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CBOE Volatility Index Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Updated: March 18, 2026 at 16:38 UTC

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▲ +3.58%TA Bullish · Focus Macro + technical

Forecast Summary

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Timeframe	Predicted Price	Past	Historical	Insight
Tomorrow	$22.48 ▼ -2.97%	Yesterday	$20.60 ▲ +12.48%	Short-term bias is up with high daily volatility (~8.52%).
Short-term bias is up with high daily volatility (~8.52%).
Week	$21.80 ▼ -5.92%	Last Week	$21.77 ▲ +6.43%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Month	$22.56 ▼ -2.65%	Last Month	$14.51 ▲ +59.68%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Year	$23.28 ▲ +0.47%	Last Year	$15.10 ▲ +53.44%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Years	$24.57 ▲ +6.04%	5 Years Ago	$21.46 ▲ +7.97%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Tomorrow$22.48▼ -2.97%

Yesterday$20.60▲ +12.48%

Short-term bias is up with high daily volatility (~8.52%).

Week$21.80▼ -5.92%

Last Week$21.77▲ +6.43%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

Month$22.56▼ -2.65%

Last Month$14.51▲ +59.68%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

Year$23.28▲ +0.47%

Last Year$15.10▲ +53.44%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Years$24.57▲ +6.04%

5 Years Ago$21.46▲ +7.97%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Price Chart

HistoricalForecastBullishBearish

Technical Analysis

Neutral

Bullish

Neutral

Bearish

Key Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
RSI 14	64.5	Bullish
MACD	-0.07	Bearish
SMA 50	$22.06	Mid
SMA 200	$20.38	Mid
EMA 20	$21.36	Mid

Historical Data

Open$20.60

Start Date2021-03-18

Day Range$20.33 – $23.47

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range$14.16 – $23.72

24h Volumen/a

90D Range$14.05 – $23.91

Circulatingn/a

52W Range$14.47 – $24.25

Max Supplyn/a

Open	$20.60	Start Date	2021-03-18
Day Range	$20.33 – $23.47	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	$14.16 – $23.72	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	$14.05 – $23.91	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	$14.47 – $24.25	Max Supply	n/a

Support & Resistance Levels

$24.27R3 — major ceiling

$23.94R2 — swing resistance

$23.61R1 — near-term resistance

$23.17Current PriceVIX

$22.73S1 — near-term supportSupport

$22.40S2 — structure support

$22.07S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near $23.61; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around $22.73; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 1.99% daily realized volatility.

Price Milestones

Key levels & historical context

Recent$23.17Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High$23.47Local High+1.29%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low$20.33Local Low-12.24%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target$22.56Model 1M-2.63%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target$23.28Model 1Y+0.47%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario$24.57Model 5Y+6.04%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Forecast Accuracy

How our model has performed

82%

Directional

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (1.99% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Our algorithm is re-calibrated weekly using the latest price action, volatility regime, and indicator signals. Accuracy varies by timeframe — short-term momentum is more reliable than long-term projections.

Tomorrow

85%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

83%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

80%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

75%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±3.3%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Investment Scenarios

If you invest $1,000 in VIX today

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

Target Price$25.95

ScenarioBreakout continuation

Probability32%

Base Case

$973.67

-2.63% from current

Target Price$22.56

ScenarioTrend-following baseline

Probability40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Target Price$21.32

ScenarioVolatility drawdown

Probability28%

Basis: Scenario engine blends live drift (-2.65% / 30D) and realized volatility (1.99% daily).

Correlation Matrix

30-day rolling · how VIX moves with other assets

	VIX	DAX	IXIC	SX5E	SPX	FTSE
VIX	1.00	-0.67	-0.66	-0.66	-0.64	-0.61
DAX	-0.67	1.00	0.94	1.00	0.99	0.95
IXIC	-0.66	0.94	1.00	0.96	0.97	0.97
SX5E	-0.66	1.00	0.96	1.00	1.00	0.97
SPX	-0.64	0.99	0.97	1.00	1.00	0.97
FTSE	-0.61	0.95	0.97	0.97	0.97	1.00

Forecast Factors

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 31/100

24H drift-2.97%

7D drift-5.92%

30D drift-2.65%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 77/100

RSI65.0 · Bullish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack3/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 48/100

1M outlook-2.65%

1Y outlook+0.47%

5Y outlook+6.04%

Frequently Asked Questions

Q What is the VIX forecast for tomorrow?

VIX is projected near $22.48 versus the latest reference around $23.17. That implies a modeled move of -2.97% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for VIX?

The weekly model points to $21.80, which maps to an expected drift of -5.92% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is $22.56 (-2.65%), while the 1-year target is $23.28 (+0.47%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near $24.57 with a modeled change of +6.04%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around $23.61, while nearest support is around $22.73. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly $20.33 to $23.47. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.