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USD/HKD Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: February 25, 2026 at 05:11 UTC

From

▲ +0.03%TA Bullish · Focus Macro + technical

Forecast Summary

Timeframe	Predicted Price	Past	Historical	Insight
Tomorrow	3.7813 ▲ +0.80%	Yesterday	7.8189 ▲ +0.03%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.03%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.03%).
Week	3.8263 ▲ +2.00%	Last Week	7.8155 ▲ +0.07%	7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month	3.9389 ▲ +5.00%	Last Month	7.7947 ▲ +0.34%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year	4.1264 ▲ +10.00%	Last Year	7.7739 ▲ +0.60%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years	4.5015 ▲ +20.00%	5 Years Ago	7.7539 ▲ +0.86%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Tomorrow3.7813▲ +0.80%

Yesterday7.8189▲ +0.03%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.03%).

Week3.8263▲ +2.00%

Last Week7.8155▲ +0.07%

7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Month3.9389▲ +5.00%

Last Month7.7947▲ +0.34%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Year4.1264▲ +10.00%

Last Year7.7739▲ +0.60%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Years4.5015▲ +20.00%

5 Years Ago7.7539▲ +0.86%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish

Technical Analysis

Bullish

Neutral

Bearish

Key Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
RSI 14	0.9	Bearish
MACD	0.02	Neutral
SMA 50	5.8336	Above
SMA 200	6.4805	Above
EMA 20	5.8732	Above

Historical Data

Open7.8189

Start Date2020-02-25

Day Range7.8207 – 7.8231

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range7.7947 – 7.8209

24h Volumen/a

90D Range7.7675 – 7.8209

Circulatingn/a

52W Range7.7504 – 7.8499

Max Supplyn/a

Open	7.8189	Start Date	2020-02-25
Day Range	7.8207 – 7.8231	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	7.7947 – 7.8209	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	7.7675 – 7.8209	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	7.7504 – 7.8499	Max Supply	n/a

Support & Resistance Levels

7.8991R3 — major ceiling

7.8756R2 — swing resistance

7.8522R1 — near-term resistance

7.8209Current PriceUSD

7.8003S1 — near-term supportSupport

7.7707S2 — structure support

7.7658S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 7.8522; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 7.8003; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 0.20% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context

Recent7.8209Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High7.8231Local High+0.03%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low7.8207Local Low-0.00%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target3.9389Model 1M-49.64%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target4.1264Model 1Y-47.24%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario4.5015Model 5Y-42.44%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed

84%

Directional

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (0.20% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.

Tomorrow

87%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

85%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

82%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

77%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±2.5%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in USD today

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

Target Price8.7594

ScenarioBreakout continuation

Probability32%

Base Case

$503.64

-49.64% from current

Target Price3.9389

ScenarioTrend-following baseline

Probability40%

Bearish Case

$489.24

-51.08% from current

Target Price3.8263

ScenarioVolatility drawdown

Probability28%

Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (+5.00% / 30D) and realized volatility (0.20% daily).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how USD moves with other assets

	USD	GBPUSD	USDCHF	EURUSD	AUDNZD	AUDUSD
USD	1.00	0.37	-0.31	0.29	0.26	0.23
GBPUSD	0.37	1.00	-0.95	0.63	-0.02	0.20
USDCHF	-0.31	-0.95	1.00	-0.73	-0.17	-0.14
EURUSD	0.29	0.63	-0.73	1.00	0.51	0.52
AUDNZD	0.26	-0.02	-0.17	0.51	1.00	-0.09
AUDUSD	0.23	0.20	-0.14	0.52	-0.09	1.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bullish · 60/100

24H drift+0.80%

7D drift+2.00%

30D drift+5.00%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Mixed — Watching · 48/100

RSI0.8 · Bearish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack3/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-On Tentative · 60/100

1M outlook+5.00%

1Y outlook+10.00%

5Y outlook+20.00%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the USD forecast for tomorrow?

USD is projected near 3.7813 versus the latest reference around 7.8209. That implies a modeled move of +0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD?

The weekly model points to 3.8263, which maps to an expected drift of +2.00% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 3.9389 (+5.00%), while the 1-year target is 4.1264 (+10.00%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 4.5015 with a modeled change of +20.00%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 7.8522, while nearest support is around 7.8003. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 7.8207 to 7.8231. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.