ +6.01%

Last Month$14.51▼ -41.23%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Year$23.17▲ +9.30%

Last Year$15.10▲ +8.40%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Years$24.43▲ +15.22%

5 Years Ago$21.46▲ +42.12%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish

Technical Analysis

Neutral

Bullish

Neutral

Bearish

Key Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
RSI 14	40.4	Bearish
MACD	0.01	Neutral
SMA 50	$21.45	Below
SMA 200	$19.98	Above
EMA 20	$20.92	Above

Historical Data

Open$20.60

Start Date2021-02-25

Day Range$20.13 – $21.68

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range$13.90 – $23.41

24h Volumen/a

90D Range$13.70 – $23.73

Circulatingn/a

52W Range$13.99 – $24.87

Max Supplyn/a

Open	$20.60	Start Date	2021-02-25
Day Range	$20.13 – $21.68	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	$13.90 – $23.41	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	$13.70 – $23.73	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	$13.99 – $24.87	Max Supply	n/a

Support & Resistance Levels

$22.98R3 — major ceiling

$22.45R2 — swing resistance

$21.91R1 — near-term resistance

$21.20Current PriceVIX

$20.49S1 — near-term supportSupport

$19.95S2 — structure support

$19.42S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near $21.91; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around $20.49; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 3.50% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context

Recent$21.20Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High$21.68Local High+2.28%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low$20.13Local Low-5.04%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target$22.47Model 1M+5.99%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target$23.17Model 1Y+9.29%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario$24.43Model 5Y+15.24%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed

80%

Directional

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (3.50% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.

Tomorrow

83%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

81%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

78%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

73%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±5.8%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in VIX today

Bullish Case

$1152.36

+15.24% from current

Target Price$24.43

ScenarioBreakout continuation

Probability35%

Base Case

$1059.91

+5.99% from current

Target Price$22.47

ScenarioTrend-following baseline

Probability37%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Target Price$19.50

ScenarioVolatility drawdown

Probability28%

Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (+6.01% / 30D) and realized volatility (3.50% daily).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how VIX moves with other assets

	VIX	DAX	IXIC	SX5E	SPX	FTSE
VIX	1.00	-0.67	-0.66	-0.66	-0.64	-0.61
DAX	-0.67	1.00	0.95	1.00	0.99	0.95
IXIC	-0.66	0.95	1.00	0.96	0.97	0.96
SX5E	-0.66	1.00	0.96	1.00	1.00	0.97
SPX	-0.64	0.99	0.97	1.00	1.00	0.97
FTSE	-0.61	0.95	0.96	0.97	0.97	1.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bullish · 59/100

24H drift+0.33%

7D drift+0.99%

30D drift+6.01%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 40/100

RSI40.3 · Bearish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack2/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-On Tentative · 60/100

1M outlook+6.01%

1Y outlook+9.30%

5Y outlook+15.22%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the VIX forecast for tomorrow?

VIX is projected near $21.27 versus the latest reference around $21.20. That implies a modeled move of +0.33% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for VIX?

The weekly model points to $21.41, which maps to an expected drift of +0.99% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is $22.47 (+6.01%), while the 1-year target is $23.17 (+9.30%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near $24.43 with a modeled change of +15.22%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around $21.91, while nearest support is around $20.49. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly $20.13 to $21.68. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.