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Bitcoin 予報: 明日, 週, 月, 5年

更新されました: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -0.37%Rank #1 · Market Cap $1,368,884,658,835 · Volume $36,691,351,089 · Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area On-chain + flow

予測の概要

時間枠予想価格過去歴史的洞察力
明日$66,868.39 ▼ -2.35%昨日$98,384.00 ▲ +7.64%Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~3.34%).
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~3.34%).
週$64,371.15 ▼ -6.00%先週$82,611.00 ▼ -1.18%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月$59,246.02 ▼ -13.49%先月$106,951.00 ▼ -5.48%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年$78,669.52 ▲ +14.88%去年$68,717.00 • 0.00%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年$85,525.11 ▲ +24.89%5年前$68,717.00 • 0.00%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明日$66,868.39▼ -2.35%
昨日$98,384.00▲ +7.64%
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~3.34%).
週$64,371.15▼ -6.00%
先週$82,611.00▼ -1.18%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
月$59,246.02▼ -13.49%
先月$106,951.00▼ -5.48%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
年$78,669.52▲ +14.88%
去年$68,717.00• 0.00%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年$85,525.11▲ +24.89%
5年前$68,717.00• 0.00%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気
$91,397.00$83,394.28$75,391.55$67,388.83$59,386.101W AgoNow7D F
5Y view note:The 5-year tab uses multi-year historical closes where available and then extends to model projections, so you can compare past structure and forward scenarios in one timeline.

テクニカル分析

売る中性買う
Bearish
1
強気
1
中性
3
弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ価値信号
RSI 1467.1 Bullish
MACD-7592.34 Bearish
SMA 50$101,458.18 Below
SMA 200-- Mid
EMA 20$85,106.23 Below

過去のデータ

Open$68,481.00
Start Date
Day Range$67,382.00 – $69,999.00
Market Cap$1,368,884,658,835
Monthly Range$82,611.00 – $109,068.00
24h Volume$36,691,351,089
90D Range$69,297.00 – $124,774.00
Circulating19,990,481
52W Range$66,938.00 – $124,774.00
Max Supply21,000,000
Open$68,481.00Start Date
Day Range$67,382.00 – $69,999.00Market Cap$1,368,884,658,835
Monthly Range$82,611.00 – $109,068.0024h Volume$36,691,351,089
90D Range$69,297.00 – $124,774.00Circulating19,990,481
52W Range$66,938.00 – $124,774.00Max Supply21,000,000

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

$79,049.21R3 — upper range
$75,023.23R2 — swing high
$72,003.74R1 — near-term cap
$68,481.00現在の価格BTC
$64,958.26S1 — short-term supportSupport
$61,938.77S2 — trend support
$57,912.79S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is $72,003.74; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near $64,958.26; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 3.34%.
Interpretation:Support and resistance levels are dynamic trading zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Confirmation usually requires closes, volume, and follow-through beyond the level.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景
Recent$68,481.00Current
Current reference level.
24h High$69,999.00Local High
Recent intraday high.
24h Low$67,382.00Local Low
Recent intraday low.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス
78%
指向性
Forecast Accuracy
Higher volatility regime detected; short-term directional confidence is reduced.
📊
当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。
Tomorrow
82%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
79%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
76%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
71%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を BTC に投資した場合
Bullish Case
$1,355.56
+35.56% from current
目標価格$92,830.04
シナリオBreakout continuation
確率25%
Base Case
$1,148.78
+14.88% from current
目標価格$78,669.52
シナリオTrend-following baseline
確率50%
Bearish Case
$778.63
-22.14% from current
目標価格$53,321.42
シナリオVolatility drawdown
確率25%
基礎: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.30% / 30D) and volatility regime (3.34% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · BTC が他の資産とどのように移動するか
BTC
BTC1.00

予測要因

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 21/100
24H drift-2.35%
7D drift-6.00%
30D drift-13.49%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 42/100
RSI67.5 · Bullish
MACD-7592.29 · Bearish
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 48/100
1M outlook-13.49%
1Y outlook+14.88%
5Y outlook+24.89%

よくある質問

FAQ method:Answers summarize and interpret forecast data, rather than simply repeating table values, so the key drivers, scenario ranges, and risk context are easier to scan.
Q What is the Bitcoin forecast for tomorrow?
Bitcoin is projected near $66,868.39 versus the latest reference around $68,481.00. That implies a modeled move of -2.35% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for Bitcoin?
The weekly model points to $64,371.15, which maps to an expected drift of -6.00% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $59,246.02 (-13.49%), while the 1-year target is $78,669.52 (+14.88%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $85,525.11 with a modeled change of +24.89%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $72,003.74, while nearest support is around $64,958.26. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly $67,382.00 to $69,999.00. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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