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USD/NOK Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: April 17, 2026 at 13:53 UTC
▲ +0.08%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

Forecast Summary

TimeframePredicted PricePastHistoricalInsight
Tomorrow9.4312 ▲ +0.74%Yesterday9.3546 ▲ +0.08%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.69%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.69%).
Week9.5270 ▲ +1.76%Last Week9.4963 ▼ -1.41%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month9.7166 ▲ +3.79%Last Month9.5813 ▼ -2.29%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year9.3249 ▼ -0.40%Last Year10.5641 ▼ -11.38%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years9.2032 ▼ -1.70%5 Years Ago8.3777 ▲ +11.75%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Tomorrow9.4312▲ +0.74%
Yesterday9.3546▲ +0.08%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.69%).
Week9.5270▲ +1.76%
Last Week9.4963▼ -1.41%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month9.7166▲ +3.79%
Last Month9.5813▼ -2.29%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year9.3249▼ -0.40%
Last Year10.5641▼ -11.38%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years9.2032▼ -1.70%
5 Years Ago8.3777▲ +11.75%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish
9.65509.57089.48659.40239.31801W AgoNow7D F

Technical Analysis

SellNeutralBuy
Bearish
1
Bullish
2
Neutral
2
Bearish

Key Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
RSI 1455.9 Bullish
MACD0.02 Neutral
SMA 509.4813 Below
SMA 2009.4901 Below
EMA 209.3732 Mid

Historical Data

Opening Price9.3546
Start Date2001-07-31
Day Range9.3135 – 9.3728
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range9.3621 – 9.7607
24h Volumen/a
90D Range9.3621 – 10.1967
Circulatingn/a
52W Range9.3621 – 11.4515
Max Supplyn/a
Opening Price9.3546Start Date2001-07-31
Day Range9.3135 – 9.3728Market Capn/a
Monthly Range9.3621 – 9.760724h Volumen/a
90D Range9.3621 – 10.1967Circulatingn/a
52W Range9.3621 – 11.4515Max Supplyn/a

Support & Resistance Levels

10.2978R3 — major ceiling
9.8302R2 — swing resistance
9.8115R1 — near-term resistance
9.3621Current PriceUSD
9.1749S1 — near-term supportSupport
8.8940S2 — structure support
8.6131S3 — deep support
↑
Nearest resistance sits near 9.8115; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
↓
Nearest support is around 9.1749; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
⚖
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.66% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context
Recent9.3621Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High9.3728Local High+0.11%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low9.3135Local Low-0.52%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target9.7166Model 1M+3.79%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target9.3249Model 1Y-0.40%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario9.2032Model 5Y-1.70%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed
83%
Directional
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.66% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.
Tomorrow
86%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
84%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
81%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
76%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Signal
Recent
Directional signal ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in USD today
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Target Price10.4856
ScenarioBreakout continuation
Probability32%
Base Case
$1037.87
+3.79% from current
Target Price9.7166
ScenarioTrend-following baseline
Probability40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Target Price8.6131
ScenarioVolatility drawdown
Probability28%
Basis: Scenario model combines current 30-day drift (+3.79%) and realized daily volatility (0.66%).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how USD moves with other assets
USDUSDNOKUSDZARAUDCHFUSDSEKUSDCLP
USD1.001.000.99-0.990.990.98
USDNOK1.001.000.99-0.990.990.98
USDZAR0.990.991.00-0.990.990.99
AUDCHF-0.99-0.99-0.991.00-0.98-0.98
USDSEK0.990.990.99-0.981.000.99
USDCLP0.980.980.99-0.980.991.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bullish · 58/100
24H drift+0.74%
7D drift+1.76%
30D drift+3.79%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Mixed — Watching · 56/100
RSI55.8 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 51/100
1M outlook+3.79%
1Y outlook-0.40%
5Y outlook-1.70%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the USD/NOK forecast for tomorrow?
USD/NOK is projected near 9.4312 versus the latest reference around 9.3621. That implies a modeled move of +0.74% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/NOK?
The weekly model points to 9.5270, which maps to an expected drift of +1.76% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 9.7166 (+3.79%), while the 1-year target is 9.3249 (-0.40%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 9.2032 with a modeled change of -1.70%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 9.8115, while nearest support is around 9.1749. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 9.3135 to 9.3728. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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