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USD/HKD Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: April 14, 2026 at 22:17 UTC
▼ -0.02%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

Forecast Summary

TimeframePredicted PricePastHistoricalInsight
Tomorrow7.8201 +0.07%Yesterday7.8165 -0.02%Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.03%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.03%).
Week7.8291 +0.18%Last Week7.8122 +0.04%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month7.8513 +0.46%Last Month7.7906 +0.31%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year7.8505 +0.45%Last Year7.7756 +0.51%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years7.8706 +0.71%5 Years Ago7.7777 +0.48%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Tomorrow7.8201 +0.07%
Yesterday7.8165 -0.02%
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.03%).
Week7.8291 +0.18%
Last Week7.8122 +0.04%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month7.8513 +0.46%
Last Month7.7906 +0.31%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year7.8505 +0.45%
Last Year7.7756 +0.51%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years7.8706 +0.71%
5 Years Ago7.7777 +0.48%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish
7.93437.88177.82917.77657.72391W AgoNow7D F

Technical Analysis

SellNeutralBuy
Bullish
1
Bullish
4
Neutral
0
Bearish

Key Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
RSI 1487.7 Bullish
MACD0.00 Neutral
SMA 507.8240 Mid
SMA 2007.8098 Mid
EMA 207.8159 Mid

Historical Data

Opening Price7.8165
Start Date2021-04-14
Day Range7.7998 – 7.8317
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range7.7626 – 7.8796
24h Volumen/a
90D Range7.7532 – 7.8890
Circulatingn/a
52W Range7.7266 – 7.9000
Max Supplyn/a
Opening Price7.8165Start Date2021-04-14
Day Range7.7998 – 7.8317Market Capn/a
Monthly Range7.7626 – 7.879624h Volumen/a
90D Range7.7532 – 7.8890Circulatingn/a
52W Range7.7266 – 7.9000Max Supplyn/a

Support & Resistance Levels

7.8932R3 — major ceiling
7.8697R2 — swing resistance
7.8463R1 — near-term resistance
7.8150Current PriceUSD
7.7837S1 — near-term supportSupport
7.7603S2 — structure support
7.7369S3 — deep support
Nearest resistance sits near 7.8463; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
Nearest support is around 7.7837; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.30% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context
Recent7.8150Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High7.8317Local High+0.21%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low7.7998Local Low-0.20%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target7.8513Model 1M+0.46%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target7.8505Model 1Y+0.45%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario7.8706Model 5Y+0.71%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed
84%
Directional
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (0.30% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.
Tomorrow
87%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
85%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
82%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
77%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Signal
Recent
Directional signal ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in USD today
Bullish Case
$1120.00
+12.00% from current
Target Price8.7528
ScenarioBreakout continuation
Probability32%
Base Case
$1004.64
+0.46% from current
Target Price7.8513
ScenarioTrend-following baseline
Probability40%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Target Price7.1898
ScenarioVolatility drawdown
Probability28%
Basis: Scenario model combines current 30-day drift (+0.46%) and realized daily volatility (0.30%).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how USD moves with other assets
USDUSDHKDAUDUSDBRLUSDAUDCADEURUSD
USD1.001.000.78-0.720.630.61
USDHKD1.001.000.78-0.720.630.61
AUDUSD0.780.781.00-0.630.830.62
BRLUSD-0.72-0.72-0.631.00-0.52-0.54
AUDCAD0.630.630.83-0.521.000.10
EURUSD0.610.610.62-0.540.101.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 51/100
24H drift+0.07%
7D drift+0.18%
30D drift+0.46%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 65/100
RSI87.7 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 51/100
1M outlook+0.46%
1Y outlook+0.45%
5Y outlook+0.71%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the USD/HKD forecast for tomorrow?
USD/HKD is projected near 7.8201 versus the latest reference around 7.8150. That implies a modeled move of +0.07% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/HKD?
The weekly model points to 7.8291, which maps to an expected drift of +0.18% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 7.8513 (+0.46%), while the 1-year target is 7.8505 (+0.45%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 7.8706 with a modeled change of +0.71%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 7.8463, while nearest support is around 7.7837. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly 7.7998 to 7.8317. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.