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Energy Select Sector SPDR Forecasts for Tomorrow, Week, Month and 5 Years

Actualizado: March 12, 2026 at 03:50 UTC
▲ +2.48%TA Alcista · Focus Macro+técnico

Resumen de Pronóstico

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PeriodoPrecio PrevistoPasadoHistóricoComentario
Mañana$55.94 ▼ -1.82%Ayer$55.60 ▲ +2.48%Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~1.54%).
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~1.54%).
Semana$57.99 ▲ +1.77%Semana Pasada$56.19 ▲ +1.41%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mes$60.90 ▲ +6.89%Mes Pasado$53.64 ▲ +6.23%Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Año$62.79 ▲ +10.20%Año Pasado$43.69 ▲ +30.42%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Años$67.88 ▲ +19.14%Hace 5 Años$26.78 ▲ +112.73%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Mañana$55.94▼ -1.82%
Ayer$55.60▲ +2.48%
Short-term bias is up with moderate daily volatility (~1.54%).
Semana$57.99▲ +1.77%
Semana Pasada$56.19▲ +1.41%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mes$60.90▲ +6.89%
Mes Pasado$53.64▲ +6.23%
Monthly setup reflects upward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Año$62.79▲ +10.20%
Año Pasado$43.69▲ +30.42%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Años$67.88▲ +19.14%
Hace 5 Años$26.78▲ +112.73%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice: This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Gráfico de Precio

HistóricoPronósticoAlcistaBajista
$58.79$57.90$57.02$56.14$55.251W AgoNow7D F

Análisis Técnico

VenderNeutralComprar
Bullish
3
Alcista
0
Neutral
2
Bajista

Indicadores Clave

IndicadorValorSeñal
RSI 1487.7 Bullish
MACD-0.04 Bearish
SMA 50$57.27 Below
SMA 200$51.97 Above
EMA 20$51.83 Above

Datos Históricos

Open$55.60
Start Date1999-01-01
Day Range$55.54 – $57.04
Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$50.05 – $57.04
24h Volumen/a
90D Range$43.60 – $57.04
Circulatingn/a
52W Range$38.22 – $57.04
Max Supplyn/a
Open$55.60Start Date1999-01-01
Day Range$55.54 – $57.04Market Capn/a
Monthly Range$50.05 – $57.0424h Volumen/a
90D Range$43.60 – $57.04Circulatingn/a
52W Range$38.22 – $57.04Max Supplyn/a

Niveles de Soporte y Resistencia

$58.85R3 — major ceiling
$58.29R2 — swing resistance
$57.73R1 — near-term resistance
$56.98Precio ActualXLE
$53.18S1 — near-term supportSupport
$43.77S2 — structure support
$42.35S3 — deep support
↑
Nearest resistance sits near $57.73; breaks above this area would improve continuation odds.
↓
Nearest support is around $53.18; repeated failures below this zone would increase downside risk.
⚖
Levels are derived from observed rolling highs/lows with 1.37% daily realized volatility.

Hitos de Precio

Niveles clave y contexto histórico
Recent$56.98Current
Current reference level from live market feed.
24h High$57.04Local High+0.11%
Observed day high from latest market session.
24h Low$55.54Local Low-2.53%
Observed day low from latest market session.
30D Target$60.90Model 1M+6.88%
Forecast engine medium-horizon projection.
1Y Target$62.79Model 1Y+10.20%
Forecast engine long-horizon projection.
5Y Scenario$67.88Model 5Y+19.13%
Long-cycle continuation scenario, not a guaranteed path.

Precisión del Pronóstico

Cómo ha rendido nuestro modelo
82%
Direccional
Forecast Accuracy
Based on live volatility regime (1.37% daily), near-term direction remains more stable than long horizons.
📊
Nuestro algoritmo se recalibra semanalmente usando la última acción del precio, el régimen de volatilidad y las señales de indicadores. La precisión varía por periodo: el impulso de corto plazo es más confiable que las proyecciones de largo plazo.
Tomorrow
85%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
83%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
80%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
75%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±2.5%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Escenarios de Inversión

Si inviertes $1,000 en XLE hoy
Bullish Case
$1191.30
+19.13% from current
Precio Objetivo$67.88
EscenarioBreakout continuation
Probabilidad35%
Base Case
$1068.80
+6.88% from current
Precio Objetivo$60.90
EscenarioTrend-following baseline
Probabilidad37%
Bearish Case
$920.00
-8.00% from current
Precio Objetivo$52.42
EscenarioVolatility drawdown
Probabilidad28%
Base: Scenario engine blends live drift (+6.89% / 30D) and realized volatility (1.37% daily).

Matriz de Correlación

30 días · cómo XLE se mueve con otros activos
XLESPYQQQDIAXLFTLT
XLE1.000.990.990.980.97-0.94
SPY0.991.001.000.990.99-0.97
QQQ0.991.001.000.980.98-0.96
DIA0.980.990.981.000.99-0.97
XLF0.970.990.980.991.00-0.99
TLT-0.94-0.97-0.96-0.97-0.991.00

Factores del Pronóstico

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Balanced · 56/100
24H drift-1.82%
7D drift+1.77%
30D drift+6.89%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bullish Setup · 69/100
RSI88.0 · Bullish
MACD0.00 · Neutral
MA stack2/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-On Tentative · 61/100
1M outlook+6.89%
1Y outlook+10.20%
5Y outlook+19.14%

Preguntas Frecuentes

Q What is the XLE forecast for tomorrow?
XLE is projected near $55.94 versus the latest reference around $56.98. That implies a modeled move of -1.82% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for XLE?
The weekly model points to $57.99, which maps to an expected drift of +1.77% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $60.90 (+6.89%), while the 1-year target is $62.79 (+10.20%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $67.88 with a modeled change of +19.14%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $57.73, while nearest support is around $53.18. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly $55.54 to $57.04. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.