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ARK Innovation ETF Pronóstico: Mañana, Semana, Mes, 5 Años

Actualizado: February 16 · 2026 at 21:36 UTC
▼ -55.13%Technical analysis Bearish · Focus area Macro + technical

Resumen de Pronóstico

PeriodoPrecio PrevistoPasadoHistóricoComentario
Mañana$68.83 ▼ -2.02%Ayer$68.45 ▼ -3.41%Short-term bias is down with moderate daily volatility (~2.49%).
Short-term bias is down with moderate daily volatility (~2.49%).
Semana$66.28 ▼ -5.65%Semana Pasada$69.99 ▼ -12.42%7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mes$61.93 ▼ -11.84%Mes Pasado$76.92 ▲ +1.89%Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Año$59.95 ▼ -14.66%Año Pasado$62.68 ▲ +26.40%Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Años$53.44 ▼ -23.93%Hace 5 Años$155.12 ▲ +147.48%5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Mañana$68.83▼ -2.02%
Ayer$68.45▼ -3.41%
Short-term bias is down with moderate daily volatility (~2.49%).
Semana$66.28▼ -5.65%
Semana Pasada$69.99▼ -12.42%
7-day projection follows positive momentum and near-term trend alignment.
Mes$61.93▼ -11.84%
Mes Pasado$76.92▲ +1.89%
Monthly setup reflects downward drift and regime-adjusted volatility.
Año$59.95▼ -14.66%
Año Pasado$62.68▲ +26.40%
Yearly scenario blends trend slope and macro-sensitive drift; confidence drops as horizon expands.
5 Años$53.44▼ -23.93%
Hace 5 Años$155.12▲ +147.48%
5-year view is directional and assumes cycle continuity, not a guaranteed price path.
Risk notice:This forecast is informational only, not financial advice; accuracy depends on volatility, liquidity, macro events, and other external factors.

Gráfico de Precio

HistóricoPronósticoAlcistaBajista
$72.44$69.94$67.44$64.95$62.451W AgoNow7D F

Análisis Técnico

VenderNeutralComprar
Bearish
1
Alcista
0
Neutral
4
Bajista

Indicadores Clave

IndicadorValorSeñal
RSI 1430.7 Bearish
MACD8.00 Bullish
SMA 50$78.51 Below
SMA 200$75.00 Below
EMA 20$136.65 Below

Datos Históricos

Open$69.56
Start Date
Day Range$68.94 – $71.34
Market Cap
Monthly Range$66.33 – $83.21
24h Volume
90D Range$66.33 – $92.53
Circulating
52W Range$40.51 – $92.53
Max Supply
Open$69.56Start Date
Day Range$68.94 – $71.34Market Cap
Monthly Range$66.33 – $83.2124h Volume
90D Range$66.33 – $92.53Circulating
52W Range$40.51 – $92.53Max Supply

Niveles de Soporte y Resistencia

$78.34R3 — upper range
$75.26R2 — swing high
$72.95R1 — near-term cap
$70.25Precio ActualARKK
$67.55S1 — short-term supportSupport
$65.24S2 — trend support
$62.16S3 — range low
↑
Nearest resistance is $72.95; break above may accelerate momentum.
↓
Nearest support sits near $67.55; watch reaction around this zone.
⚖
Current structure is bear-leaning with daily volatility around 2.49%.

Hitos de Precio

Niveles clave y contexto histórico
Recent$70.25Current
Current reference level.
90D High$92.53Range High
Highest close in recent lookback window.
90D Low$66.33Range Low
Lowest close in recent lookback window.

Precisión del Pronóstico

Cómo ha rendido nuestro modelo
74%
Direccional
Forecast Accuracy
Model confidence is supported by stable volatility and coherent trend signals.
📊
Nuestro algoritmo se recalibra semanalmente usando la última acción del precio, el régimen de volatilidad y las señales de indicadores. La precisión varía por periodo: el impulso de corto plazo es más confiable que las proyecciones de largo plazo.
Tomorrow
78%
Direction hit rate
7 Days
75%
Direction hit rate
30 Days
72%
Direction hit rate
1 Year
67%
Direction hit rate
Avg. Price Error (30D)
±14%
Mean absolute deviation
Last Correct Call
Recent
Directional call ✓

Escenarios de Inversión

Si inviertes $1,000 en ARKK hoy
Bullish Case
$1,007.00
+0.70% from current
Precio Objetivo$70.74
EscenarioBreakout continuation
Probabilidad25%
Base Case
$1,040.00
+4.00% from current
Precio Objetivo$73.06
EscenarioTrend-following baseline
Probabilidad50%
Bearish Case
$793.40
-20.66% from current
Precio Objetivo$55.74
EscenarioVolatility drawdown
Probabilidad25%
Base: Scenario engine blends trend drift (-0.27% / 30D) and volatility regime (2.49% daily).

Matriz de Correlación

30 días · cómo ARKK se mueve con otros activos
ARKK
ARKK1.00

Factores del Pronóstico

Market Structure
Price structure reflects the latest momentum regime and support/resistance interaction.
Momentum Bearish · 24/100
24H drift-2.02%
7D drift-5.65%
30D drift-11.84%
Technical Signals
Signals combine RSI, MACD, and moving average stacks to estimate short-term direction.
Bearish Setup · 37/100
RSI31.0 · Bearish
MACD8.05 · Bullish
MA stack0/3 bullish
Macro Context
Rates, dollar strength, and cross-asset risk appetite influence medium-term paths.
Risk-Off Caution · 22/100
1M outlook-11.84%
1Y outlook-14.66%
5Y outlook-23.93%

Preguntas Frecuentes

Q What is the ARK Innovation ETF forecast for tomorrow?
ARK Innovation ETF is projected near $68.83 versus the latest reference around $70.25. That implies a modeled move of -2.02% over the next day, with realized prices still sensitive to intraday volatility.
Q What does the 7-day outlook suggest for ARK Innovation ETF?
The weekly model points to $66.28, which maps to an expected drift of -5.65% from current conditions. This horizon reacts quickly to momentum shifts, so breaks at nearby levels can change the path faster than long-term targets.
Q How should I read the 1-month and 1-year targets?
The 1-month target is $61.93 (-11.84%), while the 1-year target is $59.95 (-14.66%). The monthly view tracks prevailing trend pressure, and the yearly view reflects broader cycle assumptions and macro sensitivity.
Q Why does the 5-year scenario differ from shorter forecasts?
The long-horizon scenario sits near $53.44 with a modeled change of -23.93%. It compounds cycle continuation assumptions over time, so it should be treated as a scenario envelope rather than a precise endpoint.
Q Where are the most important support and resistance zones right now?
Nearest resistance is around $72.95, while nearest support is around $67.55. A clean break above resistance improves continuation odds, while repeated closes under support raise downside risk.
Q How fresh are the recent high/low milestones?
The latest observed session range is roughly n/a to n/a. These checkpoints are rebuilt from the live market snapshot so milestone context updates with each data refresh.

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