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USD/PEN Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

dikemas kini: March 13, 2026 at 23:43 UTC

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▲ +2.80%TA Bearish · Focus Makro + teknikal

Ringkasan Ramalan

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Jangka masa	Harga Ramalan	lalu	Bersejarah	Wawasan
Esok	3.4311 ▼ -0.80%	Semalam	3.4170 ▲ +1.22%	Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.39%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.39%).
Minggu	3.3909 ▼ -1.96%	Minggu lepas	3.3424 ▲ +3.48%	7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
bulan	3.3071 ▼ -4.39%	Bulan lepas	3.3560 ▲ +3.06%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
tahun	3.2810 ▼ -5.14%	Tahun lepas	3.6600 ▼ -5.50%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Tahun	3.2254 ▼ -6.75%	5 Tahun Lalu	3.6910 ▼ -6.29%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Esok3.4311▼ -0.80%

Semalam3.4170▲ +1.22%

Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~1.39%).

Minggu3.3909▼ -1.96%

Minggu lepas3.3424▲ +3.48%

7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.

bulan3.3071▼ -4.39%

Bulan lepas3.3560▲ +3.06%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

tahun3.2810▼ -5.14%

Tahun lepas3.6600▼ -5.50%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Tahun3.2254▼ -6.75%

5 Tahun Lalu3.6910▼ -6.29%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Carta Harga

BersejarahRamalanBullishBearish

Analisis Teknikal

Bullish

Berkecuali

Bearish

Petunjuk Utama

Penunjuk	Nilai	Isyarat
RSI 14	41.0	Bearish
MACD	-0.02	Neutral
SMA 50	3.3912	Above
SMA 200	3.4505	Mid
EMA 20	3.4450	Above

Data Sejarah

Open3.4170

Start Date2001-05-31

Day Range3.4288 – 3.4680

Market Capn/a

Monthly Range3.2746 – 3.4870

24h Volumen/a

90D Range3.2614 – 3.4870

Circulatingn/a

52W Range3.2614 – 3.8040

Max Supplyn/a

Open	3.4170	Start Date	2001-05-31
Day Range	3.4288 – 3.4680	Market Cap	n/a
Monthly Range	3.2746 – 3.4870	24h Volume	n/a
90D Range	3.2614 – 3.4870	Circulating	n/a
52W Range	3.2614 – 3.8040	Max Supply	n/a

Tahap Sokongan & Rintangan

3.6105R3 — major ceiling

3.5650R2 — swing resistance

3.5195R1 — near-term resistance

3.4588Harga SemasaUSD

3.3896S1 — near-term supportSupport

3.2859S2 — structure support

3.1821S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near 3.5195; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around 3.3896; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 1.83% daily realized volatility.

Pencapaian Harga

Tahap utama & konteks sejarah

Recent3.4588Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High3.4680Local High+0.27%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low3.4288Local Low-0.87%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target3.3071Model 1M-4.39%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target3.2810Model 1Y-5.14%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario3.2254Model 5Y-6.75%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Ketepatan Ramalan

Bagaimana prestasi model kami

82%

arah

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (1.83% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

Algoritma kami ditentukur semula setiap minggu menggunakan tindakan harga terkini, rejim turun naik dan isyarat penunjuk. Ketepatan berbeza mengikut jangka masa — momentum jangka pendek lebih dipercayai daripada unjuran jangka panjang.

Tomorrow

85%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

83%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

80%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

75%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±3.0%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Senario Pelaburan

Jika anda melabur $1,000 dalam USD hari ini

Bullish Case

$1120.00

+12.00% from current

Harga Sasaran3.8739

SenarioBreakout continuation

Kebarangkalian32%

Base Case

$956.14

-4.39% from current

Harga Sasaran3.3071

SenarioTrend-following baseline

Kebarangkalian40%

Bearish Case

$920.00

-8.00% from current

Harga Sasaran3.1821

SenarioVolatility drawdown

Kebarangkalian28%

Asas: Scenario engine blends live drift (-4.39% / 30D) and realized volatility (1.83% daily).

Matriks Korelasi

Bergulir 30 hari · cara USD bergerak dengan aset lain

	USD	USDPEN	EURCAD	USDMXN	USDPLN	USDJPY
USD	1.00	0.96	-0.91	0.85	0.78	-0.76
USDPEN	0.96	1.00	-0.96	0.93	0.92	-0.74
EURCAD	-0.91	-0.96	1.00	-0.90	-0.89	0.71
USDMXN	0.85	0.93	-0.90	1.00	0.95	-0.58
USDPLN	0.78	0.92	-0.89	0.95	1.00	-0.55
USDJPY	-0.76	-0.74	0.71	-0.58	-0.55	1.00

Faktor Ramalan

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 40/100

24H drift-0.80%

7D drift-1.96%

30D drift-4.39%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Mixed — Watching · 44/100

RSI41.1 · Bearish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack2/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Risk-Off Caution · 41/100

1M outlook-4.39%

1Y outlook-5.14%

5Y outlook-6.75%

Soalan Lazim

Q What is the USD forecast for tomorrow?

USD is projected near 3.4311 versus the latest reference around 3.4588. That implies a modeled move of -0.80% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD?

The weekly model points to 3.3909, which maps to an expected drift of -1.96% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 3.3071 (-4.39%), while the 1-year target is 3.2810 (-5.14%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 3.2254 with a modeled change of -6.75%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 3.5195, while nearest support is around 3.3896. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly 3.4288 to 3.4680. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.