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Polkadot Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

更新されました: March 13, 2026 at 11:52 UTC

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▲ +0.17%Rank #38 · Market Cap $2,285,368,702 · Vol $93,056,426 · TA 弱気 · Focus オンチェーン + フロー

予測の概要

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時間枠	予想価格	過去	歴史的	洞察力
明日	$1.43 ▼ -5.86%	昨日	$1.52 ▼ -0.11%	Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~6.99%).
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~6.99%).
週	$1.34 ▼ -11.99%	先週	$1.53 ▼ -0.77%	7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月	$1.25 ▼ -17.63%	先月	$1.28 ▲ +18.50%	Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年	$1.72 ▲ +13.19%	去年	$3.36 ▼ -54.73%	Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年	$1.97 ▲ +29.40%	5年前	$3.98 ▼ -61.76%	5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

明日$1.43▼ -5.86%

昨日$1.52▼ -0.11%

Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~6.99%).

週$1.34▼ -11.99%

先週$1.53▼ -0.77%

7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.

月$1.25▼ -17.63%

先月$1.28▲ +18.50%

Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.

年$1.72▲ +13.19%

去年$3.36▼ -54.73%

Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.

5年$1.97▲ +29.40%

5年前$3.98▼ -61.76%

5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.

Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気

テクニカル分析

Bearish

強気

中性

弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ	価値	信号
RSI 14	35.9	Bearish
MACD	-0.13	Bearish
SMA 50	$1.43	Below
SMA 200	$1.91	Below
EMA 20	$1.90	Below

過去のデータ

Open$1.52

Start Date2025-03-14

Day Range$1.49 – $1.54

Market Cap$2,285,368,702

Monthly Range$1.24 – $1.67

24h Volume$93,056,426

90D Range$1.24 – $2.28

Circulating1,665,975,062

52W Range$1.24 – $5.29

Max Supply2,100,000,000

Open	$1.52	Start Date	2025-03-14
Day Range	$1.49 – $1.54	Market Cap	$2,285,368,702
Monthly Range	$1.24 – $1.67	24h Volume	$93,056,426
90D Range	$1.24 – $2.28	Circulating	1,665,975,062
52W Range	$1.24 – $5.29	Max Supply	2,100,000,000

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

$2.83R3 — major ceiling

$2.28R2 — swing resistance

$1.67R1 — near-term resistance

$1.52現在の価格DOT

$1.49S1 — near-term supportSupport

$1.44S2 — structure support

$1.40S3 — deep support

↑

Nearest resistance sits near $1.67; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.

↓

Nearest support is around $1.49; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.

⚖

Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 6.86% daily realized volatility.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景

Recent$1.52Current

Current reference level from live market feed.

24h High$1.54Local High+1.32%

Observed day high from latest market session.

24h Low$1.49Local Low-1.97%

Observed day low from latest market session.

30D Target$1.25Model 1M-17.76%

Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.

1Y Target$1.72Model 1Y+13.16%

Forecast engine long-horizon projection.

5Y Scenario$1.97Model 5Y+29.61%

Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス

76%

指向性

Forecast Accuracy

Based on live volatility regime (6.86% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.

📊

当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。

Tomorrow

79%

Direction hit rate

7 Days

77%

Direction hit rate

30 Days

74%

Direction hit rate

1 Year

69%

Direction hit rate

Avg. Price Error (30D)

±11.3%

Mean absolute deviation

Last Correct Call

Recent

Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を DOT に投資した場合

Bullish Case

$1296.05

+29.61% from current

目標価格$1.97

シナリオBreakout continuation

確率32%

Base Case

$822.37

-17.76% from current

目標価格$1.25

シナリオTrend-following baseline

確率37%

Bearish Case

$876.58

-12.34% from current

目標価格$1.33

シナリオVolatility drawdown

確率31%

基礎: Scenario engine blends live drift (-17.63% / 30D) and realized volatility (6.86% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · DOT が他の資産とどのように移動するか

	DOT	PYUSD	RLUSD	SUI	USDC	USD1
DOT	1.00	0.73	0.65	-0.62	0.58	0.57
PYUSD	0.73	1.00	0.53	-0.72	0.70	0.49
RLUSD	0.65	0.53	1.00	-0.44	0.33	0.59
SUI	-0.62	-0.72	-0.44	1.00	-0.92	0.08
USDC	0.58	0.70	0.33	-0.92	1.00	-0.17
USD1	0.57	0.49	0.59	0.08	-0.17	1.00

予測要因

Market Structure

Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.

Momentum Bearish · 0/100

24H drift-5.86%

7D drift-11.99%

30D drift-17.63%

Technical Signals

Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.

Bearish Setup · 31/100

RSI36.9 · Bearish

MACD0.00 · Neutral

MA stack1/3 bullish

Macro Context

Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.

Balanced Risk · 44/100

1M outlook-17.63%

1Y outlook+13.19%

5Y outlook+29.40%

よくある質問

Q What is the DOT forecast for tomorrow?

DOT is projected near $1.43 versus the latest reference around $1.52. That implies a modeled move of -5.86% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.

Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for DOT?

The weekly model points to $1.34, which maps to an expected drift of -11.99% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.

Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?

The 1-month target is $1.25 (-17.63%), while the 1-year target is $1.72 (+13.19%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.

Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?

The long-horizon scenario sits near $1.97 with a modeled change of +29.40%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.

Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?

Nearest resistance is around $1.67, while nearest support is around $1.49. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.

Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?

The latest observed session range is roughly $1.49 to $1.54. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.