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Ramalan USD/CZK untuk Esok, Minggu, bulan dan 5 Tahun

dikemas kini: 16 Februari · 2026 pada 21:36 UTC
▼ -3.24%Analisis teknikal Bearish · Kawasan tumpuan Makro + teknikal

Ringkasan Ramalan

Jangka masaHarga RamalanlaluBersejarahWawasan
Esok20.3557 -0.50%Semalam20.4023 -0.02%Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.49%).
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.49%).
Minggu20.1858 -1.33%Minggu lepas20.6397 +1.17%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
bulan19.8334 -3.05%Bulan lepas20.6210 -1.44%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
tahun19.9474 -2.50%Tahun lepas23.8439 +2.11%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Tahun19.6579 -3.91%5 Tahun Lalu21.8456 -8.38%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Esok20.3557 -0.50%
Semalam20.4023 -0.02%
Short-term bias is down with low daily volatility (~0.49%).
Minggu20.1858 -1.33%
Minggu lepas20.6397 +1.17%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
bulan19.8334 -3.05%
Bulan lepas20.6210 -1.44%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
tahun19.9474 -2.50%
Tahun lepas23.8439 +2.11%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Tahun19.6579 -3.91%
5 Tahun Lalu21.8456 -8.38%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Notis risiko:Ramalan ini hanya bermaklumat, bukan nasihat kewangan; ketepatan bergantung pada turun naik, kecairan, peristiwa makro dan faktor luaran yang lain.

Carta Harga

BersejarahRamalanBullishBearish
20.600020.428620.257220.085819.9145Minggu lepasSekarang7 Hari

Analisis Teknikal

JualBerkecualiBeli
Bearish
0
Bullish
1
Berkecuali
4
Bearish

Petunjuk Utama

PenunjukNilaiIsyarat
Indeks Kekuatan Relatif (RSI 14)52.2 Berkecuali
Perbezaan Penumpuan Purata Pergerakan (MACD)-0.17 Bearish
Purata Pergerakan Mudah (SMA 50)20.6316 Di bawah
Purata Pergerakan Mudah (SMA 200)21.0079 Di bawah
Purata Pergerakan Eksponen (EMA 20)21.5487 Di bawah

Data Sejarah

Buka20.3980
Tarikh Mula
Julat Hari20.3767 – 20.4777
Modal Pasaran
Julat Bulanan20.1542 – 20.9037
24 Jumlah Jam
90 Julat Hari20.1542 – 21.2051
Beredar
Julat Minggu 5220.1542 – 24.0700
Bekalan Maks
Buka20.3980Tarikh Mula
Julat Hari20.3767 – 20.4777Modal Pasaran
Julat Bulanan20.1542 – 20.903724 Jumlah Jam
90 Julat Hari20.1542 – 21.2051Beredar
Julat Minggu 5220.1542 – 24.0700Bekalan Maks

Tahap Sokongan & Rintangan

20.9257R3 — upper range
20.7475R2 — swing high
20.6139R1 — near-term cap
20.4580Harga SemasaUSD
20.3021S1 — short-term supportSupport
20.1685S2 — trend support
19.9903S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is 20.6139; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near 20.3021; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is bear-leaning with daily volatility around 0.49%.

Pencapaian Harga

Tahap utama & konteks sejarah
Baru-baru ini20.4580semasa
Tahap rujukan semasa.
90D Tinggi21.2051Julat Tinggi
Penutupan tertinggi dalam tetingkap lihat belakang baru-baru ini.
90D Rendah20.1542Julat Rendah
Penutupan terendah dalam tetingkap lihat belakang baru-baru ini.

Ketepatan Ramalan

Bagaimana prestasi model kami
74%
arah
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Algoritma kami ditentukur semula setiap minggu menggunakan tindakan harga terkini, rejim turun naik dan isyarat penunjuk. Ketepatan berbeza mengikut jangka masa — momentum jangka pendek lebih dipercayai daripada unjuran jangka panjang.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Senario Pelaburan

Jika anda melabur $1,000 dalam USD hari ini
Bullish Case
$1,150.55
+15.05% from current
Harga Sasaran23.5379
SenarioBreakout continuation
Kebarangkalian25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
Harga Sasaran21.2763
SenarioTrend-following baseline
Kebarangkalian50%
Bearish Case
$872.52
-12.75% from current
Harga Sasaran17.8500
SenarioVolatility drawdown
Kebarangkalian25%
Asas: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.03% / 30D) and volatility regime (0.49% daily).

Matriks Korelasi

Bergulir 30 hari · cara USD bergerak dengan aset lain
USD
USD1.00

Faktor Ramalan

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 44/100
24H drift-0.50%
7D drift-1.33%
30D drift-3.05%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 23/100
RSI52.3 · Neutral
MACD-0.16 · Bearish
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 44/100
1M outlook-3.05%
1Y outlook-2.50%
5Y outlook-3.91%

Soalan Lazim

Q What is the USD/CZK forecast for tomorrow?
USD/CZK is projected near 20.3557 versus the latest reference around 20.4580. That implies a modeled move of -0.50% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for USD/CZK?
The weekly model points to 20.1858, which maps to an expected drift of -1.33% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is 19.8334 (-3.05%), while the 1-year target is 19.9474 (-2.50%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near 19.6579 with a modeled change of -3.91%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around 20.6139, while nearest support is around 20.3021. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.