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USD/IDR Ramalan: Esok, Minggu, bulan, 5 Tahun

dikemas kini: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC

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▲ +21.09%Technical analysis Bullish · Focus area Macro + technical

Ringkasan Ramalan

Jangka masa	Harga Ramalan	lalu	Bersejarah	Wawasan
Esok	16,927.8098 ▲ +0.52%	Semalam	16,809.0000 ▲ +0.09%	Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.24%).
Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.24%).
Minggu	17,072.5913 ▲ +1.38%	Minggu lepas	16,800.0000 ▲ +0.39%	7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
bulan	17,322.3336 ▲ +2.86%	Bulan lepas	16,683.0000 ▼ -0.02%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
tahun	17,530.2240 ▲ +4.10%	Tahun lepas	16,245.0996 ▲ +3.04%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Tahun	17,936.6578 ▲ +6.51%	5 Tahun Lalu	14,558.0000 ▼ -10.39%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Esok16,927.8098▲ +0.52%

Semalam16,809.0000▲ +0.09%

Short-term bias is up with low daily volatility (~0.24%).

Minggu17,072.5913▲ +1.38%

Minggu lepas16,800.0000▲ +0.39%

7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.

bulan17,322.3336▲ +2.86%

Bulan lepas16,683.0000▼ -0.02%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

tahun17,530.2240▲ +4.10%

Tahun lepas16,245.0996▲ +3.04%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5 Tahun17,936.6578▲ +6.51%

5 Tahun Lalu14,558.0000▼ -10.39%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Carta Harga

BersejarahRamalanBullishBearish

Analisis Teknikal

Bullish

Berkecuali

Bearish

Petunjuk Utama

Penunjuk	Nilai	Isyarat
RSI 14	61.4	Bullish
MACD	-122.12	Bearish
SMA 50	16,759.8120	Above
SMA 200	16,507.4959	Above
EMA 20	14,141.9900	Above

Data Sejarah

Open16,835.0000

Start Date

Day Range16,835.0000 – 16,840.0000

Market Cap

Monthly Range16,674.6992 – 16,960.0996

24h Volume

90D Range16,150.0000 – 16,960.0996

Circulating

52W Range15,598.5000 – 17,051.9004

Max Supply

Open	16,835.0000	Start Date
Day Range	16,835.0000 – 16,840.0000	Market Cap
Monthly Range	16,674.6992 – 16,960.0996	24h Volume
90D Range	16,150.0000 – 16,960.0996	Circulating
52W Range	15,598.5000 – 17,051.9004	Max Supply

Tahap Sokongan & Rintangan

17,193.6400R3 — upper range

17,058.9200R2 — swing high

16,957.8800R1 — near-term cap

16,840.0000Harga SemasaUSD

16,722.1200S1 — short-term supportSupport

16,621.0800S2 — trend support

16,486.3600S3 — range low

↑

Nearest resistance is 16,957.8800; break above may accelerate momentum.

↓

Nearest support sits near 16,722.1200; watch reaction around this zone.

⚖

Current structure is bull-leaning with daily volatility around 0.24%.

Pencapaian Harga

Tahap utama & konteks sejarah

Recent16,840.0000Current

Current reference level.

90D High16,960.0996Range High

Highest close in recent lookback window.

90D Low16,150.0000Range Low

Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Ketepatan Ramalan

Bagaimana prestasi model kami

74%

arah

Forecast Accuracy

Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.

📊

Algoritma kami ditentukur semula setiap minggu menggunakan tindakan harga terkini, rejim turun naik dan isyarat penunjuk. Ketepatan berbeza mengikut jangka masa — momentum jangka pendek lebih dipercayai daripada unjuran jangka panjang.

Tomorrow

78%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

75%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

72%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

67%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±14%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

Senario Pelaburan

Jika anda melabur $1,000 dalam USD hari ini

Bullish Case

$1,228.36

+22.84% from current

Harga Sasaran20,685.6643

SenarioBreakout continuation

Kebarangkalian25%

Base Case

$1,040.99

+4.10% from current

Harga Sasaran17,530.2240

SenarioTrend-following baseline

Kebarangkalian50%

Bearish Case

$880.00

-12.00% from current

Harga Sasaran14,819.2000

SenarioVolatility drawdown

Kebarangkalian25%

Asas: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+0.03% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.24% daily).

Matriks Korelasi

Bergulir 30 hari · cara USD bergerak dengan aset lain

	USD
USD	1.00

Faktor Ramalan

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Balanced · 56/100

24H drift+0.52%

7D drift+1.38%

30D drift+2.86%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bullish Setup · 63/100

RSI61.3 · Bullish

MACD-122.13 · Bearish

MA stack3/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 54/100

1M outlook+2.86%

1Y outlook+4.10%

5Y outlook+6.51%

Soalan Lazim

Q What is the USD/IDR forecast for tomorrow?

USD/IDR is projected near 16927.8098 versus the latest reference around 16840.0000. That implies a modeled move of +0.52% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/IDR?

The weekly model points to 17072.5913, which maps to an expected drift of +1.38% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is 17322.3336 (+2.86%), while the 1-year target is 17530.2240 (+4.10%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near 17936.6578 with a modeled change of +6.51%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around 16,957.8800, while nearest support is around 16,722.1200. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

USD/IDR Ramalan: Esok, Minggu, bulan, 5 Tahun

Ringkasan Ramalan

Carta Harga

Analisis Teknikal

Petunjuk Utama

Data Sejarah

Tahap Sokongan & Rintangan

Pencapaian Harga

Ketepatan Ramalan

Senario Pelaburan

Matriks Korelasi

Faktor Ramalan

Soalan Lazim

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