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Avalanche 予報: 明日, 週, 月, 5年

更新されました: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -0.34%Rank #29 · Market Cap $3,982,322,697 · Volume $205,100,880 · Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area On-chain + flow

予測の概要

時間枠予想価格過去歴史的洞察力
明日$8.98 -2.59%昨日$25.16 +15.31%Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~7.58%).
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~7.58%).
$8.64 -6.29%先週$18.32 -6.15%7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
$8.22 -10.81%先月$19.19 -15.76%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
$11.21 +21.61%去年$9.28 0.00%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年$12.56 +36.24%5年前$9.28 0.00%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
明日$8.98 -2.59%
昨日$25.16 +15.31%
Short-term bias is down with high daily volatility (~7.58%).
$8.64 -6.29%
先週$18.32 -6.15%
7-day projection follows negative momentum and near-term trend alignment.
$8.22 -10.81%
先月$19.19 -15.76%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
$11.21 +21.61%
去年$9.28 0.00%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5年$12.56 +36.24%
5年前$9.28 0.00%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

価格表

歴史的予報強気弱気
$22.36$18.55$14.74$10.93$7.121W AgoNow7D F

テクニカル分析

売る中性買う
Bearish
1
強気
1
中性
3
弱気

主要な指標

インジケータ価値信号
RSI 1464.9 Bullish
MACD-2.41 Bearish
SMA 50$21.34 Below
SMA 200-- Mid
EMA 20$12.53 Below

過去のデータ

Open$9.22
Start Date
Day Range$9.08 – $9.38
Market Cap$3,982,322,697
Monthly Range$17.89 – $25.16
24h Volume$205,100,880
90D Range$9.23 – $33.15
Circulating431,771,961
52W Range$8.63 – $33.15
Max Supply720,000,000
Open$9.22Start Date
Day Range$9.08 – $9.38Market Cap$3,982,322,697
Monthly Range$17.89 – $25.1624h Volume$205,100,880
90D Range$9.23 – $33.15Circulating431,771,961
52W Range$8.63 – $33.15Max Supply720,000,000

サポートとレジスタンスのレベル

$12.45R3 — upper range
$11.22R2 — swing high
$10.30R1 — near-term cap
$9.22現在の価格AVAX
$8.14S1 — short-term supportSupport
$7.22S2 — trend support
$5.99S3 — range low
Nearest resistance is $10.30; break above may accelerate momentum.
Nearest support sits near $8.14; watch reaction around this zone.
Current structure is range-bound with daily volatility around 7.58%.

価格マイルストーン

主要なレベルと歴史的背景
Recent$9.22Current
Current reference level.
24h High$9.38Local High
Recent intraday high.
24h Low$9.08Local Low
Recent intraday low.

予測精度

私たちのモデルのパフォーマンス
78%
指向性
Forecast Accuracy
Higher volatility regime detected; short-term directional confidence is reduced.
📊
当社のアルゴリズムは、最新の価格動向、ボラティリティ体制、指標シグナルを使用して毎週再調整されます。精度は時間枠によって異なります。短期的な勢いは長期的な予測よりも信頼性が高くなります。
Tomorrow
82%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
79%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
76%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
71%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

投資シナリオ

今日 $1,000 を AVAX に投資した場合
Bullish Case
$1,435.02
+43.50% from current
目標価格$13.23
シナリオBreakout continuation
確率25%
Base Case
$1,216.12
+21.61% from current
目標価格$11.21
シナリオTrend-following baseline
確率50%
Bearish Case
$696.94
-30.31% from current
目標価格$6.43
シナリオVolatility drawdown
確率25%
基礎: Scenario engine blends trend drift (+1.16% / 30D) and volatility regime (7.58% daily).

相関行列

30 日ローリング · AVAX が他の資産とどのように移動するか
AVAX
AVAX1.00

予測要因

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 23/100
24H drift-2.59%
7D drift-6.29%
30D drift-10.81%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 42/100
RSI65.3 · Bullish
MACD-2.35 · Bearish
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Balanced Risk · 55/100
1M outlook-10.81%
1Y outlook+21.61%
5Y outlook+36.24%

よくある質問

Q What is the Avalanche forecast for tomorrow?
Avalanche is projected near $8.98 versus the latest reference around $9.22. That implies a modeled move of -2.59% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for Avalanche?
The weekly model points to $8.64, which maps to an expected drift of -6.29% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $8.22 (-10.81%), while the 1-year target is $11.21 (+21.61%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $12.56 with a modeled change of +36.24%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $10.30, while nearest support is around $8.14. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly $9.08 to $9.38. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.